Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Week 1: Top 25 -- TFG


Rank +/- Team WinPct SoS Adjusted
Off. Def. Pace
1 -- Alabama 0.975 0.667 5 37.7 2 8.8 1 149.8 120
2 -- LSU 0.940 0.717 1 33.6 5 11.2 2 153.7 112
3 -- Boise St. 0.898 0.432 83 34.1 4 14.3 5 160.9 83
4 -- Wisconsin 0.874 0.555 50 40.2 1 18.5 38 152.3 117
5 -- Stanford 0.865 0.561 45 34.7 3 16.5 21 158.1 99
6 -- Oregon 0.858 0.614 15 30.1 9 14.7 7 180.2 6
7 -- Oklahoma 0.852 0.596 28 24.9 26 12.4 3 179.2 7
8 -- TCU 0.850 0.420 86 32.1 6 16.1 20 159.0 94
9 -- Oklahoma St. 0.837 0.598 26 29.2 10 15.2 12 181.3 3
10 -- Arkansas 0.821 0.642 8 31.9 7 17.3 29 168.0 33
11 -- South Carolina 0.810 0.633 11 27.6 13 15.5 16 156.6 102
12 -- Florida St. 0.797 0.547 52 26.3 19 15.2 13 155.5 108
13 -- Michigan St. 0.785 0.607 20 25.7 22 15.3 14 161.8 75
14 -- Michigan 0.784 0.574 34 31.0 8 18.5 39 156.1 106
15 -- USC 0.771 0.570 37 27.6 14 17.0 23 164.0 53
16 +2 Notre Dame 0.761 0.619 14 23.9 31 15.1 11 164.9 47
17 -- Virginia Tech 0.759 0.518 61 24.5 29 15.4 15 156.6 103
18 -2 Florida 0.757 0.673 4 24.7 27 15.7 17 157.3 101
19 +1 Texas A&M 0.755 0.596 27 22.6 42 14.4 6 184.6 1
20 -1 Georgia 0.754 0.619 13 26.9 16 17.2 24 163.1 58
21 -- Houston 0.742 0.396 94 28.1 12 18.4 37 180.5 4
22 -- Ohio St. 0.727 0.567 42 25.4 23 17.2 26 153.4 114
23 -- Missouri 0.716 0.568 41 21.6 50 14.9 9 170.3 21
24 NA Nebraska 0.709 0.602 25 22.5 43 15.7 18 164.2 51
25 -- Temple 0.706 0.304 120 24.4 30 17.2 27 150.4 119
Rankings through games of 2012-08-26

If you're a regular reader of the Tempo-Free Gridiron you may be saying to yourself, "Justin, these rankings look almost exactly like the final top 25 rankings from last year." If so, you are correct. We don't use any data to try and prediction the upcoming season other than our historical data from the last few years. The upshot of this is that our early season predictions may be slightly off since we don't know that Ohio State and Arkansas have new coaches, or that USC is fully reloaded. The algorithm should figure it out, slowly but surely.

Until then, the only churn from last year to this year is the result of some housekeeping where we were improperly including results from some FCS teams last year. All of that has been cleaned up and the results you see are our starting point for the 2012-2013 season.

New entries: Nebraska.

Dropped out: Texas.

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