Tuesday, October 25, 2016

Week 9: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2016-10-23

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.938 1 0.555 7 25.4 4 6.0 1 157.8 129
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  22 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 84.1%
2016/09/10  40 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 89.2%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at   7 Mississippi 43 189 81.6%
2016/09/24 125 Kent St. 0 at   1 Alabama 48 149 99.6%
2016/10/01  75 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 97.5%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  27 Arkansas 30 163 86.4%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 49 at  26 Tennessee 10 167 88.6%
2016/10/22  14 Texas A&M 14 at   1 Alabama 33 177 82.5%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 28 at   4 LSU 21 159 74.8%
2016/11/12  53 Mississippi St. 14 at   1 Alabama 35 161 95.0%
2016/11/26   8 Auburn 17 at   1 Alabama 31 159 82.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 58.4%
Most difficult game left: November 5, at LSU Tigers, 74.8%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.750 20 0.467 91 23.1 12 13.7 36 169.3 54
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  61 Western Michigan 22 at  60 Northwestern 21 155 45.2%
2016/09/17  60 Western Michigan 34 at  81 Illinois 10 153 62.7%
2016/09/24  57 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 50.9%
2016/10/01  37 Western Michigan 49 at  69 Central Michigan 10 144 57.9%
2016/10/08  91 Northern Ill. 30 at  25 Western Michigan 45 175 79.7%
2016/10/15  27 Western Michigan 41 at  82 Akron 0 169 82.6%
2016/10/22 110 Eastern Michigan 31 at  20 Western Michigan 45 173 91.5%
2016/11/01  20 Western Michigan 42 at 104 Ball St. 20 169 92.0%
2016/11/08  20 Western Michigan 42 at 118 Kent St. 17 167 95.2%
2016/11/19 108 Buffalo 17 at  20 Western Michigan 38 168 88.7%
2016/11/25  45 Toledo 28 at  20 Western Michigan 38 169 67.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 52.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 67.3%


Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.691 29 0.455 101 19.3 40 13.0 27 170.3 40
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  28 Boise St. 45 at 105 LA-Lafayette 10 175 86.5%
2016/09/10  39 Washington St. 28 at  25 Boise St. 31 179 57.4%
2016/09/24  27 Boise St. 38 at  95 Oregon St. 24 181 87.3%
2016/10/01  84 Utah St. 10 at  35 Boise St. 21 176 79.4%
2016/10/07  34 Boise St. 49 at  84 New Mexico 21 163 80.6%
2016/10/15  99 Colorado St. 23 at  28 Boise St. 28 165 89.1%
2016/10/20  35 BYU 27 at  29 Boise St. 28 185 55.2%
2016/10/29  29 Boise St. 38 at  96 Wyoming 24 168 85.2%
2016/11/04 112 SJSU 13 at  29 Boise St. 45 168 90.2%
2016/11/12  29 Boise St. 42 at 109 Hawaii 21 171 91.0%
2016/11/18 107 UNLV 14 at  29 Boise St. 42 169 89.2%
2016/11/25  29 Boise St. 31 at  58 Air Force 28 167 67.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 42.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Air Force Falcons, 67.8%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.797 12 0.535 46 19.9 31 10.1 12 169.9 42
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  10 Clemson 19 at  31 Auburn 13 174 70.1%
2016/09/10 105 Troy 24 at  10 Clemson 30 198 94.8%
2016/09/22  25 Clemson 26 at  37 Georgia Tech 7 162 76.9%
2016/10/01   9 Louisville 36 at  18 Clemson 42 194 61.3%
2016/10/07  22 Clemson 56 at  78 Boston College 10 164 88.9%
2016/10/15  45 North Carolina St. 17 at  12 Clemson 24 190 70.2%
2016/10/29  12 Clemson 31 at  28 Florida St. 28 167 64.7%
2016/11/05  99 Syracuse 17 at  12 Clemson 38 167 91.5%
2016/11/12  48 Pittsburgh 27 at  12 Clemson 41 166 75.7%
2016/11/19  12 Clemson 31 at  72 Wake Forest 17 168 87.0%
2016/11/26  71 South Carolina 14 at  12 Clemson 35 164 85.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 33.3%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 64.7%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.891 3 0.547 22 24.8 8 8.2 5 164.9 100
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 118 Hawaii 3 at   9 Michigan 63 142 97.4%
2016/09/10 120 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 95.9%
2016/09/17  48 Colorado 28 at   4 Michigan 45 176 90.7%
2016/09/24  55 Penn State 10 at   8 Michigan 49 161 83.6%
2016/10/01   6 Wisconsin 7 at   4 Michigan 14 157 54.9%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  81 Rutgers 0 163 90.2%
2016/10/22  80 Illinois 8 at   3 Michigan 41 148 94.5%
2016/10/29   3 Michigan 34 at  50 Michigan St. 20 165 89.6%
2016/11/05  86 Maryland 10 at   3 Michigan 48 165 95.9%
2016/11/12   3 Michigan 24 at  34 Iowa 14 164 84.6%
2016/11/19  66 Indiana 14 at   3 Michigan 41 169 92.9%
2016/11/26   3 Michigan 20 at   2 Ohio St. 28 163 38.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 26.1%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 38.7%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.848 5 0.546 24 25.9 2 10.7 13 169.2 55
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  88 Rutgers 13 at   5 Washington 48 176 91.6%
2016/09/10 115 Idaho 14 at   5 Washington 59 165 96.4%
2016/09/24   6 Washington 35 at  62 Arizona 28 170 80.0%
2016/09/30  10 Stanford 6 at  11 Washington 44 143 48.5%
2016/10/08   5 Washington 70 at  46 Oregon 21 185 70.3%
2016/10/22  89 Oregon St. 17 at   5 Washington 41 153 93.1%
2016/10/29   5 Washington 34 at  38 Utah 28 168 80.2%
2016/11/05   5 Washington 38 at  60 California 24 171 87.0%
2016/11/12   7 USC 17 at   5 Washington 38 168 51.0%
2016/11/19  54 Arizona St. 21 at   5 Washington 42 172 85.9%
2016/11/25   5 Washington 34 at  13 Washington St. 28 171 64.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.8%
Most difficult game left: November 12, vs USC Trojans, 51.0%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.810 9 0.539 37 19.3 39 8.3 6 171.6 29
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  72 Missouri 11 at  21 West Virginia 26 215 76.6%
2016/09/24  41 BYU 32 vs  14 West Virginia 35 175 66.6%
2016/10/01  27 Kansas St. 16 at  16 West Virginia 17 174 72.6%
2016/10/15  18 West Virginia 48 at  48 Texas Tech 17 182 74.1%
2016/10/22  33 TCU 10 at   9 West Virginia 34 161 56.9%
2016/10/29   9 West Virginia 31 at  37 Oklahoma St. 28 174 75.0%
2016/11/05 125 Kansas 3 at   9 West Virginia 45 171 98.1%
2016/11/12   9 West Virginia 31 at  41 Texas 27 170 77.4%
2016/11/19  17 Oklahoma 28 at   9 West Virginia 35 172 61.4%
2016/11/26   9 West Virginia 35 at  52 Iowa St. 21 172 81.2%
2016/12/03  24 Baylor 28 at   9 West Virginia 35 175 66.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 18.9%
Most difficult game left: November 19, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 61.4%


Absolute Phonies

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.733 24 0.546 25 22.1 19 13.1 29 178.8 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 103 SMU 13 at   8 Baylor 40 220 94.7%
2016/09/16  14 Baylor 38 at 110 Rice 10 197 95.7%
2016/09/24  42 Oklahoma St. 24 at  17 Baylor 35 189 68.6%
2016/10/01  15 Baylor 45 at  59 Iowa St. 42 189 85.7%
2016/10/15 125 Kansas 7 at  23 Baylor 49 184 97.0%
2016/10/29  24 Baylor 35 at  41 Texas 31 174 63.0%
2016/11/05  33 TCU 28 at  24 Baylor 38 175 57.2%
2016/11/12  24 Baylor 34 at  17 Oklahoma 38 175 44.3%
2016/11/19  27 Kansas St. 27 at  24 Baylor 38 172 51.2%
2016/11/25  24 Baylor 42 vs  49 Texas Tech 35 180 67.9%
2016/12/03  24 Baylor 28 at   9 West Virginia 35 175 33.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-54.1
Most difficult game left: December 3, at West Virginia Mountaineers, 33.3%


Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.683 31 0.529 53 19.5 36 13.4 33 168.2 64
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 113 Fresno St. 10 at  41 Nebraska 43 161 90.1%
2016/09/10 100 Wyoming 17 at  34 Nebraska 52 167 89.8%
2016/09/17  30 Oregon 32 at  33 Nebraska 35 184 51.8%
2016/09/24  33 Nebraska 24 at  51 Northwestern 13 170 65.6%
2016/10/01  91 Illinois 16 at  32 Nebraska 31 136 77.0%
2016/10/15  32 Nebraska 27 at  66 Indiana 22 167 71.7%
2016/10/22 103 Purdue 14 at  31 Nebraska 27 160 88.7%
2016/10/29  31 Nebraska 20 at  11 Wisconsin 28 164 31.9%
2016/11/05  31 Nebraska 20 at   2 Ohio St. 38 165 11.1%
2016/11/12  61 Minnesota 21 at  31 Nebraska 31 166 67.5%
2016/11/19  86 Maryland 17 at  31 Nebraska 38 167 82.2%
2016/11/25  31 Nebraska 24 at  34 Iowa 25 166 48.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-105.8
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 11.1%


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