Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-10-23

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.973 1 0.658 15 28.3 2 7.3 1 164.9 96
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  23 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 87.7%
2016/09/10  23 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 95.8%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at  14 Mississippi 43 189 89.2%
2016/09/24 126 Kent St. 0 at   2 Alabama 48 149 99.8%
2016/10/01  89 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 99.2%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  22 Arkansas 30 163 90.7%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 49 at  14 Tennessee 10 167 83.6%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 14 at   1 Alabama 33 177 93.1%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 29 at   6 LSU 23 158 78.9%
2016/11/12  55 Mississippi St. 21 at   1 Alabama 38 170 97.1%
2016/11/26   4 Auburn 24 at   1 Alabama 31 167 78.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 59.8%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Auburn Tigers, 78.1%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.792 15 0.409 92 23.7 8 14.3 35 159.9 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  46 Western Michigan 22 at  72 Northwestern 21 155 51.5%
2016/09/17  58 Western Michigan 34 at  84 Illinois 10 153 59.4%
2016/09/24  56 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 70.0%
2016/10/01  36 Western Michigan 49 at  70 Central Michigan 10 144 62.1%
2016/10/08  87 Northern Ill. 30 at  23 Western Michigan 45 175 90.0%
2016/10/15  26 Western Michigan 41 at  83 Akron 0 169 76.8%
2016/10/22 105 Eastern Michigan 31 at  12 Western Michigan 45 173 96.2%
2016/11/01  15 Western Michigan 35 at 102 Ball St. 23 166 90.1%
2016/11/08  15 Western Michigan 32 at 118 Kent St. 19 160 95.3%
2016/11/19 128 Buffalo 19 at  15 Western Michigan 42 166 98.3%
2016/11/25  34 Toledo 29 at  15 Western Michigan 32 164 65.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 54.9%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 65.0%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.971 2 0.513 59 29.1 1 7.8 2 160.0 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 119 Hawaii 3 at   4 Michigan 63 142 98.7%
2016/09/10 125 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 99.6%
2016/09/17  54 Colorado 28 at   3 Michigan 45 176 91.6%
2016/09/24  52 Penn State 10 at   3 Michigan 49 161 92.0%
2016/10/01   5 Wisconsin 7 at   3 Michigan 14 157 71.7%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  96 Rutgers 0 163 97.6%
2016/10/22  91 Illinois 8 at   2 Michigan 41 148 99.1%
2016/10/29   2 Michigan 35 at  62 Michigan St. 21 161 95.3%
2016/11/05  66 Maryland 18 at   2 Michigan 37 165 97.8%
2016/11/12   2 Michigan 33 at  31 Iowa 21 162 92.2%
2016/11/19  61 Indiana 21 at   2 Michigan 39 171 96.8%
2016/11/26   2 Michigan 30 at   3 Ohio St. 27 163 65.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 54.2%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 65.2%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.902 5 0.688 10 23.3 12 10.1 8 182.0 19
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03   5 Clemson 19 at  29 Auburn 13 174 59.9%
2016/09/10  96 Troy 24 at   4 Clemson 30 198 96.4%
2016/09/22  11 Clemson 26 at  34 Georgia Tech 7 162 56.4%
2016/10/01  20 Louisville 36 at   9 Clemson 42 194 72.9%
2016/10/07   6 Clemson 56 at  68 Boston College 10 164 84.4%
2016/10/15  32 North Carolina St. 17 at   4 Clemson 24 190 86.5%
2016/10/29   5 Clemson 30 at  19 Florida St. 28 174 62.4%
2016/11/05  73 Syracuse 23 at   5 Clemson 38 183 93.8%
2016/11/12  44 Pittsburgh 28 at   5 Clemson 37 172 86.9%
2016/11/19   5 Clemson 30 at  71 Wake Forest 18 172 92.4%
2016/11/26  91 South Carolina 19 at   5 Clemson 33 171 94.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 44.6%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 62.4%


Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.759 20 0.429 83 19.6 35 12.7 20 177.8 29
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  20 Boise St. 45 at 107 LA-Lafayette 10 175 88.3%
2016/09/10  51 Washington St. 28 at  14 Boise St. 31 179 82.7%
2016/09/24  21 Boise St. 38 at  96 Oregon St. 24 181 87.3%
2016/10/01  78 Utah St. 10 at  28 Boise St. 21 176 86.6%
2016/10/07  26 Boise St. 49 at 105 New Mexico 21 163 88.9%
2016/10/15  95 Colorado St. 23 at  21 Boise St. 28 165 92.2%
2016/10/20  34 BYU 27 at  28 Boise St. 28 185 68.2%
2016/10/29  20 Boise St. 33 at  84 Wyoming 27 175 76.1%
2016/11/04 119 SJSU 19 at  20 Boise St. 36 169 96.4%
2016/11/12  20 Boise St. 35 at 107 Hawaii 23 177 89.9%
2016/11/18 111 UNLV 23 at  20 Boise St. 38 175 92.6%
2016/11/25  20 Boise St. 31 at  57 Air Force 27 173 72.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 44.1%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Air Force Falcons, 72.2%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.867 8 0.455 76 24.4 7 12.0 14 167.4 86
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  97 Rutgers 13 at  11 Washington 48 176 95.1%
2016/09/10 109 Idaho 14 at   9 Washington 59 165 97.2%
2016/09/24  10 Washington 35 at  71 Arizona 28 170 80.7%
2016/09/30   6 Stanford 6 at  18 Washington 44 143 44.4%
2016/10/08   8 Washington 70 at  31 Oregon 21 185 68.0%
2016/10/22  92 Oregon St. 17 at   6 Washington 41 153 96.1%
2016/10/29   8 Washington 31 at  36 Utah 27 169 67.7%
2016/11/05   8 Washington 40 at  60 California 30 183 83.3%
2016/11/12  26 USC 26 at   8 Washington 32 168 74.5%
2016/11/19  54 Arizona St. 27 at   8 Washington 36 172 82.1%
2016/11/25   8 Washington 32 at  21 Washington St. 28 170 67.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 23.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington State Cougars, 67.5%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.825 12 0.569 42 18.2 48 10.1 8 177.4 33
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  79 Missouri 11 at  26 West Virginia 26 215 87.0%
2016/09/24  48 BYU 32 vs  20 West Virginia 35 175 70.6%
2016/10/01  30 Kansas St. 16 at  27 West Virginia 17 174 64.0%
2016/10/15  24 West Virginia 48 at  56 Texas Tech 17 182 60.2%
2016/10/22  32 TCU 10 at  21 West Virginia 34 161 72.5%
2016/10/29  12 West Virginia 30 at  51 Oklahoma St. 28 180 65.5%
2016/11/05 127 Kansas 16 at  12 West Virginia 35 174 98.4%
2016/11/12  12 West Virginia 29 at  53 Texas 24 179 73.2%
2016/11/19  22 Oklahoma 29 at  12 West Virginia 31 177 61.1%
2016/11/26  12 West Virginia 31 at  89 Iowa St. 21 176 90.3%
2016/12/03  16 Baylor 27 at  12 West Virginia 29 184 56.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 14.6%
Most difficult game left: December 3, vs Baylor Bears, 56.0%


Long Shots

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.787 16 0.347 109 20.7 24 12.7 21 191.0 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 108 SMU 13 at  12 Baylor 40 220 96.4%
2016/09/16  17 Baylor 38 at 113 Rice 10 197 93.7%
2016/09/24  47 Oklahoma St. 24 at  15 Baylor 35 189 80.6%
2016/10/01  19 Baylor 45 at  86 Iowa St. 42 189 84.9%
2016/10/15 120 Kansas 7 at  25 Baylor 49 184 97.0%
2016/10/29  16 Baylor 31 at  53 Texas 29 186 60.9%
2016/11/05  48 TCU 28 at  16 Baylor 34 186 73.4%
2016/11/12  16 Baylor 34 at  22 Oklahoma 33 184 50.7%
2016/11/19  47 Kansas St. 26 at  16 Baylor 31 177 69.6%
2016/11/25  16 Baylor 41 vs  59 Texas Tech 34 191 77.2%
2016/12/03  16 Baylor 27 at  12 West Virginia 29 184 44.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-18.7
Most difficult game left: December 3, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 44.0%


What are YOU doing here??

Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.719 28 0.408 93 19.5 36 13.7 29 161.6 112
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 111 Fresno St. 10 at  43 Nebraska 43 161 93.5%
2016/09/10 103 Wyoming 17 at  31 Nebraska 52 167 92.9%
2016/09/17  27 Oregon 32 at  22 Nebraska 35 184 63.3%
2016/09/24  28 Nebraska 24 at  57 Northwestern 13 170 59.3%
2016/10/01  96 Illinois 16 at  26 Nebraska 31 136 92.1%
2016/10/15  28 Nebraska 27 at  55 Indiana 22 167 57.9%
2016/10/22 109 Purdue 14 at  27 Nebraska 27 160 95.1%
2016/10/29  28 Nebraska 21 at   7 Wisconsin 27 161 16.7%
2016/11/05  28 Nebraska 22 at   3 Ohio St. 32 164 10.6%
2016/11/12  64 Minnesota 23 at  28 Nebraska 30 166 76.9%
2016/11/19  66 Maryland 23 at  28 Nebraska 29 166 74.5%
2016/11/25  28 Nebraska 27 at  31 Iowa 25 163 51.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-190.0
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 10.6%


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