Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2015-10-11

Second-Tier Hopefuls

Toledo Rockets
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.637 42 0.447 109 16.2 58 12.0 23 169.3 49
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  66 Toledo 16 vs   7 Arkansas 12 169 13.9%
2015/09/19  85 Iowa St. 23 at  49 Toledo 30 188 59.8%
2015/09/26  89 Arkansas St. 7 at  50 Toledo 37 186 83.2%
2015/10/03  44 Toledo 24 at  90 Ball St. 10 163 75.4%
2015/10/10 115 Kent St. 7 at  42 Toledo 38 177 89.3%
2015/10/17 116 Eastern Michigan 17 at  42 Toledo 45 166 88.9%
2015/10/24  42 Toledo 38 at 108 Massachusetts 24 170 87.0%
2015/11/03  69 Northern Ill. 20 at  42 Toledo 31 168 68.3%
2015/11/10  42 Toledo 31 at  82 Central Michigan 21 169 75.2%
2015/11/17  42 Toledo 34 at  74 Bowling Green 27 169 70.8%
2015/11/27  92 Western Michigan 20 at  42 Toledo 38 169 79.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 22.2%
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Northern Illinois Huskies, 68.3%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.823 3 0.528 53 23.4 6 11.3 18 161.7 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/07   7 Ohio St. 42 at  57 Virginia Tech 24 154 86.1%
2015/09/12  91 Hawaii 0 at   8 Ohio St. 38 171 94.5%
2015/09/19  74 Northern Ill. 13 at   3 Ohio St. 20 170 89.2%
2015/09/26  88 Western Michigan 12 at   4 Ohio St. 38 177 91.1%
2015/10/03   2 Ohio St. 34 at  72 Indiana 27 190 89.6%
2015/10/10  88 Maryland 28 at   3 Ohio St. 49 176 92.8%
2015/10/17  51 Penn State 17 at   3 Ohio St. 34 163 80.0%
2015/10/24   3 Ohio St. 38 at  78 Rutgers 20 163 90.3%
2015/11/07  72 Minnesota 17 at   3 Ohio St. 34 163 88.5%
2015/11/14   3 Ohio St. 35 at  70 Illinois 17 165 88.5%
2015/11/21  21 Michigan St. 27 at   3 Ohio St. 35 163 63.7%
2015/11/28   3 Ohio St. 31 at  10 Michigan 27 163 57.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 20.8%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Michigan Wolverines, 57.8%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.789 11 0.536 44 18.9 37 9.4 5 169.0 53
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  96 Appalachian St. 10 at  15 Clemson 41 184 90.8%
2015/09/17  13 Clemson 20 at  26 Louisville 17 161 62.1%
2015/10/03  23 Notre Dame 22 at   8 Clemson 24 162 69.4%
2015/10/10  38 Georgia Tech 24 at  11 Clemson 43 158 63.4%
2015/10/17  57 Boston College 14 at  11 Clemson 28 167 77.0%
2015/10/24  11 Clemson 31 at  50 Miami-FL 24 166 75.0%
2015/10/31  11 Clemson 31 at  45 North Carolina St. 20 168 70.9%
2015/11/07   9 Florida St. 27 at  11 Clemson 28 167 50.4%
2015/11/14  11 Clemson 31 at  73 Syracuse 20 166 84.9%
2015/11/21  99 Wake Forest 10 at  11 Clemson 34 168 92.3%
2015/11/28  11 Clemson 31 at  53 South Carolina 24 163 75.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 12.1%
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Florida State Seminoles, 50.4%


Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.711 28 0.526 56 18.3 45 12.3 24 164.0 106
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  40 Iowa 31 at  83 Iowa St. 17 159 74.0%
2015/09/19  55 Pittsburgh 24 at  42 Iowa 27 150 58.7%
2015/09/26  98 North Texas 16 at  46 Iowa 62 185 80.5%
2015/10/03  36 Iowa 10 at  13 Wisconsin 6 157 26.3%
2015/10/10  70 Illinois 20 at  28 Iowa 29 178 78.7%
2015/10/17  28 Iowa 21 at  40 Northwestern 22 170 43.0%
2015/10/31  88 Maryland 17 at  28 Iowa 41 165 85.1%
2015/11/07  28 Iowa 31 at  68 Indiana 24 168 75.7%
2015/11/14  72 Minnesota 20 at  28 Iowa 31 164 78.1%
2015/11/21  98 Purdue 20 at  28 Iowa 41 168 86.5%
2015/11/27  28 Iowa 28 at  47 Nebraska 27 166 62.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 11.6%
Most difficult game left: October 17, at Northwestern Wildcats, 43.0%


Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.671 36 0.469 87 19.1 34 13.7 39 177.6 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  45 Houston 34 at  25 Louisville 31 193 37.0%
2015/09/26 101 Texas State 14 at  44 Houston 59 188 82.8%
2015/10/03  33 Houston 38 at  86 Tulsa 24 213 80.4%
2015/10/08 106 SMU 28 at  36 Houston 49 167 87.6%
2015/10/16  36 Houston 45 at 100 Tulane 20 173 87.7%
2015/10/24  36 Houston 34 at  87 UCF 21 170 78.5%
2015/10/31  81 Vanderbilt 17 at  36 Houston 35 170 78.5%
2015/11/07  64 Cincinnati 27 at  36 Houston 38 173 69.2%
2015/11/14  49 Memphis 27 at  36 Houston 34 173 59.3%
2015/11/21  36 Houston 31 at 105 Connecticut 21 171 87.2%
2015/11/27  35 Navy 28 at  36 Houston 34 168 50.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.2
Most difficult game left: November 27, vs Navy Midshipmen, 50.6%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.787 12 0.483 77 25.2 4 13.9 46 169.9 39
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03   4 TCU 23 at  42 Minnesota 17 191 82.3%
2015/09/19 106 SMU 37 at   5 TCU 56 179 98.2%
2015/09/26  12 TCU 55 at  33 Texas Tech 52 220 80.9%
2015/10/03  58 Texas 7 at  20 TCU 50 192 78.4%
2015/10/10  12 TCU 52 at  14 Kansas St. 45 165 58.5%
2015/10/17  12 TCU 42 at  67 Iowa St. 24 171 83.7%
2015/10/29  20 West Virginia 24 at  12 TCU 41 170 53.2%
2015/11/07  12 TCU 34 at  27 Oklahoma St. 31 172 60.6%
2015/11/14 122 Kansas 14 at  12 TCU 52 170 96.3%
2015/11/21  12 TCU 32 at  16 Oklahoma 31 171 55.2%
2015/11/27   5 Baylor 31 at  12 TCU 38 173 56.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.4
Most difficult game left: October 29, vs West Virginia Mountaineers, 53.2%


Long Shots

Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.810 7 0.559 4 20.6 23 9.3 3 161.4 119
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05 124 New Mexico St. 13 at  19 Florida 61 153 96.9%
2015/09/12  46 East Carolina 24 at  20 Florida 31 178 72.9%
2015/09/19  22 Florida 14 at  62 Kentucky 9 150 82.8%
2015/09/26  29 Tennessee 27 at  19 Florida 28 170 63.5%
2015/10/03   5 Mississippi 10 at  16 Florida 38 163 28.0%
2015/10/10   7 Florida 21 at  41 Missouri 3 173 28.1%
2015/10/17   7 Florida 21 at  19 LSU 24 160 40.1%
2015/10/31   7 Florida 24 vs   2 Georgia 25 161 46.0%
2015/11/07  81 Vanderbilt 13 at   7 Florida 35 161 89.6%
2015/11/14   7 Florida 34 at  53 South Carolina 21 160 77.7%
2015/11/21 107 FL-Atlantic 13 at   7 Florida 52 163 94.8%
2015/11/28   9 Florida St. 21 at   7 Florida 27 163 53.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-15.4
Most difficult game left: October 17, at LSU Tigers, 40.1%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.792 9 0.541 33 20.4 25 10.9 13 165.6 87
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05  86 Texas State 16 at   9 Florida St. 59 174 91.5%
2015/09/12 114 South Florida 14 at   6 Florida St. 34 163 95.7%
2015/09/18  14 Florida St. 14 at  53 Boston College 0 139 83.6%
2015/10/03   6 Florida St. 24 at 104 Wake Forest 16 157 94.4%
2015/10/10  50 Miami-FL 24 at   9 Florida St. 29 165 75.9%
2015/10/17  31 Louisville 20 at   9 Florida St. 34 165 64.7%
2015/10/24   9 Florida St. 31 at  38 Georgia Tech 27 164 68.6%
2015/10/31  73 Syracuse 14 at   9 Florida St. 38 165 85.1%
2015/11/07   9 Florida St. 27 at  11 Clemson 28 167 49.6%
2015/11/14  45 North Carolina St. 17 at   9 Florida St. 34 166 71.3%
2015/11/28   9 Florida St. 21 at   7 Florida 27 163 46.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-16.0
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Florida Gators, 46.8%


Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.756 21 0.541 32 21.2 18 13.1 34 166.3 78
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04   6 Michigan St. 37 at  96 Western Michigan 24 170 95.2%
2015/09/12   9 Oregon 28 at  14 Michigan St. 31 176 56.4%
2015/09/19  68 Air Force 21 at  19 Michigan St. 35 148 84.7%
2015/09/26  91 Central Michigan 10 at  17 Michigan St. 30 144 91.1%
2015/10/03  97 Purdue 21 at  15 Michigan St. 24 153 91.6%
2015/10/10  21 Michigan St. 31 at  78 Rutgers 24 155 86.4%
2015/10/17  21 Michigan St. 24 at  10 Michigan 27 165 43.9%
2015/10/24  68 Indiana 21 at  21 Michigan St. 38 169 79.3%
2015/11/07  21 Michigan St. 31 at  47 Nebraska 27 167 66.6%
2015/11/14  88 Maryland 17 at  21 Michigan St. 42 166 87.5%
2015/11/21  21 Michigan St. 27 at   3 Ohio St. 35 163 36.3%
2015/11/28  51 Penn State 20 at  21 Michigan St. 31 165 69.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-19.6
Most difficult game left: November 21, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 36.3%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.814 5 0.553 13 29.1 1 12.8 30 177.5 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04  14 Baylor 56 at 127 SMU 21 176 98.0%
2015/09/26  79 Rice 17 at  13 Baylor 70 179 89.0%
2015/10/03  34 Texas Tech 35 vs   7 Baylor 63 200 66.7%
2015/10/10   5 Baylor 66 at 122 Kansas 7 184 96.0%
2015/10/17  20 West Virginia 24 at   5 Baylor 42 174 59.3%
2015/10/24  67 Iowa St. 20 at   5 Baylor 52 174 86.8%
2015/11/05   5 Baylor 41 at  14 Kansas St. 34 171 56.6%
2015/11/14  16 Oklahoma 28 at   5 Baylor 38 174 61.3%
2015/11/21   5 Baylor 38 at  27 Oklahoma St. 31 176 66.4%
2015/11/27   5 Baylor 31 at  12 TCU 38 173 43.8%
2015/12/05  62 Texas 17 at   5 Baylor 45 173 83.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-23.0
Most difficult game left: November 27, at TCU Horned Frogs, 43.8%


Temple Owls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.619 46 0.483 76 15.6 64 11.8 22 162.6 116
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05  51 Penn State 10 at  66 Temple 27 147 62.3%
2015/09/12  41 Temple 34 at  51 Cincinnati 26 168 35.2%
2015/09/19  36 Temple 25 at 122 Massachusetts 23 203 88.5%
2015/10/02  52 Temple 37 at 129 Charlotte 3 164 99.9%
2015/10/10 100 Tulane 10 at  46 Temple 49 150 90.9%
2015/10/17  87 UCF 14 at  46 Temple 31 163 73.4%
2015/10/22  46 Temple 27 at  58 East Carolina 28 167 43.1%
2015/10/31  26 Notre Dame 28 at  46 Temple 27 163 37.9%
2015/11/06  46 Temple 35 at 106 SMU 21 165 85.0%
2015/11/14  46 Temple 28 at 110 South Florida 20 164 86.1%
2015/11/21  49 Memphis 24 at  46 Temple 31 166 52.4%
2015/11/28 105 Connecticut 13 at  46 Temple 31 164 83.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-26.0
Most difficult game left: October 31, vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish, 37.9%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.715 27 0.556 8 20.5 24 12.5 25 175.8 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  40 Oklahoma St. 24 at  93 Central Michigan 13 165 84.7%
2015/09/19 105 UTSA 14 at  43 Oklahoma St. 69 179 78.9%
2015/09/26  25 Oklahoma St. 30 at  58 Texas 27 177 53.3%
2015/10/03   9 Kansas St. 34 at  30 Oklahoma St. 36 182 35.7%
2015/10/10  27 Oklahoma St. 33 at  20 West Virginia 26 215 34.4%
2015/10/24 122 Kansas 10 at  27 Oklahoma St. 48 173 94.4%
2015/10/31  27 Oklahoma St. 36 at  39 Texas Tech 35 178 58.6%
2015/11/07  12 TCU 34 at  27 Oklahoma St. 31 172 39.4%
2015/11/14  27 Oklahoma St. 38 at  67 Iowa St. 24 174 76.9%
2015/11/21   5 Baylor 38 at  27 Oklahoma St. 31 176 33.6%
2015/11/28  16 Oklahoma 28 at  27 Oklahoma St. 31 174 55.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-32.0
Most difficult game left: November 21, vs Baylor Bears, 33.6%


Utah Utes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.735 25 0.490 71 20.2 29 13.3 35 166.9 75
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  52 Michigan 17 at  37 Utah 24 165 52.2%
2015/09/11  54 Utah St. 14 at  33 Utah 24 157 58.3%
2015/09/19  31 Utah 45 at  92 Fresno St. 24 160 77.7%
2015/09/26  24 Utah 62 at  16 Oregon 20 177 30.7%
2015/10/10  44 California 24 at  25 Utah 30 177 55.0%
2015/10/17  34 Arizona St. 24 at  25 Utah 34 171 53.8%
2015/10/24  25 Utah 27 at   6 USC 28 167 32.7%
2015/10/31  79 Oregon St. 20 at  25 Utah 41 169 80.7%
2015/11/07  25 Utah 27 at  30 Washington 24 168 52.0%
2015/11/14  25 Utah 35 at  56 Arizona 27 170 67.1%
2015/11/21  17 UCLA 27 at  25 Utah 31 168 57.5%
2015/11/28  71 Colorado 21 at  25 Utah 41 168 78.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-45.0
Most difficult game left: October 24, at USC Trojans, 32.7%


Texas A&M Aggies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.771 15 0.547 23 24.1 5 12.8 30 174.0 13
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05  31 Arizona St. 17 vs  22 Texas A&M 38 194 57.1%
2015/09/12  73 Ball St. 23 at  18 Texas A&M 56 169 82.2%
2015/09/19  78 Nevada 27 at  20 Texas A&M 44 180 82.9%
2015/09/26  22 Texas A&M 28 vs  31 Arkansas 21 141 49.3%
2015/10/03  17 Mississippi St. 17 at  14 Texas A&M 30 178 53.4%
2015/10/17   1 Alabama 31 at  15 Texas A&M 24 165 22.9%
2015/10/24  15 Texas A&M 27 at   8 Mississippi 31 169 44.4%
2015/10/31  53 South Carolina 21 at  15 Texas A&M 41 166 72.6%
2015/11/07   4 Auburn 27 at  15 Texas A&M 34 167 62.1%
2015/11/21  15 Texas A&M 35 at  81 Vanderbilt 20 168 86.8%
2015/11/28  15 Texas A&M 24 at  19 LSU 31 167 46.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-53.7
Most difficult game left: October 17, vs Alabama Crimson Tide, 22.9%


Memphis Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.594 49 0.461 98 18.8 40 16.1 63 170.1 37
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  39 Memphis 55 at  97 Kansas 23 195 80.1%
2015/09/19  39 Memphis 44 at  76 Bowling Green 41 198 79.7%
2015/09/24  64 Cincinnati 46 at  48 Memphis 53 211 63.0%
2015/10/02  51 Memphis 24 at 116 South Florida 17 172 84.4%
2015/10/17   8 Mississippi 34 at  49 Memphis 27 167 23.3%
2015/10/23  49 Memphis 34 at  86 Tulsa 27 172 72.6%
2015/10/31 100 Tulane 17 at  49 Memphis 42 169 83.0%
2015/11/07  35 Navy 31 at  49 Memphis 34 164 59.9%
2015/11/14  49 Memphis 27 at  36 Houston 34 173 40.7%
2015/11/21  49 Memphis 24 at  46 Temple 31 166 47.6%
2015/11/28 106 SMU 20 at  49 Memphis 42 168 83.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-73.3
Most difficult game left: October 17, vs Mississippi Rebels, 23.3%


LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.762 19 0.549 19 23.2 9 13.1 33 160.3 126
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12   5 LSU 21 at  22 Mississippi St. 19 174 35.2%
2015/09/19   8 Auburn 21 at   4 LSU 45 146 57.1%
2015/09/26   3 LSU 34 at  81 Syracuse 24 160 91.8%
2015/10/03 125 Eastern Michigan 22 at  11 LSU 44 147 98.3%
2015/10/10  53 South Carolina 24 at  19 LSU 45 157 71.2%
2015/10/17   7 Florida 21 at  19 LSU 24 160 59.9%
2015/10/24  55 Western Kentucky 24 at  19 LSU 41 161 72.5%
2015/11/07  19 LSU 21 at   1 Alabama 31 158 20.7%
2015/11/14  33 Arkansas 21 at  19 LSU 31 162 60.1%
2015/11/21  19 LSU 27 at   8 Mississippi 28 162 41.2%
2015/11/28  15 Texas A&M 24 at  19 LSU 31 167 53.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-84.4
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 20.7%


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