Week 5: Top 25 — TFG

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Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	+1	Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 )	0.971	0.595	31	28.0	2	7.5	1	166.5	93
2	-1	Alabama  ( 3 - 0 )	0.968	0.736	4	29.3	1	8.1	3	168.2	78
3	--	Michigan  ( 3 - 0 )	0.912	0.409	93	25.9	5	10.7	7	160.6	115
4	+2	Stanford  ( 2 - 0 )	0.905	0.671	11	24.3	10	10.4	5	154.3	124
5	+8	Florida  ( 3 - 0 )	0.882	0.339	112	16.6	63	7.8	2	154.6	123
6	-2	Wisconsin  ( 3 - 0 )	0.861	0.473	72	19.4	38	9.8	4	157.1	120
7	+9	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 )	0.846	0.678	10	26.3	4	13.9	37	169.6	74
8	+1	Michigan St.  ( 1 - 0 )	0.844	0.734	5	21.7	19	11.5	14	162.8	106
9	+1	Houston  ( 2 - 0 )	0.843	0.600	25	21.0	27	11.2	8	174.3	46
10	-2	Washington  ( 2 - 0 )	0.835	0.385	102	20.7	32	11.3	10	168.7	76
11	-4	Clemson  ( 2 - 0 )	0.832	0.654	14	21.3	23	11.7	16	178.0	33
12	+2	Mississippi  ( 0 - 2 )	0.832	0.810	1	26.8	3	14.7	45	183.8	15
13	-2	Tennessee  ( 3 - 0 )	0.830	0.569	42	21.1	24	11.6	15	171.2	66
14	+9	Arkansas  ( 3 - 0 )	0.824	0.561	44	22.0	16	12.3	19	153.4	126
15	+2	Baylor  ( 2 - 0 )	0.819	0.334	114	20.1	35	11.4	11	195.6	1
16	-4	LSU  ( 1 - 1 )	0.809	0.734	6	20.9	28	12.2	18	158.3	118
17	NA	Virginia Tech  ( 1 - 1 )	0.801	0.599	26	22.6	14	13.4	34	173.7	48
18	+1	Iowa  ( 2 - 0 )	0.801	0.391	98	21.8	18	12.9	25	160.6	114
19	NA	Texas A&M  ( 2 - 0 )	0.798	0.701	8	19.3	39	11.5	13	185.6	10
20	--	West Virginia  ( 1 - 0 )	0.798	0.569	41	17.7	59	10.6	6	185.9	8
21	+4	Boise St.  ( 2 - 0 )	0.795	0.401	96	21.5	22	12.9	24	180.1	26
22	NA	Louisville  ( 3 - 0 )	0.784	0.436	82	23.5	11	14.4	41	169.7	73
23	-5	Notre Dame  ( 1 - 2 )	0.766	0.648	16	24.7	8	15.8	56	172.2	59
24	NA	Washington St.  ( 1 - 1 )	0.762	0.492	68	19.2	41	12.4	20	178.3	31
25	NA	Miami-FL  ( 2 - 0 )	0.760	0.464	77	20.8	31	13.4	32	167.2	86

Rankings through games of 2016-09-18

New entries: Virginia Tech, Texas A&M, Louisville, Washington St., Miami-FL.

Dropped out: Florida St., Georgia, Auburn, Nebraska, USC.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Kansas St. (0.212); Virginia Tech (0.211); Miami-FL (0.147); Army (0.124); Nevada (0.119)

Biggest drops: Boston College (-0.221); Marshall (-0.194); Appalachian St. (-0.169); Florida St. (-0.116); Georgia Southern (-0.115)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 5: Top 25 — RBA

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Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 3 - 0 )	0.954	0.557	6	22.1	14	5.2	1	157.7	128
2	--	Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 )	0.926	0.531	52	26.3	1	7.5	2	161.8	117
3	+11	USC  ( 1 - 2 )	0.805	0.538	38	23.7	5	9.9	5	167.6	69
4	-1	Michigan  ( 3 - 0 )	0.805	0.549	17	22.4	13	11.4	17	165.0	94
5	+4	Wisconsin  ( 3 - 0 )	0.800	0.536	43	17.9	54	9.9	6	161.1	120
6	+1	Stanford  ( 2 - 0 )	0.799	0.548	26	21.2	25	10.6	8	165.3	91
7	-3	Mississippi  ( 0 - 2 )	0.798	0.543	31	22.6	9	11.3	16	166.4	80
8	+14	Florida  ( 3 - 0 )	0.798	0.558	4	17.4	57	8.3	3	161.0	121
9	-4	Washington  ( 2 - 0 )	0.797	0.548	23	22.4	11	11.0	13	169.3	53
10	-4	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 )	0.785	0.548	24	24.0	4	13.5	40	172.7	18
11	-1	Clemson  ( 2 - 0 )	0.781	0.534	46	18.3	50	11.5	18	169.7	44
12	+1	Georgia  ( 2 - 0 )	0.779	0.546	28	19.3	41	10.8	11	160.8	122
13	+2	Texas A&M  ( 2 - 0 )	0.778	0.548	22	19.7	38	10.0	7	174.4	12
14	-6	Baylor  ( 2 - 0 )	0.773	0.549	19	21.9	17	12.3	25	178.6	3
15	-3	Tennessee  ( 3 - 0 )	0.772	0.552	14	18.5	48	11.0	12	163.6	112
16	-5	Florida St.  ( 1 - 1 )	0.771	0.542	33	19.9	36	13.9	44	165.9	85
17	-1	Houston  ( 2 - 0 )	0.768	0.471	85	21.3	23	11.1	14	177.4	5
18	--	LSU  ( 1 - 1 )	0.760	0.554	12	21.9	18	12.9	33	160.3	123
19	NA	Auburn  ( 1 - 2 )	0.752	0.558	5	21.2	24	12.5	28	161.4	118
20	-3	Michigan St.  ( 1 - 0 )	0.750	0.546	27	21.4	21	12.7	31	166.1	82
21	-2	West Virginia  ( 1 - 0 )	0.736	0.538	39	18.0	53	9.3	4	171.6	27
22	NA	Louisville  ( 3 - 0 )	0.735	0.490	73	25.3	3	13.0	34	165.4	88
23	-2	North Carolina  ( 1 - 1 )	0.732	0.532	51	23.5	6	14.0	45	167.4	74
24	-4	TCU  ( 1 - 1 )	0.725	0.488	74	21.6	20	13.3	36	171.1	31
25	NA	Notre Dame  ( 1 - 2 )	0.714	0.569	2	22.0	15	14.6	48	164.6	103

Rankings through games of 2016-09-18

New entries: Auburn, Louisville, Notre Dame.

Dropped out: UCLA, Arkansas, Boise St..


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Week 5: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Colorado (0.146); Missouri (0.122); Troy (0.120); Vanderbilt (0.118); Central Michigan (0.091)

Biggest drops: Iowa St. (-0.122); Georgia State (-0.092); SJSU (-0.091); Utah St. (-0.085); Bowling Green (-0.079)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 4: Saturday Predictions

32 Appalachian St. 26  47 Miami-FL 22

52 Appalachian St. 27  42 Miami-FL 24

64 Arizona 38 127 Hawaii 22

55 Arizona 52 117 Hawaii 14

23 Arkansas 42  99 Texas State 24

24 Arkansas 52 121 Texas State 17

21 Auburn 28  28 Texas A&M 25

30 Auburn 27  15 Texas A&M 24

68 Bowling Green 40  90 Middle Tenn. 31

67 Bowling Green 38  82 Middle Tenn. 24

46 BYU 28  38 UCLA 27

41 BYU 28  23 UCLA 24

67 California 34  43 Texas 35

49 California 35  54 Texas 28

70 Central Michigan 35 108 UNLV 23

81 Central Michigan 38 110 UNLV 21

129 Charlotte 36 125 Eastern Michigan 40

129 Charlotte 28 119 Eastern Michigan 27

78 Connecticut 25  81 Virginia 22

94 Connecticut 27  66 Virginia 28

13 Florida 34 124 North Texas 15

22 Florida 42 123 North Texas 6

37 Georgia Southern 38 121 LA-Monroe 20

57 Georgia Southern 45 125 LA-Monroe 14

50 Georgia Tech 27  76 Vanderbilt 21

50 Georgia Tech 28  77 Vanderbilt 20

84 Illinois 27  58 Western Michigan 29

80 Illinois 28  60 Western Michigan 31

72 Kansas St. 32 110 FL-Atlantic 22

45 Kansas St. 41  96 FL-Atlantic 17

93 Kentucky 39 117 New Mexico St. 28

70 Kentucky 49 126 New Mexico St. 17

115 LA-Lafayette 26  92 South Alabama 29

108 LA-Lafayette 31  98 South Alabama 27

31 Louisville 28   5 Florida St. 31

27 Louisville 24  11 Florida St. 28

12 LSU 30  36 Mississippi St. 24

18 LSU 28  38 Mississippi St. 24

48 Marshall 30 101 Akron 20

46 Marshall 38  99 Akron 14

114 Massachusetts 28 122 FIU 23

107 Massachusetts 28 122 FIU 24

41 Memphis 39 128 Kansas 19

43 Memphis 49 124 Kansas 13

112 Miami-OH 25  39 Western Kentucky 36

127 Miami-OH 21  40 Western Kentucky 49

3 Michigan 33  54 Colorado 21

3 Michigan 45  78 Colorado 13

14 Mississippi 27   1 Alabama 36

4 Mississippi 21   1 Alabama 34

69 Missouri 20  15 Georgia 25

74 Missouri 17  13 Georgia 27

22 Nebraska 36  27 Oregon 33

34 Nebraska 35  31 Oregon 31

100 Nevada 30 105 Buffalo 26

84 Nevada 31  92 Buffalo 24

51 North Carolina St. 40 123 Old Dominion 23

51 North Carolina St. 45 113 Old Dominion 14

88 Northern Ill. 25  33 SDSU 32

87 Northern Ill. 21  26 SDSU 34

62 Northwestern 28  75 Duke 24

59 Northwestern 28  64 Duke 21

18 Notre Dame 32   9 Michigan St. 29

32 Notre Dame 31  17 Michigan St. 28

16 Oklahoma 26   2 Ohio St. 33

6 Oklahoma 28   2 Ohio St. 35

57 Oklahoma St. 32  49 Pittsburgh 31

28 Oklahoma St. 41  56 Pittsburgh 28

53 Penn State 28  65 Temple 24

63 Penn State 27  44 Temple 24

86 Rutgers 34  97 New Mexico 28

89 Rutgers 35  85 New Mexico 27

111 SJSU 21  30 Utah 33

93 SJSU 21  29 Utah 34

74 South Carolina 27  56 East Carolina 25

62 South Carolina 27  68 East Carolina 21

73 Southern Miss. 34  77 Troy 30

58 Southern Miss. 41 105 Troy 20

6 Stanford 31  24 USC 25

7 Stanford 41  14 USC 24

79 Syracuse 27  35 South Florida 31

90 Syracuse 24  47 South Florida 34

26 TCU 38 104 Iowa St. 22

20 TCU 42  65 Iowa St. 20

11 Tennessee 38  87 Ohio 23

12 Tennessee 38  91 Ohio 10

71 Texas Tech 36  60 LA Tech 35

48 Texas Tech 41  61 LA Tech 34

42 Toledo 37 119 Fresno St. 19

36 Toledo 48 116 Fresno St. 14

118 Tulane 20  29 Navy 32

118 Tulane 17  37 Navy 35

109 UCF 26  63 Maryland 33

120 UCF 24  86 Maryland 34

116 UTEP 23  80 Army 28

114 UTEP 27  79 Army 31

52 Virginia Tech 25  66 Boston College 21

53 Virginia Tech 27  83 Boston College 17

44 Washington St. 42 103 Idaho 25

39 Washington St. 52 115 Idaho 14

4 Wisconsin 36 107 Georgia State 17

9 Wisconsin 52 101 Georgia State 10

Key
Close game							Certain victory

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Week 4: Friday Predictions

113 Rice 22  17 Baylor 37

112 Rice 17   8 Baylor 49

89 Utah St. 32  91 Arkansas St. 28

71 Utah St. 38  95 Arkansas St. 21

120 UTSA 25  40 Arizona St. 38

109 UTSA 27  35 Arizona St. 45

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 4: Thursday Predictions

55 Cincinnati 27  10 Houston 31

75 Cincinnati 24  16 Houston 38

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Formula One: Elo Ratings, Post-Italian Grand Prix

It's been six weeks since our last update, due to a combination of the summer break and summer vacation around here, but we're finally back. There's a lot we could cover -- from Rosberg surrendering a 49-point lead in the standings to Hamilton's ongoing technical woes -- but instead we'll just focus on Italy.

Not pictured: Hamilton in the lead.
Source: Daily Mail

Hamilton got onto the pole but made a horrible start, allowing Rosberg to grab the lead. Hamilton was able to charge back through the field and finish second, minimizing the damage of the poor start.

Updated ratings and analysis after the jump.

Week 4: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 2 - 0 )	0.982	0.730	5	29.5	1	6.5	1	168.2	82
2	--	Ohio St.  ( 2 - 0 )	0.977	0.519	56	27.7	2	6.7	2	166.4	91
3	--	Michigan  ( 2 - 0 )	0.908	0.340	110	23.8	8	10.1	5	160.0	113
4	+9	Wisconsin  ( 2 - 0 )	0.882	0.534	51	20.1	31	9.5	3	159.4	114
5	+6	Florida St.  ( 1 - 0 )	0.870	0.710	7	23.3	10	11.4	10	170.7	70
6	+3	Stanford  ( 1 - 0 )	0.860	0.600	31	23.8	9	12.1	19	157.3	121
7	-3	Clemson  ( 2 - 0 )	0.859	0.664	16	22.6	15	11.5	14	180.6	20
8	+2	Washington  ( 2 - 0 )	0.846	0.415	92	20.2	30	10.6	6	169.9	72
9	-1	Michigan St.  ( 0 - 0 )	0.846	0.721	6	21.8	18	11.5	13	162.1	103
10	-5	Houston  ( 1 - 0 )	0.844	0.592	36	21.8	21	11.5	12	173.1	52
11	+1	Tennessee  ( 2 - 0 )	0.831	0.624	25	22.0	17	12.1	20	173.8	47
12	+7	LSU  ( 0 - 1 )	0.829	0.731	4	21.6	22	12.0	18	157.5	120
13	+8	Florida  ( 2 - 0 )	0.826	0.458	81	17.3	60	9.6	4	156.9	122
14	-7	Mississippi  ( 0 - 1 )	0.813	0.736	2	24.0	6	13.8	36	183.1	15
15	+1	Georgia  ( 1 - 0 )	0.813	0.658	18	20.0	33	11.5	11	159.0	116
16	-10	Oklahoma  ( 1 - 1 )	0.808	0.493	67	23.0	13	13.4	31	172.2	59
17	--	Baylor  ( 1 - 0 )	0.806	0.396	98	21.0	25	12.3	21	195.0	1
18	-3	Notre Dame  ( 1 - 1 )	0.800	0.575	41	25.6	3	15.2	51	172.8	55
19	NA	Iowa  ( 2 - 0 )	0.786	0.368	105	20.7	28	12.7	24	161.9	105
20	+5	West Virginia  ( 1 - 0 )	0.774	0.536	50	17.5	58	11.0	8	188.6	7
21	NA	Auburn  ( 1 - 1 )	0.764	0.637	21	19.0	43	12.3	22	168.1	84
22	NA	Nebraska  ( 2 - 0 )	0.758	0.324	115	22.1	16	14.4	40	171.0	67
23	-3	Arkansas  ( 2 - 0 )	0.757	0.676	12	22.9	14	14.9	46	158.4	119
24	NA	USC  ( 1 - 1 )	0.749	0.732	3	19.8	37	13.1	26	170.8	69
25	-11	Boise St.  ( 2 - 0 )	0.743	0.338	112	20.0	34	13.4	30	179.6	24

Rankings through games of 2016-09-11

New entries: Iowa, Auburn, Nebraska, USC.

Dropped out: Navy, TCU, SDSU, Western Kentucky.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 4: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Texas (0.226); USC (0.128); Boston College (0.123); Troy (0.122); Maryland (0.117)

Biggest drops: Utah St. (-0.269); Iowa St. (-0.180); Middle Tenn. (-0.164); Akron (-0.142); Tulsa (-0.134)

Full rankings after the jump.