Monaco is notorious for favoring the pole-sitter. Over the last 30 years, if the pole-sitter isn't forced to retire (which they had to do in seven out of 30 tries) they go on to win 61% of the time. Barring any mistakes, Ricciardo was well-positioned to take the victory.
|Pit stop mistake. Notice the lack of new tires.|
|8||--||Sainz Jr.||Toro Rosso||1150||+22|
The big winner in all this was not Hamilton, but Force India. The mid-pack team not only managed to pick up a podium (well done, Perez) but Hulkenberg snuck by Rosberg on the final straight to snag sixth place. On the flip side of the coin, Williams' well-documented struggles with aero and downforce bit them big-time, as neither driver made it to Q3, and finished the race 10th and 11th.
Let's check in on our team ratings for the first time since the Russian Grand Prix.
Mercedes and Ferrari continue to run 1-2, but Williams has dropped nearly 200 points, allowing them to be overhauled by Red Bull, Toro Rosso, and Force India. Elo predicts that Mercedes, Ferrari, and Red Bull will be jostling for the top six spots (well, Mercedes 1-2, with Ferrari and Red Bull fighting for the last podium spot), while a four-team mid-pack of Force India, Toro Rosso, Williams, and McLaren fight for the remaining points-paying positions. Haas has settled back down to earth after a lucky start to the season; look for Alonso, Sainz, and Hulkenberg to overtake Grosjean in the points standing during the European stretch. Further down the field, look for Renault and Sauber to battle out who's going to join Manor in getting bounced in Q1.