Monday, September 26, 2016

Week 6: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Alabama  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.979 0.648 17 28.7 1 6.8 1 166.1 95
2 -1 Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.965 0.559 44 27.2 4 7.8 2 165.7 96
3 -- Michigan  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.937 0.435 83 26.1 5 9.4 5 161.0 114
4 +5 Houston  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.902 0.503 61 21.9 21 9.5 6 171.0 67
5 +1 Wisconsin  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.897 0.517 57 20.3 31 9.0 4 158.3 118
6 -2 Stanford  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.897 0.678 11 23.3 11 10.3 8 153.3 125
7 +5 Mississippi  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.893 0.802 1 28.6 2 12.9 27 182.6 17
8 NA Memphis  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.884 0.335 114 22.0 19 10.3 9 176.9 35
9 +2 Clemson  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.882 0.691 10 22.0 20 10.3 7 178.5 31
10 +3 Tennessee  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.866 0.623 26 23.7 9 11.8 15 174.7 43
11 -6 Florida  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.863 0.455 77 17.7 56 8.9 3 156.6 121
12 -5 Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.862 0.696 9 27.2 3 13.7 33 170.6 71
13 +6 Texas A&M  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.848 0.718 6 22.4 18 11.7 14 185.5 11
14 +3 Virginia Tech  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.836 0.583 37 23.4 10 12.7 25 170.9 68
15 NA Florida St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.827 0.752 3 24.8 7 13.8 35 166.4 91
16 +2 Iowa  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.823 0.407 92 20.2 32 11.3 11 161.4 111
17 NA TCU  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.818 0.492 66 21.1 25 12.0 17 190.1 4
18 -8 Washington  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.817 0.416 89 21.5 24 12.2 20 169.6 78
19 -4 Baylor  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.809 0.386 97 19.8 38 11.5 13 191.5 3
20 +2 Louisville  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.805 0.494 65 23.2 13 13.6 31 169.5 79
21 +4 Miami-FL  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.771 0.497 63 19.8 35 12.5 22 167.0 90
22 -6 LSU  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.765 0.736 5 18.7 46 12.0 18 157.1 120
23 +1 Washington St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.759 0.486 68 19.3 40 12.6 24 178.6 30
24 -10 Arkansas  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.758 0.614 27 22.6 17 14.7 45 153.9 124
25 NA Auburn  ( 2 - 2 ) 0.754 0.698 8 18.0 53 11.8 16 171.5 64
Rankings through games of 2016-09-25

New entries: Memphis, Florida St., TCU, Auburn.

Dropped out: Michigan St., West Virginia, Boise St., Notre Dame.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 6: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Troy (0.165); Memphis (0.153); Iowa St. (0.128); UCF (0.127); Wake Forest (0.095)

Biggest drops: Bowling Green (-0.138); Penn State (-0.132); Michigan St. (-0.129); East Carolina (-0.120); Notre Dame (-0.107)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 6: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.950 0.556 8 25.4 4 6.2 1 157.7 128
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.927 0.531 52 26.3 1 7.5 2 161.8 117
3 -- USC  ( 1 - 3 ) 0.807 0.538 39 23.7 6 10.2 6 167.6 70
4 +4 Florida  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.802 0.559 5 17.6 58 9.2 4 161.1 120
5 +8 Texas A&M  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.792 0.548 22 21.2 25 10.2 7 174.3 12
6 +3 Washington  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.792 0.547 25 22.4 13 11.7 21 169.3 53
7 -- Mississippi  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.791 0.545 31 23.3 10 10.3 9 166.5 80
8 -4 Michigan  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.790 0.549 19 23.7 7 10.6 12 165.0 97
9 -3 Stanford  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.787 0.546 27 20.5 33 10.3 8 165.2 93
10 +12 Louisville  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.784 0.491 71 26.1 3 13.3 35 165.5 89
11 +6 Houston  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.782 0.471 85 23.2 11 10.4 10 177.3 5
12 -2 Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.775 0.548 20 24.0 5 13.5 38 172.7 18
13 -8 Wisconsin  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.771 0.536 43 18.8 44 8.7 3 161.1 121
14 +7 West Virginia  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.769 0.538 38 18.7 47 9.8 5 171.6 28
15 NA Arkansas  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.764 0.574 1 22.2 14 12.8 32 164.1 108
16 -4 Georgia  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.762 0.546 28 19.1 43 11.2 17 160.9 122
17 -3 Baylor  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.762 0.549 17 21.4 22 11.9 23 178.7 3
18 -3 Tennessee  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.751 0.553 14 18.7 45 11.0 14 163.7 112
19 +1 Michigan St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.749 0.546 26 20.7 30 12.9 34 166.1 82
20 +4 TCU  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.745 0.487 75 20.6 31 11.3 19 171.2 31
21 -3 LSU  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.742 0.555 11 21.3 23 12.7 29 160.3 123
22 -3 Auburn  ( 2 - 2 ) 0.742 0.559 4 21.1 26 12.0 24 161.4 118
23 -- North Carolina  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.740 0.532 51 23.5 8 15.0 47 167.4 75
24 NA Iowa  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.739 0.523 56 18.4 51 11.0 15 163.8 110
25 -14 Clemson  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.734 0.535 45 18.0 54 10.5 11 169.7 45
Rankings through games of 2016-09-25

New entries: Arkansas, Iowa.

Dropped out: Florida St., Notre Dame.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 6: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Virginia Tech (0.155); Akron (0.139); Georgia Tech (0.089); Wake Forest (0.083); Iowa (0.079)

Biggest drops: Appalachian St. (-0.134); Vanderbilt (-0.122); Marshall (-0.108); Florida St. (-0.093); Virginia (-0.086)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, September 24, 2016

Week 5: Saturday Predictions

 88Akron24
 61Appalachian St.27
100Akron24
 54Appalachian St.34

  2Alabama40
126Kent St.12
  1Alabama42
128Kent St.0

 71Arizona26
 10Washington34
 53Arizona21
  9Washington34

 49Arizona St.40
 55California36
 36Arizona St.38
 51California34

 33Auburn25
 16LSU26
 19Auburn25
 18LSU24

 15Baylor35
 47Oklahoma St.28
 14Baylor41
 43Oklahoma St.27

111Buffalo25
 67Army32
 94Buffalo27
 76Army31

 58Cincinnati34
102Miami-OH23
 74Cincinnati42
120Miami-OH17

 72Connecticut26
 79Syracuse23
 85Connecticut27
 93Syracuse21

125FIU26
108UCF28
127FIU28
117UCF21

120FL-Atlantic25
 93Ball St.29
102FL-Atlantic28
106Ball St.24

114Fresno St.28
 81Tulsa34
116Fresno St.24
 75Tulsa41

 66Indiana26
 82Wake Forest22
 72Indiana31
 98Wake Forest17

104Iowa St.29
105SJSU25
 83Iowa St.34
101SJSU17

 90Kentucky26
 69South Carolina29
 79Kentucky24
 68South Carolina25

 75Marshall28
 22Louisville35
 47Marshall31
 22Louisville38

116Massachusetts20
 32Mississippi St.31
109Massachusetts20
 32Mississippi St.31

 31Memphis36
 77Bowling Green26
 50Memphis42
 80Bowling Green21

  3Michigan35
 52Penn State22
  4Michigan38
 66Penn State21

  8Michigan St.26
  6Wisconsin23
 20Michigan St.27
  5Wisconsin21

 89Middle Tenn.30
 65LA Tech33
 90Middle Tenn.28
 49LA Tech35

 68Minnesota30
 94Colorado St.23
 70Minnesota34
105Colorado St.17

 12Mississippi36
 29Georgia28
  7Mississippi31
 12Georgia27

 37North Carolina36
 50Pittsburgh31
 23North Carolina41
 61Pittsburgh27

 57Northwestern24
 28Nebraska27
 63Northwestern24
 33Nebraska28

 23Notre Dame39
 76Duke26
 25Notre Dame38
 77Duke20

122Old Dominion27
112UTSA30
118Old Dominion28
111UTSA27

 30Oregon37
 46Colorado31
 30Oregon38
 48Colorado27

 96Oregon St.24
 21Boise St.34
 96Oregon St.21
 26Boise St.41

101Purdue27
 86Nevada28
108Purdue27
 92Nevada34

113Rice28
128North Texas22
110Rice34
122North Texas21

 83Rutgers25
 18Iowa33
 87Rutgers24
 35Iowa38

 35South Florida28
 26Florida St.26
 39South Florida32
 16Florida St.31

 59Temple36
129Charlotte18
 65Temple45
129Charlotte17

 13Tennessee24
  5Florida21
 15Tennessee28
  8Florida24

 19Texas A&M26
 14Arkansas28
 13Texas A&M31
 27Arkansas24

117Texas State21
  9Houston38
107Texas State17
 17Houston48

 70Troy44
121New Mexico St.26
 88Troy41
113New Mexico St.24

110Tulane25
103LA-Lafayette23
123Tulane24
115LA-Lafayette21

 38UCLA24
  4Stanford30
 34UCLA24
  6Stanford31

107UNLV38
119Idaho31
 99UNLV38
114Idaho27

 80Utah St.27
 41Air Force31
 82Utah St.28
 73Air Force31

124UTEP26
 73Southern Miss.35
125UTEP20
 55Southern Miss.45

 78Virginia24
 63Central Michigan25
 71Virginia27
 67Central Michigan24

 17Virginia Tech34
 62East Carolina24
 58Virginia Tech34
 64East Carolina21

 20West Virginia27
 48BYU23
 21West Virginia28
 40BYU20

 53Western Kentucky30
 85Vanderbilt23
 42Western Kentucky31
 52Vanderbilt20

 44Western Michigan30
 56Georgia Southern25
 60Western Michigan31
 57Georgia Southern24


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, September 23, 2016

Week 5: Friday Predictions

118Eastern Michigan32
106Wyoming35
119Eastern Michigan31
 97Wyoming32

109SMU27
 27TCU42
104SMU21
 24TCU41

 43Utah27
 36USC26
 29Utah28
  3USC27


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Week 5: Thursday Predictions

 34Georgia Tech27
 11Clemson29
 56Georgia Tech24
 11Clemson28


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, September 19, 2016

Week 5: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.971 0.595 31 28.0 2 7.5 1 166.5 93
2 -1 Alabama  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.968 0.736 4 29.3 1 8.1 3 168.2 78
3 -- Michigan  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.912 0.409 93 25.9 5 10.7 7 160.6 115
4 +2 Stanford  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.905 0.671 11 24.3 10 10.4 5 154.3 124
5 +8 Florida  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.882 0.339 112 16.6 63 7.8 2 154.6 123
6 -2 Wisconsin  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.861 0.473 72 19.4 38 9.8 4 157.1 120
7 +9 Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.846 0.678 10 26.3 4 13.9 37 169.6 74
8 +1 Michigan St.  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.844 0.734 5 21.7 19 11.5 14 162.8 106
9 +1 Houston  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.843 0.600 25 21.0 27 11.2 8 174.3 46
10 -2 Washington  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.835 0.385 102 20.7 32 11.3 10 168.7 76
11 -4 Clemson  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.832 0.654 14 21.3 23 11.7 16 178.0 33
12 +2 Mississippi  ( 0 - 2 ) 0.832 0.810 1 26.8 3 14.7 45 183.8 15
13 -2 Tennessee  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.830 0.569 42 21.1 24 11.6 15 171.2 66
14 +9 Arkansas  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.824 0.561 44 22.0 16 12.3 19 153.4 126
15 +2 Baylor  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.819 0.334 114 20.1 35 11.4 11 195.6 1
16 -4 LSU  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.809 0.734 6 20.9 28 12.2 18 158.3 118
17 NA Virginia Tech  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.801 0.599 26 22.6 14 13.4 34 173.7 48
18 +1 Iowa  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.801 0.391 98 21.8 18 12.9 25 160.6 114
19 NA Texas A&M  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.798 0.701 8 19.3 39 11.5 13 185.6 10
20 -- West Virginia  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.798 0.569 41 17.7 59 10.6 6 185.9 8
21 +4 Boise St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.795 0.401 96 21.5 22 12.9 24 180.1 26
22 NA Louisville  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.784 0.436 82 23.5 11 14.4 41 169.7 73
23 -5 Notre Dame  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.766 0.648 16 24.7 8 15.8 56 172.2 59
24 NA Washington St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.762 0.492 68 19.2 41 12.4 20 178.3 31
25 NA Miami-FL  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.760 0.464 77 20.8 31 13.4 32 167.2 86
Rankings through games of 2016-09-18

New entries: Virginia Tech, Texas A&M, Louisville, Washington St., Miami-FL.

Dropped out: Florida St., Georgia, Auburn, Nebraska, USC.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Kansas St. (0.212); Virginia Tech (0.211); Miami-FL (0.147); Army (0.124); Nevada (0.119)

Biggest drops: Boston College (-0.221); Marshall (-0.194); Appalachian St. (-0.169); Florida St. (-0.116); Georgia Southern (-0.115)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 5: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.954 0.557 6 22.1 14 5.2 1 157.7 128
2 -- Ohio St.  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.926 0.531 52 26.3 1 7.5 2 161.8 117
3 +11 USC  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.805 0.538 38 23.7 5 9.9 5 167.6 69
4 -1 Michigan  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.805 0.549 17 22.4 13 11.4 17 165.0 94
5 +4 Wisconsin  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.800 0.536 43 17.9 54 9.9 6 161.1 120
6 +1 Stanford  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.799 0.548 26 21.2 25 10.6 8 165.3 91
7 -3 Mississippi  ( 0 - 2 ) 0.798 0.543 31 22.6 9 11.3 16 166.4 80
8 +14 Florida  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.798 0.558 4 17.4 57 8.3 3 161.0 121
9 -4 Washington  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.797 0.548 23 22.4 11 11.0 13 169.3 53
10 -4 Oklahoma  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.785 0.548 24 24.0 4 13.5 40 172.7 18
11 -1 Clemson  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.781 0.534 46 18.3 50 11.5 18 169.7 44
12 +1 Georgia  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.779 0.546 28 19.3 41 10.8 11 160.8 122
13 +2 Texas A&M  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.778 0.548 22 19.7 38 10.0 7 174.4 12
14 -6 Baylor  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.773 0.549 19 21.9 17 12.3 25 178.6 3
15 -3 Tennessee  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.772 0.552 14 18.5 48 11.0 12 163.6 112
16 -5 Florida St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.771 0.542 33 19.9 36 13.9 44 165.9 85
17 -1 Houston  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.768 0.471 85 21.3 23 11.1 14 177.4 5
18 -- LSU  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.760 0.554 12 21.9 18 12.9 33 160.3 123
19 NA Auburn  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.752 0.558 5 21.2 24 12.5 28 161.4 118
20 -3 Michigan St.  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.750 0.546 27 21.4 21 12.7 31 166.1 82
21 -2 West Virginia  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.736 0.538 39 18.0 53 9.3 4 171.6 27
22 NA Louisville  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.735 0.490 73 25.3 3 13.0 34 165.4 88
23 -2 North Carolina  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.732 0.532 51 23.5 6 14.0 45 167.4 74
24 -4 TCU  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.725 0.488 74 21.6 20 13.3 36 171.1 31
25 NA Notre Dame  ( 1 - 2 ) 0.714 0.569 2 22.0 15 14.6 48 164.6 103
Rankings through games of 2016-09-18

New entries: Auburn, Louisville, Notre Dame.

Dropped out: UCLA, Arkansas, Boise St..


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.