Monday, January 9, 2012

Counting Down the Champions, #2: 2008 Florida

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2008/08/30  43 /  59 Hawaii 10 at   7 /   2 Florida 56 148  77.8% /  68.3%
2008/09/06  74 /  76 Miami-FL 3 at   4 /   1 Florida 26 148  95.3% /  85.3%
2008/09/20   3 /   2 Florida 30 at  19 /  36 Tennessee 6 135  66.7% /  72.5%
2008/09/27  56 /  59 Mississippi 31 at   2 /   1 Florida 30 162  93.8% /  89.4%
2008/10/04   4 /   2 Florida 38 at  54 /  66 Arkansas 7 157  82.0% /  90.6%
2008/10/11   6 /  11 LSU 21 at   3 /   3 Florida 51 155  66.0% /  55.6%
2008/10/25  34 /  40 Kentucky 5 at   3 /   2 Florida 63 153  88.4% /  72.7%
2008/11/01   9 /  12 Georgia 10 vs   2 /   1 Florida 49 148  68.5% /  55.9%
2008/11/08   2 /   1 Florida 42 at  50 /  50 Vanderbilt 14 144  90.6% /  85.4%
2008/11/15  24 /  26 South Carolina 6 at   2 /   1 Florida 56 159  87.0% /  76.7%
2008/11/29   2 /   1 Florida 45 at  23 /  25 Florida St. 15 160  87.3% /  84.5%
2008/12/06   2 /   1 Florida 31 vs   8 /   5 Alabama 20 145  69.8% /  60.7%
2009/01/08   4 /   3 Oklahoma 14 vs   2 /   1 Florida 24 165  67.2% /  55.2%


Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2008 0.947 2 0.640 5 38.5 1 12.2 6 159.0 111
Justin
Let's just get this out of the way: From the Tebow-Tebow Tebow Tebow the Tebow-Tebow Tebow, the Tebow Tebow Tebow is Tebow PPH. The Tebow 10 Tebow Tebow a Tebow Tebow than Tebow PPH. Tebow one Tebow Tebow Tebow had an Tebow Tebow than Tebow PPH: the Tebow-Tebow Tebow Gators Tebow by Tim Tebow. In all seriousness, what this team did to even quality opposition was scary. They hung 21.4 PPH on an Alabama squad whose previous worst was 20.4 PPH on the road against (5) Georgia. They put up
  • 22.2 PPH against (19) Tennessee;
  • 28.1 PPH against (23) Florida State;
  • 32.9 PPH against (6) LSU;
  • 33.1 PPH against (9) Georgia; and
  • 35.2 PPH against (24) South Carolina.
And keep in mind that these are raw efficiencies, not adjusted for strength of opponent. I'm not a Tebow fanboy by any stretch of the imagination, and you can argue that it was because of the receivers or the offensive scheme or that Urban Meyer ran up the score (Eddie will address that) but our numbers predict that the 2008 Gators would put up 39 points on this year's LSU squad. The only reason they didn't finish the year at the top of the TFG rankings was because their defensive efficiency wasn't quite up to par -- USC had an other-worldly 7.2 PPH -- but when you've got the top-rated offense over the last 10 years ... well, maybe you don't need to worry as much about your defense.

Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2008 1.000 1 0.559 7 26.4 3 9.1 8 163.4 102
Eddie
Say what you will about Tim Tebow in the NFL, but he really was an astounding collegiate quarterback. (1) Florida was challenged exactly one time during the regular season: a 31-30 loss to (60) Ole Miss where Tebow was stopped at the one yard line on the go ahead score. In contrast, Florida beat (37) Tennessee by 24, (11) LSU by 30, (13) Georgia by 39, (27) South Carolina by 50, (27) Florida State by 30, and a very good (5) Alabama by 11. They even beat (3) Oklahoma by 10 in the national championship game. Much like this year's Southern Miss, the Gators played up to their competition offensively, sporting a ridiculous 21.7 -/+ 8.7 PPH efficiency (note the sign change). The Gators didn't play exceptional defense at 7.3 +/- 3.5 PPH, but they didn't have to with an offense like that. One can only wonder how they could have performed if they hadn't put the scrubs in so early in the ball game after building huge leads.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron.

No comments:

Post a Comment