Week 4: Friday Predictions

53 Boston College 30  97 Kansas 21

38 Boston College 38  82 Kansas 20

68 Houston 29  14 Washington State 40

71 Houston 31  21 Washington State 45

56 Wake Forest 37  78 North Carolina 30

44 Wake Forest 35  92 North Carolina 24

Key
Close game							Certain victory

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Week 4: Top 25 — TFG

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Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	+1	Clemson  ( 2 - 0 )	0.966	0.641	19	28.2	4	8.0	2	173.3	38
2	-1	Alabama  ( 2 - 0 )	0.958	0.510	59	30.1	2	9.3	5	160.6	109
3	+2	Wisconsin  ( 2 - 0 )	0.957	0.333	118	25.5	6	7.9	1	153.8	125
4	+3	Ohio State  ( 2 - 0 )	0.937	0.580	32	29.5	3	10.7	9	176.0	25
5	+3	Iowa  ( 2 - 0 )	0.929	0.510	58	21.9	22	8.3	3	157.3	122
6	-2	Georgia  ( 1 - 0 )	0.913	0.590	28	24.9	9	10.3	6	157.8	119
7	+2	Penn State  ( 1 - 0 )	0.905	0.584	30	24.6	11	10.5	8	172.6	46
8	+3	Auburn  ( 2 - 0 )	0.903	0.681	8	21.0	24	9.1	4	171.3	52
9	-6	LSU  ( 2 - 0 )	0.902	0.625	22	26.6	5	11.5	11	174.1	32
10	-4	Michigan  ( 2 - 0 )	0.880	0.641	20	25.5	7	12.1	14	167.4	68
11	-1	Texas A&M  ( 1 - 1 )	0.847	0.697	4	24.1	14	12.7	17	165.6	81
12	+5	UCF  ( 1 - 0 )	0.840	0.455	79	25.3	8	13.5	27	183.2	8
13	+3	Mississippi State  ( 2 - 0 )	0.840	0.555	42	22.2	21	11.9	12	159.5	113
14	+1	Washington State  ( 1 - 0 )	0.830	0.390	100	23.9	15	13.1	19	164.1	93
15	NA	Oregon  ( 1 - 1 )	0.821	0.545	46	24.6	10	13.9	30	175.6	26
16	-2	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 0 )	0.816	0.618	24	34.3	1	19.6	85	165.2	86
17	+4	Texas  ( 1 - 1 )	0.805	0.684	7	24.3	13	14.3	32	178.6	15
18	NA	Kansas State  ( 1 - 0 )	0.802	0.332	120	18.9	48	11.1	10	158.2	117
19	-6	Washington  ( 0 - 1 )	0.785	0.667	13	20.1	32	12.4	15	161.1	107
20	-1	Utah  ( 2 - 0 )	0.773	0.522	54	21.7	23	13.7	29	156.3	123
21	NA	Iowa State  ( 0 - 0 )	0.764	0.663	14	20.9	25	13.4	24	164.3	91
22	NA	USC  ( 2 - 0 )	0.760	0.619	23	23.1	18	15.0	40	170.9	54
23	-5	Appalachian State  ( 1 - 0 )	0.755	0.326	122	22.5	19	14.8	38	165.1	87
24	-12	Notre Dame  ( 1 - 0 )	0.751	0.511	57	18.3	52	12.1	13	170.5	59
25	NA	Missouri  ( 1 - 1 )	0.747	0.590	29	22.3	20	14.8	36	176.2	22

Rankings through games of 2019-09-08

New entries: Oregon, Kansas State, Iowa State, USC, Missouri.

Dropped out: North Carolina State, Syracuse, Stanford, Florida, West Virginia.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 4: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Kansas State (0.306); Maryland (0.215); Texas Tech (0.201); Oregon (0.171); Baylor (0.124)

Biggest drops: Syracuse (-0.230); Cincinnati (-0.227); UAB (-0.222); Nevada (-0.208); West Virginia (-0.178)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 4: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	+1	Alabama  ( 2 - 0 )	0.928	0.555	8	29.4	2	8.6	2	158.2	126
2	-1	Clemson  ( 2 - 0 )	0.922	0.541	35	27.8	3	7.8	1	170.0	45
3	+8	LSU  ( 2 - 0 )	0.895	0.561	6	26.4	5	9.5	7	160.6	121
4	+1	Georgia  ( 1 - 0 )	0.843	0.548	26	27.6	4	10.3	10	160.0	125
5	-1	Iowa  ( 2 - 0 )	0.830	0.528	55	20.4	23	9.0	4	163.1	115
6	+16	Wisconsin  ( 2 - 0 )	0.813	0.537	43	24.1	8	9.5	6	160.1	124
7	--	Ohio State  ( 2 - 0 )	0.805	0.536	47	25.9	6	10.2	9	163.8	110
8	+1	Auburn  ( 2 - 0 )	0.794	0.565	3	18.3	46	8.9	3	162.3	119
9	-3	Michigan  ( 2 - 0 )	0.793	0.553	12	22.1	13	11.0	13	164.0	104
10	-2	Penn State  ( 1 - 0 )	0.792	0.539	39	21.5	14	10.8	12	165.8	86
11	+7	Utah  ( 2 - 0 )	0.792	0.501	67	20.8	21	11.3	14	166.9	78
12	-2	Notre Dame  ( 1 - 0 )	0.778	0.565	2	19.2	32	10.7	11	165.4	93
13	-1	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 0 )	0.763	0.543	33	30.4	1	16.6	68	172.1	21
14	-11	Mississippi State  ( 2 - 0 )	0.760	0.561	5	21.3	17	11.4	16	163.8	108
15	-1	Washington  ( 0 - 1 )	0.758	0.544	32	17.6	56	11.3	15	167.6	72
16	+3	Florida  ( 1 - 0 )	0.749	0.563	4	21.2	18	12.5	25	160.4	122
17	--	UCF  ( 1 - 0 )	0.748	0.469	89	23.7	9	12.7	28	166.8	79
18	-3	Texas A&M  ( 1 - 1 )	0.740	0.547	27	21.0	19	12.0	20	174.1	12
19	+6	Stanford  ( 1 - 1 )	0.729	0.543	34	18.7	39	14.2	44	164.1	103
20	NA	Texas  ( 1 - 1 )	0.728	0.538	42	20.0	26	12.7	27	171.4	29
21	-1	Washington State  ( 1 - 0 )	0.726	0.535	49	23.6	10	12.8	29	173.9	14
22	-6	West Virginia  ( 0 - 1 )	0.716	0.536	46	20.9	20	13.9	40	172.1	22
23	--	Army  ( 1 - 1 )	0.706	0.453	111	18.2	48	12.5	24	158.0	127
24	NA	Miami-FL  ( 0 - 2 )	0.706	0.550	16	17.1	60	14.0	42	163.8	109
25	-1	Boise State  ( 2 - 0 )	0.703	0.458	103	18.8	38	12.2	22	169.6	49

Rankings through games of 2019-09-08

New entries: Texas, Miami-FL.

Dropped out: Missouri, Fresno State.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 4: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: LSU (0.115); Wyoming (0.108); Rutgers (0.106); Wisconsin (0.100); LA-Lafayette (0.089)

Biggest drops: Mississippi State (-0.132); South Florida (-0.117); FIU (-0.113); Missouri (-0.093); Houston (-0.086)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

29 Army 31  92 Navy 24

44 Army 38  97 Navy 21

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 12 - 0 )	0.962	0.658	10	31.3	2	9.3	3	164.3	91
2	--	Clemson  ( 12 - 0 )	0.952	0.554	48	25.5	5	8.3	1	169.9	64
3	--	Georgia  ( 10 - 2 )	0.916	0.695	3	28.3	3	11.5	12	158.8	111
4	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.897	0.584	31	24.8	8	11.0	7	155.4	126
5	--	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.873	0.626	19	18.1	53	8.8	2	155.1	127
6	--	Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 )	0.859	0.561	44	26.8	4	13.6	21	181.4	9
7	--	Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 )	0.841	0.544	52	21.0	23	11.2	9	171.9	53
8	--	Penn State  ( 9 - 3 )	0.836	0.566	42	20.9	24	11.3	10	175.8	38
9	+1	Iowa  ( 7 - 4 )	0.833	0.547	49	19.6	32	10.7	5	159.4	109
10	+1	Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 )	0.821	0.435	82	17.9	57	10.1	4	162.7	99
11	-2	UCF  ( 11 - 0 )	0.820	0.452	75	24.0	10	13.6	20	182.0	8
12	+1	Washington  ( 9 - 3 )	0.814	0.572	40	19.8	31	11.4	11	157.5	118
13	+1	Missouri  ( 7 - 4 )	0.798	0.663	7	21.9	18	13.1	19	177.8	23
14	-2	Appalachian St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.795	0.330	120	19.3	36	11.6	14	163.8	94
15	+1	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.795	0.655	11	20.2	26	12.2	15	176.3	36
16	-1	Auburn  ( 6 - 5 )	0.795	0.696	1	18.5	46	11.1	8	169.4	67
17	--	Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 )	0.793	0.578	35	32.7	1	19.7	89	173.1	47
18	--	Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 )	0.772	0.474	70	23.2	12	14.6	35	168.2	74
19	--	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.764	0.693	4	25.0	7	16.0	49	171.3	54
20	+1	West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 )	0.761	0.581	32	25.0	6	16.2	51	178.6	19
21	+1	Cincinnati  ( 9 - 2 )	0.753	0.427	89	17.6	65	11.5	13	167.8	76
22	-2	Utah  ( 8 - 4 )	0.745	0.592	26	19.1	39	12.8	18	166.6	82
23	NA	North Carolina St.  ( 8 - 3 )	0.737	0.459	73	21.0	22	14.3	31	166.1	84
24	-1	Temple  ( 8 - 3 )	0.735	0.420	93	20.1	27	13.7	23	179.1	16
25	-1	Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.734	0.517	61	23.5	11	16.0	45	168.5	70

Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: North Carolina St..

Dropped out: Florida.


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Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Virginia Tech (0.070); North Carolina St. (0.065); South Carolina (0.036); Northern Ill. (0.015); Boston College (0.015)

Biggest drops: Marshall (-0.066); East Carolina (-0.053); Akron (-0.025); Northwestern (-0.022); Utah (-0.019)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	+1	Alabama  ( 12 - 0 )	0.917	0.555	8	31.4	1	9.6	4	158.1	127
2	-1	Clemson  ( 12 - 0 )	0.916	0.540	36	27.2	4	8.0	2	170.1	45
3	--	Michigan  ( 10 - 2 )	0.866	0.552	12	23.9	8	9.9	5	164.0	105
4	+2	Georgia  ( 10 - 2 )	0.860	0.549	22	29.2	3	11.6	17	160.0	125
5	--	Iowa  ( 7 - 4 )	0.857	0.528	54	22.5	13	9.1	3	163.3	115
6	-2	Mississippi St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.851	0.561	5	23.3	11	8.0	1	163.9	107
7	--	Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 )	0.811	0.535	49	25.9	5	12.2	19	163.7	113
8	+1	LSU  ( 8 - 3 )	0.792	0.560	7	20.8	26	11.2	14	160.5	121
9	+2	Penn State  ( 9 - 3 )	0.785	0.539	39	21.6	19	10.3	8	165.9	86
10	--	Notre Dame  ( 12 - 0 )	0.785	0.564	3	19.4	35	10.3	9	165.4	94
11	+2	Auburn  ( 6 - 5 )	0.772	0.566	2	18.6	43	10.4	11	162.1	119
12	-4	Utah  ( 8 - 4 )	0.772	0.499	67	19.5	33	10.3	10	167.1	76
13	+2	UCF  ( 11 - 0 )	0.771	0.469	88	23.8	9	13.4	32	166.6	79
14	-2	Oklahoma  ( 12 - 1 )	0.766	0.542	34	29.8	2	16.4	64	172.2	20
15	-1	Washington  ( 9 - 3 )	0.758	0.542	33	19.2	38	10.7	12	167.6	72
16	--	West Virginia  ( 7 - 3 )	0.757	0.537	42	24.1	7	13.2	28	172.1	23
17	--	Missouri  ( 7 - 4 )	0.755	0.522	59	23.4	10	11.5	16	174.4	10
18	--	Washington St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.740	0.537	41	22.0	15	13.2	27	174.0	13
19	--	Texas A&M  ( 7 - 4 )	0.735	0.547	29	21.8	17	13.0	24	174.3	11
20	+1	Miami-FL  ( 6 - 5 )	0.725	0.549	19	19.6	32	11.2	15	164.1	104
21	-1	Fresno St.  ( 10 - 2 )	0.721	0.489	74	17.1	58	10.2	6	168.7	57
22	+1	Iowa St.  ( 7 - 4 )	0.715	0.549	20	17.6	54	11.6	18	171.4	27
23	+2	Florida  ( 7 - 3 )	0.713	0.563	4	21.5	20	12.4	20	160.5	122
24	--	Wisconsin  ( 7 - 5 )	0.712	0.536	47	19.4	34	14.0	39	160.3	123
25	NA	Boise St.  ( 10 - 3 )	0.710	0.457	106	21.0	24	13.3	30	169.6	49

Rankings through games of 2018-12-02

New entries: Boise St..

Dropped out: Stanford.


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Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Middle Tenn. (0.060); Memphis (0.030); California (0.023); Appalachian St. (0.019); Virginia Tech (0.018)

Biggest drops: UAB (-0.059); East Carolina (-0.039); Utah (-0.025); North Carolina St. (-0.022); Stanford (-0.021)

Full rankings after the jump.