Thursday, October 2, 2014

Week 6: Top 25 -- TFG


Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.956 0.565 36 28.7 1 9.0 3 150.2 127
2 +1 LSU  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.933 0.584 29 25.6 8 9.5 6 161.0 105
3 -1 Florida St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.929 0.670 10 28.4 2 10.8 10 165.2 90
4 +6 Auburn  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.900 0.660 11 25.7 7 11.2 13 171.6 52
5 +2 Stanford  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.898 0.598 26 18.5 44 8.2 1 154.6 123
6 +8 Mississippi  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.897 0.483 61 19.8 37 8.8 2 170.8 60
7 +18 TCU  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.896 0.451 77 20.8 27 9.3 4 175.6 32
8 +3 Oklahoma  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.895 0.573 32 25.1 10 11.2 12 164.8 92
9 +3 Mississippi St.  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.894 0.526 49 22.0 23 9.8 7 174.4 38
10 -5 Baylor  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.890 0.431 86 26.8 5 12.2 22 190.0 2
11 -3 Georgia  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.886 0.616 19 27.3 4 12.6 25 165.7 87
12 -8 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.878 0.557 41 26.2 6 12.5 23 180.3 16
13 -- Oregon  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.877 0.577 30 28.1 3 13.4 34 174.1 41
14 -5 Wisconsin  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.872 0.559 40 23.9 13 11.6 17 157.0 117
15 +3 Louisville  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.859 0.393 99 18.4 47 9.3 5 159.9 109
16 -1 Notre Dame  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.857 0.482 62 20.5 29 10.5 9 164.2 94
17 -1 Ohio St.  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.857 0.480 64 25.5 9 13.0 30 167.7 75
18 +1 BYU  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.852 0.560 38 22.2 22 11.5 16 182.9 11
19 +1 Nebraska  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.838 0.472 66 23.3 16 12.6 24 171.1 59
20 -14 Oklahoma St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.838 0.697 8 24.6 12 13.3 33 183.7 9
21 -4 Missouri  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.836 0.625 15 20.0 33 10.8 11 179.5 19
22 -- Michigan St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.833 0.416 93 23.5 14 12.8 29 161.7 102
23 NA USC  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.803 0.574 31 20.4 30 12.0 20 166.2 85
24 -1 Florida  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.798 0.612 20 19.9 36 11.9 19 174.1 40
25 NA Texas  ( 2 - 2 ) 0.786 0.620 17 17.1 58 10.5 8 170.0 64
Rankings through games of 2014-09-28

New entries: USC, Texas.

Dropped out: Clemson, South Carolina.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 6: Full Rankings -- TFG

Biggest jumps: Georgia Southern (0.751); Old Dominion (0.360); Northwestern (0.238); Minnesota (0.143); TCU (0.119)

Biggest drops: Indiana (-0.125); Oregon St. (-0.110); Penn State (-0.108); UTSA (-0.103); Boise St. (-0.101)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 6: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities, Pac-12

Last updated: Fri Oct 3 01:53:06 2014

Arizona31Oregon24Final

Week 6: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities, Conference-USA

Last updated: Fri Oct 3 00:28:05 2014

FL-Atlantic10FIU38Final

Week 6: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities, American Athletic

Last updated: Thu Oct 2 22:20:04 2014

UCF17Houston12Final

Week 6: Top 25 -- RBA


Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Florida St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.912 0.542 32 29.0 1 11.5 21 165.8 83
2 +3 Wisconsin  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.877 0.534 47 23.4 15 10.3 9 161.5 119
3 -1 Alabama  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.874 0.554 13 26.0 6 8.8 4 155.9 128
4 +8 Stanford  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.863 0.547 25 20.6 24 7.6 1 166.2 78
5 NA Georgia  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.854 0.550 23 28.9 2 11.3 16 161.0 120
6 -- Mississippi  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.850 0.536 43 21.3 21 8.3 2 164.8 97
7 -- Oklahoma  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.841 0.552 15 23.7 14 10.9 13 171.7 20
8 +2 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.841 0.551 16 26.4 4 11.3 18 174.0 10
9 -- Auburn  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.838 0.554 12 24.9 9 11.2 14 160.1 125
10 -7 LSU  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.837 0.550 20 23.4 16 9.8 6 160.5 123
11 -7 Baylor  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.834 0.559 6 27.0 3 11.3 15 176.3 5
12 -4 Oregon  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.833 0.533 49 25.1 7 12.5 28 177.4 3
13 +2 Oklahoma St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.825 0.558 7 22.7 18 11.9 24 175.7 6
14 +5 Ohio St.  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.812 0.526 58 26.2 5 11.4 19 160.8 122
15 -4 Michigan St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.811 0.541 34 24.3 11 10.7 11 166.4 77
16 -3 Notre Dame  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.802 0.565 3 19.4 32 9.7 5 164.2 101
17 NA Arkansas  ( 2 - 2 ) 0.788 0.575 2 25.0 8 11.9 23 164.9 95
18 -2 BYU  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.785 0.488 71 17.8 47 10.8 12 171.2 23
19 -1 Louisville  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.784 0.482 79 18.5 41 10.2 8 164.7 100
20 -6 Missouri  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.775 0.528 55 20.8 23 12.1 26 174.9 9
21 -- Florida  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.735 0.562 4 19.7 28 11.4 20 160.9 121
22 +3 Clemson  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.735 0.536 44 23.0 17 13.2 37 169.3 40
23 NA TCU  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.731 0.477 83 19.1 35 8.8 3 168.4 56
24 -- Kansas St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.725 0.539 39 24.2 12 14.8 52 165.2 90
25 -2 Nebraska  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.722 0.537 41 22.2 20 12.7 31 167.9 63
Rankings through games of 2014-09-28

New entries: Georgia, Arkansas, TCU.

Dropped out: USC, Arizona St., South Carolina.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 6: Full Rankings -- RBA

Biggest jumps: Georgia Southern (0.379); Old Dominion (0.283); Georgia (0.124); Kansas (0.104); TCU (0.099)

Biggest drops: Kent St. (-0.121); Troy (-0.118); Bowling Green (-0.095); Syracuse (-0.086); USC (-0.078)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, September 27, 2014

Week 5: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Pac-12

Last updated: Sun Sep 28 02:11:11 2014

Colorado56California59Final
Oregon St.10USC35Final
Washington St.28Utah27Final
Stanford20Washington13Final