Saturday, December 13, 2014

Week 16: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Independents

Last updated: Sat Dec 13 18:15:05 2014

Navy17Army10Final

Week 16: Saturday Predictions

119Army27
 57Navy37
104Army24
 54Navy35


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Monday, December 8, 2014

Week 16: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.943 0.703 6 27.2 4 9.5 2 161.6 106
2 +7 Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.893 0.574 46 29.4 1 13.2 21 170.1 62
3 -1 Michigan St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.890 0.529 62 24.6 9 11.2 8 164.1 101
4 +1 TCU  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.889 0.532 61 26.2 7 12.0 12 181.2 12
5 +2 Oregon  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.881 0.551 55 28.0 2 13.2 20 175.3 34
6 -3 Mississippi  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.877 0.732 3 19.1 36 9.1 1 169.0 69
7 -3 Georgia  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.865 0.643 18 26.9 5 13.4 22 164.4 98
8 -- Mississippi St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.865 0.652 13 21.2 22 10.5 6 177.7 24
9 +3 Baylor  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.846 0.534 59 26.6 6 14.0 30 192.2 1
10 -- Auburn  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.843 0.782 1 27.7 3 14.7 39 170.2 61
11 -- Florida St.  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.838 0.601 36 24.4 10 13.1 19 166.6 81
12 +1 LSU  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.831 0.711 4 17.8 53 9.8 3 158.6 116
13 +3 Arkansas  ( 5 - 6 ) 0.821 0.752 2 20.1 26 11.3 9 157.4 119
14 +1 Kansas St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.817 0.613 29 23.6 13 13.5 25 157.1 120
15 -9 Wisconsin  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.807 0.564 48 22.3 14 13.0 18 156.1 124
16 +1 Georgia Tech  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.806 0.650 16 26.2 8 15.3 46 158.6 115
17 -3 Oklahoma  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.797 0.570 47 24.0 12 14.3 33 170.3 60
18 +1 Louisville  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.788 0.529 63 20.6 24 12.6 13 164.6 97
19 +1 Stanford  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.779 0.581 44 16.2 74 10.1 4 157.9 117
20 +1 Clemson  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.770 0.563 49 16.1 76 10.2 5 171.8 51
21 +1 Marshall  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.760 0.339 112 22.1 15 14.3 34 178.1 21
22 +1 Boise St.  ( 11 - 2 ) 0.751 0.443 78 24.4 11 16.1 53 173.6 40
23 -5 Missouri  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.748 0.659 9 18.0 48 11.9 11 170.4 57
24 +1 USC  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.733 0.539 57 19.5 30 13.4 23 172.6 47
25 -1 Nebraska  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.725 0.563 50 21.5 20 14.9 44 173.1 45
Rankings through games of 2014-12-07

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: Northern Ill. (0.060); Oklahoma St. (0.048); Ohio St. (0.040); East Carolina (0.030); TCU (0.023)

Biggest drops: Wisconsin (-0.058); Bowling Green (-0.054); Iowa St. (-0.050); Missouri (-0.044); Arizona (-0.040)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 16: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.896 0.551 15 25.4 7 8.2 2 156.5 128
2 -- Mississippi  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.873 0.539 37 21.4 22 7.5 1 164.9 96
3 -- Georgia  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.857 0.546 23 29.0 1 12.1 18 161.0 122
4 -- LSU  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.850 0.550 16 21.9 19 8.5 3 160.4 125
5 -- Florida St.  ( 12 - 0 ) 0.841 0.541 31 25.2 8 11.1 13 165.6 87
6 +1 Michigan St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.835 0.539 34 25.5 6 10.5 11 166.4 78
7 +3 Ohio St.  ( 12 - 1 ) 0.829 0.524 59 27.1 2 12.0 17 161.2 120
8 -- Mississippi St.  ( 9 - 2 ) 0.826 0.553 11 21.4 21 9.6 6 163.9 108
9 -- Wisconsin  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.820 0.534 47 22.6 15 11.5 14 161.2 119
10 +3 TCU  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.817 0.482 78 24.2 11 10.1 9 169.3 41
11 -- Oregon  ( 11 - 1 ) 0.812 0.529 52 25.8 4 12.2 21 177.6 2
12 +3 Kansas St.  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.808 0.539 38 25.5 5 12.5 25 165.0 93
13 -1 Auburn  ( 7 - 4 ) 0.807 0.556 8 24.9 9 11.9 15 160.6 123
14 -8 Baylor  ( 10 - 1 ) 0.807 0.557 6 25.9 3 12.8 28 177.2 4
15 -1 Stanford  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.805 0.546 24 19.9 30 8.9 4 166.2 81
16 -- Oklahoma  ( 8 - 4 ) 0.801 0.549 18 23.6 12 12.4 24 171.9 21
17 -- Arkansas  ( 5 - 6 ) 0.774 0.573 1 24.3 10 13.4 32 164.7 102
18 +1 Florida  ( 5 - 5 ) 0.753 0.562 3 18.6 38 10.3 10 161.1 121
19 -1 Missouri  ( 9 - 3 ) 0.753 0.526 56 18.5 39 10.0 8 174.5 9
20 -- Texas  ( 6 - 6 ) 0.749 0.534 45 16.9 53 9.3 5 169.2 43
21 -- Louisville  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.745 0.484 76 19.2 33 11.9 16 164.7 101
22 -- Tennessee  ( 5 - 6 ) 0.733 0.548 21 18.1 41 12.5 26 162.7 112
23 -- Clemson  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.726 0.535 44 17.2 48 9.9 7 169.0 48
24 -- Nebraska  ( 8 - 3 ) 0.722 0.534 46 22.0 18 13.3 31 167.9 62
25 -- Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 ) 0.717 0.549 19 21.1 23 13.2 30 173.9 11
Rankings through games of 2014-12-07

New entries: none.

Dropped out: none.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 16: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Boise St. (0.035); LA Tech (0.035); Oklahoma (0.022); Kansas St. (0.015); TCU (0.014)

Biggest drops: Marshall (-0.069); Baylor (-0.027); Bowling Green (-0.021); Tulane (-0.019); Connecticut (-0.016)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, December 6, 2014

Week 15: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, SEC

Last updated: Sat Dec 6 19:39:06 2014

Alabama42Missouri13Final

Week 15: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Big XII

Last updated: Sat Dec 6 23:17:06 2014

Kansas St.27Baylor38Final
Oklahoma St.38Oklahoma35Final
Iowa St.3TCU55Final

Week 15: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, ACC

Last updated: Sat Dec 6 23:30:05 2014

Florida St.37Georgia Tech35Final

Week 15: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Big Ten

Last updated: Sat Dec 6 23:55:05 2014

Wisconsin0Ohio St.59Final