Week 15: Friday In-Game Win Probabilities, Pac-12

Last updated: Sat Dec 6 00:47:06 2014

Arizona

13

Oregon

51

Final

Week 15: Friday In-Game Win Probabilities, Mid-American

Last updated: Fri Dec 5 22:30:06 2014

Bowling Green

17

Northern Ill.

51

Final

Week 15: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities, American Athletic

Last updated: Thu Dec 4 22:58:04 2014

UCF

32

East Carolina

30

Final

Week 15: Thursday Predictions

56 East Carolina 28  36 UCF 30

44 East Carolina 29  31 UCF 28

Key
Close game							Certain victory

Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2014-11-30

Week 15: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2014-11-30

Week 15: Top 25 — TFG

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 10 - 1 )	0.934	0.699	6	26.1	6	9.6	2	162.4	105
2	+3	Michigan St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.885	0.517	62	24.4	11	11.3	9	164.1	100
3	+6	Mississippi  ( 8 - 3 )	0.876	0.729	3	19.0	38	9.1	1	168.8	69
4	-1	Georgia  ( 8 - 3 )	0.867	0.649	14	27.1	4	13.4	23	164.4	98
5	+10	TCU  ( 9 - 1 )	0.865	0.561	49	26.3	5	13.1	20	181.8	11
6	-2	Wisconsin  ( 9 - 2 )	0.865	0.515	63	24.6	10	12.2	12	155.7	124
7	--	Oregon  ( 10 - 1 )	0.865	0.542	59	27.5	3	13.7	26	174.9	36
8	-6	Mississippi St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.863	0.648	15	21.1	23	10.6	6	177.5	24
9	-1	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 )	0.853	0.543	57	28.0	1	14.4	33	169.8	63
10	--	Auburn  ( 7 - 4 )	0.842	0.780	1	27.7	2	14.8	44	170.0	60
11	--	Florida St.  ( 11 - 0 )	0.839	0.568	46	24.2	12	13.0	18	166.6	80
12	-6	Baylor  ( 9 - 1 )	0.837	0.494	68	26.1	7	14.1	31	193.0	1
13	-1	LSU  ( 7 - 4 )	0.835	0.712	4	17.9	50	9.7	3	158.5	116
14	-1	Oklahoma  ( 8 - 3 )	0.833	0.579	42	24.1	13	13.2	21	170.0	62
15	+2	Kansas St.  ( 8 - 2 )	0.830	0.577	44	23.9	14	13.1	19	157.6	119
16	-2	Arkansas  ( 5 - 6 )	0.818	0.750	2	20.0	26	11.4	10	157.4	120
17	+1	Georgia Tech  ( 9 - 2 )	0.812	0.622	24	25.9	8	14.9	45	158.6	115
18	+2	Missouri  ( 9 - 2 )	0.792	0.611	32	18.5	42	11.2	8	171.3	53
19	-3	Louisville  ( 8 - 3 )	0.790	0.529	60	20.7	24	12.6	13	164.6	97
20	+4	Stanford  ( 6 - 5 )	0.778	0.579	43	16.2	75	10.1	4	157.9	117
21	+1	Clemson  ( 8 - 3 )	0.768	0.564	47	16.1	77	10.3	5	171.8	50
22	-3	Marshall  ( 10 - 1 )	0.762	0.307	117	22.7	15	14.6	36	178.1	21
23	NA	Boise St.  ( 10 - 2 )	0.747	0.455	76	25.1	9	16.7	57	175.4	33
24	-1	Nebraska  ( 8 - 3 )	0.738	0.576	45	21.6	20	14.7	39	173.1	44
25	NA	USC  ( 8 - 4 )	0.736	0.544	56	19.6	29	13.3	22	172.5	47

Rankings through games of 2014-11-30

New entries: Boise St., USC.

Dropped out: UCLA, Notre Dame.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — TFG

Biggest jumps: LA Tech (0.084); SDSU (0.079); Western Kentucky (0.065); North Carolina St. (0.055); USC (0.054)

Biggest drops: Notre Dame (-0.096); Texas (-0.073); Northwestern (-0.071); Rice (-0.060); North Carolina (-0.060)

Full rankings after the jump.

Week 15: Top 25 — RBA

Mouse over column headers for definitions, or see this page

Rank	+/-	Team	WinPct	SoS		Adjusted
						Off.		Def.		Pace
1	--	Alabama  ( 10 - 1 )	0.905	0.551	14	25.1	7	8.4	2	156.4	128
2	--	Mississippi  ( 8 - 3 )	0.873	0.538	38	21.4	23	7.5	1	164.9	95
3	+1	Georgia  ( 8 - 3 )	0.855	0.546	23	29.0	1	12.1	20	161.0	122
4	+2	LSU  ( 7 - 4 )	0.852	0.550	15	21.9	20	8.5	3	160.4	125
5	--	Florida St.  ( 11 - 0 )	0.838	0.540	32	25.0	8	10.7	11	165.6	87
6	+3	Baylor  ( 9 - 1 )	0.834	0.557	6	25.8	3	12.8	28	177.3	3
7	+4	Michigan St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.833	0.540	35	25.5	5	10.5	10	166.4	78
8	+8	Mississippi St.  ( 9 - 2 )	0.833	0.553	11	21.4	22	9.6	6	163.9	107
9	-1	Wisconsin  ( 9 - 2 )	0.830	0.532	48	23.4	13	10.8	12	161.2	119
10	-3	Ohio St.  ( 11 - 1 )	0.824	0.523	59	26.9	2	12.3	25	161.1	121
11	+4	Oregon  ( 10 - 1 )	0.806	0.530	52	25.6	4	12.6	27	177.5	2
12	-2	Auburn  ( 7 - 4 )	0.805	0.556	7	24.9	9	11.9	18	160.6	123
13	-10	TCU  ( 9 - 1 )	0.803	0.482	78	23.5	12	11.2	14	169.2	43
14	-2	Stanford  ( 6 - 5 )	0.799	0.546	24	19.9	30	8.9	4	166.2	81
15	-2	Kansas St.  ( 8 - 2 )	0.793	0.540	34	25.5	6	12.2	23	165.0	93
16	+1	Oklahoma  ( 8 - 3 )	0.779	0.549	18	23.7	11	11.7	15	171.9	20
17	-3	Arkansas  ( 5 - 6 )	0.772	0.573	1	24.3	10	13.4	31	164.7	100
18	+1	Missouri  ( 9 - 2 )	0.757	0.525	58	18.3	39	10.4	9	174.5	9
19	-1	Florida  ( 5 - 5 )	0.756	0.562	3	18.6	38	10.3	8	161.1	120
20	+4	Texas  ( 6 - 6 )	0.748	0.534	46	16.9	54	9.3	5	169.2	42
21	-1	Louisville  ( 8 - 3 )	0.740	0.484	76	19.2	34	11.9	17	164.7	99
22	-1	Tennessee  ( 5 - 6 )	0.732	0.548	22	18.1	41	12.5	26	162.7	114
23	-1	Clemson  ( 8 - 3 )	0.731	0.535	44	17.2	47	9.9	7	169.0	47
24	-1	Nebraska  ( 8 - 3 )	0.724	0.534	45	22.0	19	13.3	30	167.9	61
25	NA	Texas A&M  ( 6 - 5 )	0.717	0.549	19	21.1	24	13.2	29	173.9	11

Rankings through games of 2014-11-30

New entries: Texas A&M.

Dropped out: USC.


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 15: Full Rankings — RBA

Biggest jumps: Texas State (0.086); Northwestern (0.074); Navy (0.062); Old Dominion (0.060); Buffalo (0.051)

Biggest drops: Georgia Southern (-0.162); Syracuse (-0.065); Miami-FL (-0.054); TCU (-0.053); Utah (-0.049)

Full rankings after the jump.