Tuesday, November 15, 2016

Week 12: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-11-13

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.947 1 0.555 9 25.6 5 5.1 1 157.9 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  22 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 84.1%
2016/09/10  40 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 89.2%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at   7 Mississippi 43 189 81.6%
2016/09/24 125 Kent St. 0 at   1 Alabama 48 149 99.6%
2016/10/01  75 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 97.5%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  27 Arkansas 30 163 86.4%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 49 at  26 Tennessee 10 167 88.6%
2016/10/22  14 Texas A&M 14 at   1 Alabama 33 177 82.5%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 10 at   5 LSU 0 144 74.8%
2016/11/12  54 Mississippi St. 3 at   1 Alabama 51 176 95.5%
2016/11/26   7 Auburn 17 at   1 Alabama 28 159 81.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 81.8%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Auburn Tigers, 81.8%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.758 16 0.465 91 23.2 13 13.6 33 169.3 54
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  61 Western Michigan 22 at  60 Northwestern 21 155 45.2%
2016/09/17  60 Western Michigan 34 at  81 Illinois 10 153 62.7%
2016/09/24  57 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 50.9%
2016/10/01  37 Western Michigan 49 at  69 Central Michigan 10 144 57.9%
2016/10/08  91 Northern Ill. 30 at  25 Western Michigan 45 175 79.7%
2016/10/15  27 Western Michigan 41 at  82 Akron 0 169 82.6%
2016/10/22 110 Eastern Michigan 31 at  20 Western Michigan 45 173 91.5%
2016/11/01  17 Western Michigan 52 at 107 Ball St. 20 168 92.0%
2016/11/08  17 Western Michigan 37 at 116 Kent St. 21 154 94.9%
2016/11/19 114 Buffalo 17 at  16 Western Michigan 38 168 91.3%
2016/11/25  46 Toledo 27 at  16 Western Michigan 38 169 67.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 61.5%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 67.4%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2016-11-13

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.835 8 0.534 46 21.3 25 10.3 10 170.1 42
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  10 Clemson 19 at  31 Auburn 13 174 70.1%
2016/09/10 105 Troy 24 at  10 Clemson 30 198 94.8%
2016/09/22  25 Clemson 26 at  37 Georgia Tech 7 162 76.9%
2016/10/01   9 Louisville 36 at  18 Clemson 42 194 61.3%
2016/10/07  22 Clemson 56 at  78 Boston College 10 164 88.9%
2016/10/15  45 North Carolina St. 17 at  12 Clemson 24 190 70.2%
2016/10/29  15 Clemson 37 at  27 Florida St. 34 179 64.7%
2016/11/05  89 Syracuse 0 at  15 Clemson 54 182 91.2%
2016/11/12  41 Pittsburgh 43 at   8 Clemson 42 195 71.3%
2016/11/19   8 Clemson 35 at  75 Wake Forest 17 168 89.5%
2016/11/26  63 South Carolina 14 at   8 Clemson 35 164 86.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 77.1%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs South Carolina Gamecocks, 86.2%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.914 2 0.531 52 26.3 2 6.9 2 162.1 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  67 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 84.3%
2016/09/10  76 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 92.3%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  10 Oklahoma 24 165 72.4%
2016/10/01  81 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 96.6%
2016/10/08  64 Indiana 17 at   1 Ohio St. 38 169 95.5%
2016/10/15   2 Ohio St. 30 at   7 Wisconsin 23 174 82.0%
2016/10/22   2 Ohio St. 21 at  57 Penn State 24 174 95.0%
2016/10/29  39 Northwestern 20 at   2 Ohio St. 24 167 92.0%
2016/11/05  35 Nebraska 3 at   2 Ohio St. 62 166 86.2%
2016/11/12   2 Ohio St. 62 at  86 Maryland 3 176 94.6%
2016/11/19   2 Ohio St. 38 at  66 Michigan St. 17 164 94.8%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 17 at   2 Ohio St. 31 163 56.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 53.5%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 56.4%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.898 3 0.548 20 24.3 10 8.2 5 164.7 101
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 118 Hawaii 3 at   9 Michigan 63 142 97.4%
2016/09/10 120 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 95.9%
2016/09/17  48 Colorado 28 at   4 Michigan 45 176 90.7%
2016/09/24  55 Penn State 10 at   8 Michigan 49 161 83.6%
2016/10/01   6 Wisconsin 7 at   4 Michigan 14 157 54.9%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  81 Rutgers 0 163 90.2%
2016/10/22  80 Illinois 8 at   3 Michigan 41 148 94.5%
2016/10/29   3 Michigan 32 at  63 Michigan St. 23 159 89.6%
2016/11/05  76 Maryland 3 at   3 Michigan 59 153 94.3%
2016/11/12   3 Michigan 13 at  44 Iowa 14 153 81.8%
2016/11/19  67 Indiana 17 at   3 Michigan 41 169 93.4%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 17 at   2 Ohio St. 31 163 43.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 40.7%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 43.6%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.841 6 0.547 25 26.3 2 11.5 18 169.2 56
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  88 Rutgers 13 at   5 Washington 48 176 91.6%
2016/09/10 115 Idaho 14 at   5 Washington 59 165 96.4%
2016/09/24   6 Washington 35 at  62 Arizona 28 170 80.0%
2016/09/30  10 Stanford 6 at  11 Washington 44 143 48.5%
2016/10/08   5 Washington 70 at  46 Oregon 21 185 70.3%
2016/10/22  89 Oregon St. 17 at   5 Washington 41 153 93.1%
2016/10/29   6 Washington 31 at  36 Utah 24 164 80.2%
2016/11/05   7 Washington 66 at  60 California 27 181 86.0%
2016/11/12   4 USC 26 at   6 Washington 13 155 58.1%
2016/11/19  59 Arizona St. 24 at   6 Washington 45 172 85.8%
2016/11/25   6 Washington 28 at  13 Washington St. 31 171 37.8%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 32.4%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington State Cougars, 37.8%


Washington State Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.784 13 0.540 34 24.9 7 12.7 22 174.6 11
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10  39 Washington St. 28 at  25 Boise St. 31 179 42.6%
2016/09/17 114 Idaho 6 at  37 Washington St. 56 178 90.6%
2016/10/01  43 Oregon 33 at  26 Washington St. 51 176 50.3%
2016/10/08  17 Washington St. 42 at   4 Stanford 16 159 39.4%
2016/10/15  35 UCLA 21 at  14 Washington St. 27 173 57.4%
2016/10/22  13 Washington St. 37 at  54 Arizona St. 32 159 74.7%
2016/10/29  16 Washington St. 35 at  88 Oregon St. 31 171 88.9%
2016/11/05  63 Arizona 7 at  20 Washington St. 69 166 77.8%
2016/11/12  61 California 21 at  13 Washington St. 56 202 70.3%
2016/11/19  13 Washington St. 28 at  15 Colorado 27 172 51.4%
2016/11/25   6 Washington 28 at  13 Washington St. 31 171 62.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 32.0%
Most difficult game left: November 19, at Colorado Buffaloes, 51.4%


Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.816 10 0.489 74 25.4 6 11.9 20 165.5 89
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/01 129 Charlotte 14 at  39 Louisville 70 171 96.9%
2016/09/09  27 Louisville 62 at  90 Syracuse 28 216 77.4%
2016/09/17  16 Florida St. 20 at  22 Louisville 63 168 40.0%
2016/09/24  10 Louisville 59 at  71 Marshall 28 186 63.7%
2016/10/01   9 Louisville 36 at  18 Clemson 42 194 38.7%
2016/10/14  70 Duke 14 at  15 Louisville 24 142 85.8%
2016/10/22  39 North Carolina St. 13 at  15 Louisville 54 174 70.3%
2016/10/29  14 Louisville 32 at  61 Virginia 25 170 78.2%
2016/11/05  13 Louisville 52 at  88 Boston College 7 155 92.2%
2016/11/12  75 Wake Forest 12 at  10 Louisville 44 165 87.5%
2016/11/17  10 Louisville 31 at  25 Houston 34 171 31.9%
2016/11/26  60 Kentucky 17 at  10 Louisville 42 165 82.3%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 26.3%
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Houston Cougars, 31.9%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.733 22 0.537 40 19.0 46 11.3 16 171.8 27
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  72 Missouri 11 at  21 West Virginia 26 215 76.6%
2016/09/24  41 BYU 32 vs  14 West Virginia 35 175 66.6%
2016/10/01  27 Kansas St. 16 at  16 West Virginia 17 174 72.6%
2016/10/15  18 West Virginia 48 at  48 Texas Tech 17 182 74.1%
2016/10/22  33 TCU 10 at   9 West Virginia 34 161 56.9%
2016/10/29   9 West Virginia 20 at  37 Oklahoma St. 37 173 75.0%
2016/11/05 126 Kansas 21 at  12 West Virginia 48 178 98.1%
2016/11/12  22 West Virginia 24 at  36 Texas 20 197 71.9%
2016/11/19  14 Oklahoma 28 at  22 West Virginia 31 172 55.4%
2016/11/26  22 West Virginia 31 at  56 Iowa St. 24 172 70.4%
2016/12/03  35 Baylor 24 at  22 West Virginia 38 175 60.2%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 23.5%
Most difficult game left: November 19, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 55.4%


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