Monday, October 20, 2014

Week 9: Top 25 -- TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.961 0.647 15 26.8 5 8.0 2 154.1 127
2 +3 Mississippi  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.938 0.646 16 21.7 22 7.8 1 170.1 61
3 -1 Auburn  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.923 0.754 3 27.6 4 10.9 9 171.4 53
4 -1 Florida St.  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.908 0.600 35 28.0 2 11.9 14 166.8 87
5 +1 Mississippi St.  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.901 0.656 13 23.2 15 10.1 6 176.7 29
6 +2 TCU  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.898 0.628 24 23.8 10 10.5 8 182.6 10
7 -3 Georgia  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.891 0.602 33 27.6 3 12.5 19 163.1 103
8 +5 LSU  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.890 0.626 25 22.9 18 10.4 7 158.4 113
9 +5 Ohio St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.882 0.497 65 28.0 1 13.1 25 166.7 88
10 -3 Baylor  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.861 0.520 60 25.7 8 13.0 24 193.0 1
11 -- Clemson  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.854 0.731 4 19.5 32 10.0 5 177.5 25
12 -- Oklahoma  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.853 0.649 14 25.7 7 13.3 28 167.9 78
13 -3 Louisville  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.852 0.486 69 18.5 40 9.6 4 161.5 107
14 +3 Nebraska  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.847 0.538 57 22.6 20 11.9 15 175.4 37
15 +3 Oregon  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.847 0.598 37 26.1 6 13.7 31 173.6 41
16 -1 Notre Dame  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.844 0.640 18 20.8 28 11.0 10 169.9 64
17 +2 Michigan St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.831 0.469 70 23.0 16 12.7 21 162.3 105
18 -9 Stanford  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.817 0.601 34 15.8 71 9.0 3 158.1 115
19 +6 Missouri  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.809 0.663 12 19.2 34 11.2 11 172.6 46
20 +2 Kansas St.  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.787 0.599 36 23.4 12 14.3 35 158.2 114
21 -- Wisconsin  ( 3 - 2 ) 0.778 0.497 66 21.3 24 13.3 29 156.2 121
22 NA Marshall  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.771 0.264 123 23.3 13 14.8 40 175.9 36
23 +1 USC  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.751 0.568 44 20.1 29 13.3 27 171.6 52
24 -8 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.736 0.724 5 22.9 17 15.5 51 177.8 23
25 -2 UCLA  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.733 0.632 21 21.8 21 14.9 41 175.9 35
Rankings through games of 2014-10-19

New entries: Marshall.

Dropped out: Florida.


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Week 9: Full Rankings -- TFG

Biggest jumps: Cincinnati (0.103); Appalachian St. (0.102); West Virginia (0.089); Houston (0.082); LA-Lafayette (0.078)

Biggest drops: Kentucky (-0.159); Tennessee (-0.113); Texas A&M (-0.101); Florida (-0.099); Temple (-0.088)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 9: Top 25 -- RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.878 0.553 12 25.5 5 7.5 2 156.0 128
2 +1 Mississippi  ( 7 - 0 ) 0.873 0.537 41 22.0 18 7.2 1 164.8 101
3 -1 Florida St.  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.869 0.540 34 26.9 3 10.2 8 165.8 85
4 +3 Georgia  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.865 0.547 23 28.6 1 10.9 11 160.9 121
5 -- Baylor  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.859 0.559 5 25.1 7 11.7 21 177.0 4
6 -- Auburn  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.843 0.555 8 24.7 10 11.1 13 160.3 124
7 -3 Stanford  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.835 0.546 24 19.0 36 8.5 4 166.3 81
8 +2 Ohio St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.832 0.525 61 28.0 2 11.2 15 160.9 122
9 +2 Clemson  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.824 0.536 45 20.8 25 9.2 5 169.3 42
10 -1 TCU  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.820 0.479 79 21.1 22 8.3 3 169.0 46
11 +1 Oklahoma  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.816 0.552 13 23.5 12 11.5 16 171.7 20
12 +6 LSU  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.810 0.551 16 23.0 14 9.5 7 160.4 123
13 +1 Wisconsin  ( 3 - 2 ) 0.805 0.533 48 21.6 20 11.8 23 161.5 119
14 +1 Texas A&M  ( 4 - 3 ) 0.804 0.550 20 25.5 4 12.1 27 174.0 10
15 -7 Michigan St.  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.795 0.539 35 24.7 9 11.6 17 166.6 78
16 +1 Louisville  ( 5 - 2 ) 0.785 0.483 78 17.2 49 9.4 6 164.7 102
17 +3 Oregon  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.784 0.531 50 24.4 11 12.7 32 177.5 3
18 +3 Mississippi St.  ( 6 - 0 ) 0.777 0.557 7 20.9 24 10.8 10 163.5 110
19 +5 Missouri  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.776 0.529 56 21.7 19 11.6 19 174.6 9
20 -1 Arkansas  ( 2 - 4 ) 0.770 0.577 1 25.1 6 13.1 35 164.9 95
21 -8 Notre Dame  ( 6 - 1 ) 0.769 0.564 2 19.9 27 11.2 14 164.5 103
22 +1 Nebraska  ( 5 - 1 ) 0.759 0.536 43 22.1 17 11.7 20 168.1 62
23 -1 Florida  ( 3 - 3 ) 0.758 0.564 3 18.8 37 11.1 12 161.0 120
24 NA Kansas St.  ( 4 - 1 ) 0.750 0.539 36 24.9 8 14.0 41 165.1 92
25 -9 Oklahoma St.  ( 4 - 2 ) 0.723 0.555 9 19.5 32 12.7 31 175.8 6
Rankings through games of 2014-10-19

New entries: Kansas St..

Dropped out: USC.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 9: Full Rankings -- RBA

Biggest jumps: LA Tech (0.082); UAB (0.071); Western Michigan (0.056); Central Michigan (0.049); Kentucky (0.045)

Biggest drops: Oklahoma St. (-0.080); North Texas (-0.072); FL-Atlantic (-0.058); Army (-0.050); Notre Dame (-0.043)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Week 8: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Mountain West

Last updated: Sun Oct 19 02:05:10 2014

Nevada42BYU35Final
Utah St.13Colorado St.16Final
Hawaii10SDSU20Final
New Mexico31Air Force35Final
SJSU27Wyoming20Final

Week 8: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Independents

Last updated: Sun Oct 19 02:05:09 2014

Nevada42BYU35Final
Notre Dame27Florida St.31Final
Army17Kent St.39Final