Monday, September 22, 2014

Week 5: Top 25 -- TFG


Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 +1 Alabama  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.954 0.550 44 28.6 4 9.2 2 150.1 125
2 -1 Florida St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.951 0.728 7 28.6 3 9.4 3 161.0 104
3 -- LSU  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.926 0.750 5 25.8 10 10.0 7 158.8 111
4 +8 Texas A&M  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.907 0.560 38 27.2 5 11.6 18 179.9 16
5 +1 Baylor  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.904 0.423 91 26.5 7 11.4 15 188.8 4
6 -1 Oklahoma St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.904 0.775 3 28.8 1 12.4 23 185.1 8
7 +1 Stanford  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.903 0.562 37 18.9 45 8.2 1 154.3 122
8 +11 Georgia  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.902 0.624 23 27.0 6 11.7 19 162.4 97
9 +4 Wisconsin  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.900 0.661 17 25.8 9 11.3 13 161.3 101
10 -1 Auburn  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.900 0.682 13 25.5 11 11.2 12 172.4 44
11 -7 Oklahoma  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.900 0.564 35 25.3 12 11.1 11 166.5 84
12 -1 Mississippi St.  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.890 0.541 48 21.1 22 9.6 4 174.5 35
13 -6 Oregon  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.880 0.556 40 28.8 2 13.6 37 174.0 38
14 +2 Mississippi  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.875 0.518 55 20.4 29 9.8 6 171.6 49
15 -1 Notre Dame  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.867 0.474 67 20.4 30 10.1 9 163.3 94
16 -1 Ohio St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.864 0.468 70 26.3 8 13.1 28 166.5 83
17 -7 Missouri  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.861 0.645 20 21.5 20 10.8 10 175.4 33
18 +5 Louisville  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.837 0.379 103 17.8 54 9.6 5 158.7 112
19 -1 BYU  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.824 0.551 43 20.8 27 11.6 17 182.7 14
20 +1 Nebraska  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.809 0.464 71 23.2 16 13.5 33 171.7 48
21 NA Clemson  ( 0 - 2 ) 0.800 0.852 1 20.5 28 12.1 21 180.4 15
22 -5 Michigan St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.798 0.462 74 21.1 24 12.6 25 165.2 87
23 -3 Florida  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.789 0.603 29 19.0 43 11.6 16 173.1 43
24 -2 South Carolina  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.780 0.751 4 24.7 13 15.4 45 158.1 114
25 NA TCU  ( 1 - 0 ) 0.777 0.618 26 19.3 39 12.1 22 173.3 41
Rankings through games of 2014-09-21

New entries: Clemson, TCU.

Dropped out: Washington, Kansas St..

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings -- TFG

Biggest jumps: Arkansas (0.122); Maryland (0.111); Rutgers (0.107); Washington St. (0.103); Virginia (0.100)

Biggest drops: Syracuse (-0.159); Northern Ill. (-0.150); SDSU (-0.136); North Carolina (-0.127); Bowling Green (-0.092)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 5: Top 25 -- RBA


Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page
Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Florida St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.917 0.542 30 29.6 2 8.5 2 165.6 84
2 -- Alabama  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.879 0.554 12 26.0 7 8.8 3 155.9 128
3 +3 LSU  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.862 0.552 16 21.3 21 9.4 6 160.4 123
4 -1 Baylor  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.862 0.560 6 26.9 5 11.5 21 176.1 5
5 -- Wisconsin  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.858 0.534 48 27.4 4 9.4 5 161.6 118
6 -2 Mississippi  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.850 0.538 41 24.1 13 9.3 4 164.7 99
7 +3 Oklahoma  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.839 0.551 19 23.7 14 10.9 15 171.7 20
8 +1 Oregon  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.837 0.532 50 25.1 10 12.5 29 177.4 3
9 +8 Auburn  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.835 0.555 11 25.4 9 10.8 14 160.1 124
10 +2 Texas A&M  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.827 0.551 17 26.7 6 11.5 22 174.0 10
11 -3 Michigan St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.819 0.542 32 23.1 16 10.3 9 166.5 75
12 -1 Stanford  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.819 0.547 24 20.9 24 7.9 1 166.2 77
13 -- Notre Dame  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.814 0.567 3 19.8 29 9.9 8 164.2 101
14 +2 Missouri  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.813 0.528 56 21.5 20 12.3 26 174.8 9
15 +3 Oklahoma St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.789 0.558 7 22.8 17 10.4 11 175.6 6
16 -2 BYU  ( 4 - 0 ) 0.787 0.488 73 17.8 48 10.8 13 171.2 23
17 +3 USC  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.777 0.540 36 20.0 27 13.1 36 166.6 72
18 -11 Louisville  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.776 0.482 79 19.3 35 10.3 10 164.7 97
19 +4 Ohio St.  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.748 0.526 59 25.5 8 11.5 23 160.7 122
20 +4 Arizona St.  ( 2 - 0 ) 0.745 0.539 39 23.4 15 15.2 52 174.8 8
21 -6 Florida  ( 2 - 1 ) 0.743 0.562 4 19.7 30 11.4 20 160.9 120
22 +3 South Carolina  ( 3 - 1 ) 0.738 0.542 31 24.7 12 17.1 71 158.3 127
23 NA Nebraska  ( 3 - 0 ) 0.737 0.538 40 22.3 18 13.1 37 167.8 63
24 -2 Kansas St.  ( 1 - 1 ) 0.735 0.540 35 21.1 22 12.5 28 165.3 89
25 -6 Clemson  ( 0 - 2 ) 0.735 0.537 43 21.7 19 12.6 31 169.1 41
Rankings through games of 2014-09-21

New entries: Nebraska.

Dropped out: Georgia.

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 5: Full Rankings -- RBA

Biggest jumps: Utah (0.119); Georgia Southern (0.118); Ball St. (0.110); Middle Tenn. (0.092); California (0.084)

Biggest drops: South Alabama (-0.138); SMU (-0.131); Central Michigan (-0.099); Kansas (-0.095); Army (-0.079)

Full rankings after the jump.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Week 4: Saturday Predictions


116Akron24
 59Marshall32
 99Akron21
 49Marshall31

  2Alabama31
 20Florida20
  2Alabama34
 15Florida14

 31Arizona40
 90California26
 29Arizona42
100California17

 48Arkansas32
 58Northern Ill.28
 43Arkansas31
 44Northern Ill.24

 86Arkansas St.25
 61Utah St.27
 80Arkansas St.24
 58Utah St.27

 38Boise St.38
 92LA-Lafayette24
 40Boise St.48
 87LA-Lafayette17

 18BYU33
 68Virginia21
 14BYU34
101Virginia14

 44Cincinnati38
123Miami-OH20
 37Cincinnati42
121Miami-OH14

 98Colorado30
 88Hawaii31
109Colorado35
 90Hawaii31

 35Duke35
 95Tulane21
 50Duke38
104Tulane14

 43East Carolina29
 37North Carolina28
 54East Carolina28
 38North Carolina27

122FIU17
 23Louisville32
126FIU14
  7Louisville48

  1Florida St.41
 28Clemson24
  1Florida St.42
 19Clemson21

 19Georgia44
105Troy23
 21Georgia48
111Troy17

 60Houston37
 96UNLV26
 61Houston35
 96UNLV21

 78Illinois34
102Texas State26
 75Illinois38
102Texas State20

118Kansas24
107Central Michigan26
107Kansas20
 97Central Michigan24

  3LSU29
 11Mississippi St.22
  6LSU34
 32Mississippi St.17

 84Memphis31
 82Middle Tenn.29
 93Memphis28
 92Middle Tenn.27

 50Michigan28
 45Utah27
 39Michigan34
 63Utah24

 17Michigan St.42
125Eastern Michigan12
  8Michigan St.52
124Eastern Michigan0

 74Minnesota32
 89SJSU26
 56Minnesota38
 76SJSU24

 10Missouri41
 64Indiana26
 16Missouri45
 64Indiana20

 46Navy30
 80Rutgers23
 59Navy31
 70Rutgers24

 21Nebraska35
 54Miami-FL25
 27Nebraska38
 51Miami-FL20

120New Mexico St.34
106New Mexico36
118New Mexico St.34
110New Mexico35

112Ohio36
121Idaho26
119Ohio35
120Idaho20

 49Oregon St.33
 70SDSU27
 36Oregon St.38
 66SDSU24

 39Penn State35
124Massachusetts16
 34Penn State38
123Massachusetts3

 52Pittsburgh24
 40Iowa26
 52Pittsburgh25
 28Iowa24

 72Rice25
NAOld Dominion24
 84Rice45
125Old Dominion20

114SMU20
 12Texas A&M40
 81SMU17
 12Texas A&M41

 94South Alabama25
NAGeorgia Southern29
 79South Alabama35
127Georgia Southern21

119Southern Miss.40
NAAppalachian St.27
122Southern Miss.45
128Appalachian St.20

 30Syracuse29
 75Maryland21
 60Syracuse31
 77Maryland17

 69Toledo34
 73Ball St.31
 71Toledo31
 78Ball St.28

 91Vanderbilt22
 22South Carolina32
 82Vanderbilt20
 25South Carolina34

 29Virginia Tech28
 32Georgia Tech27
 46Virginia Tech28
 42Georgia Tech24

108Wake Forest30
109Army25
 94Wake Forest28
 88Army24

 24Washington43
117Georgia State20
 30Washington45
117Georgia State10

 77Washington St.27
  7Oregon42
 67Washington St.21
  9Oregon45

 53West Virginia29
  4Oklahoma38
 69West Virginia24
 10Oklahoma35

 13Wisconsin34
 56Bowling Green22
  5Wisconsin42
 55Bowling Green17

 97Wyoming26
 99FL-Atlantic24
 95Wyoming28
106FL-Atlantic27


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 4: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities, Sun Belt

Last updated: Sun Sep 21 02:02:10 2014

Utah St.14Arkansas St.21Final
LA-Lafayette9Boise St.34Final
Troy0Georgia66Final
Texas State35Illinois42Final
New Mexico38New Mexico St.35Final
Idaho24Ohio36Final
Georgia State14Washington45Final
Georgia SouthernatSouth Alabama Later
Appalachian St.atSouthern Miss. Later