Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-10-16

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.977 1 0.660 16 28.9 1 7.1 1 164.9 97
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  23 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 87.7%
2016/09/10  23 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 95.8%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at  14 Mississippi 43 189 89.2%
2016/09/24 126 Kent St. 0 at   2 Alabama 48 149 99.8%
2016/10/01  89 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 99.2%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  22 Arkansas 30 163 90.7%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 49 at  14 Tennessee 10 167 83.6%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 24 at   1 Alabama 37 177 93.1%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 30 at   8 LSU 22 159 84.1%
2016/11/12  49 Mississippi St. 21 at   1 Alabama 38 170 97.0%
2016/11/26   9 Auburn 23 at   1 Alabama 32 167 86.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 65.7%
Most difficult game left: November 5, at LSU Tigers, 84.1%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.820 12 0.433 85 23.3 11 13.2 25 158.4 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  46 Western Michigan 22 at  72 Northwestern 21 155 51.5%
2016/09/17  58 Western Michigan 34 at  84 Illinois 10 153 59.4%
2016/09/24  56 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 70.0%
2016/10/01  36 Western Michigan 49 at  70 Central Michigan 10 144 62.1%
2016/10/08  87 Northern Ill. 30 at  23 Western Michigan 45 175 90.0%
2016/10/15  26 Western Michigan 41 at  83 Akron 0 169 76.9%
2016/10/22 105 Eastern Michigan 21 at  12 Western Michigan 38 165 96.2%
2016/11/01  12 Western Michigan 34 at 101 Ball St. 21 166 91.6%
2016/11/08  12 Western Michigan 33 at 117 Kent St. 18 159 96.5%
2016/11/19 127 Buffalo 19 at  12 Western Michigan 41 167 98.1%
2016/11/25  38 Toledo 29 at  12 Western Michigan 33 165 69.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 58.3%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 69.9%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.972 2 0.522 57 28.5 2 7.5 2 161.8 112
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 119 Hawaii 3 at   4 Michigan 63 142 98.7%
2016/09/10 125 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 99.6%
2016/09/17  54 Colorado 28 at   3 Michigan 45 176 91.6%
2016/09/24  52 Penn State 10 at   3 Michigan 49 161 92.0%
2016/10/01   5 Wisconsin 7 at   3 Michigan 14 157 71.7%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  96 Rutgers 0 163 97.6%
2016/10/22  91 Illinois 16 at   2 Michigan 39 163 99.1%
2016/10/29   2 Michigan 35 at  57 Michigan St. 21 163 94.4%
2016/11/05  73 Maryland 18 at   2 Michigan 38 166 98.2%
2016/11/12   2 Michigan 34 at  31 Iowa 22 163 92.4%
2016/11/19  58 Indiana 22 at   2 Michigan 39 171 96.5%
2016/11/26   2 Michigan 29 at   3 Ohio St. 28 164 55.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 45.3%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 55.3%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.905 4 0.692 10 23.7 9 10.2 6 182.6 19
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03   5 Clemson 19 at  29 Auburn 13 174 59.9%
2016/09/10  96 Troy 24 at   4 Clemson 30 198 96.4%
2016/09/22  11 Clemson 26 at  34 Georgia Tech 7 162 56.4%
2016/10/01  20 Louisville 36 at   9 Clemson 42 194 72.9%
2016/10/07   6 Clemson 56 at  68 Boston College 10 164 84.4%
2016/10/15  32 North Carolina St. 17 at   4 Clemson 24 190 86.5%
2016/10/29   4 Clemson 30 at  17 Florida St. 29 174 59.1%
2016/11/05  70 Syracuse 23 at   4 Clemson 39 184 94.0%
2016/11/12  46 Pittsburgh 27 at   4 Clemson 37 172 87.0%
2016/11/19   4 Clemson 30 at  66 Wake Forest 18 172 91.9%
2016/11/26  89 South Carolina 18 at   4 Clemson 33 171 94.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 42.2%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 59.1%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.965 3 0.545 50 27.6 3 7.9 3 167.4 88
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  32 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 90.5%
2016/09/10  71 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 98.0%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  16 Oklahoma 24 165 86.9%
2016/10/01  85 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 98.7%
2016/10/08  64 Indiana 17 at   1 Ohio St. 38 169 98.6%
2016/10/15   3 Ohio St. 30 at   6 Wisconsin 23 174 73.4%
2016/10/22   3 Ohio St. 34 at  40 Penn State 23 168 90.2%
2016/10/29  42 Northwestern 20 at   3 Ohio St. 37 173 96.2%
2016/11/05  27 Nebraska 23 at   3 Ohio St. 34 165 92.3%
2016/11/12   3 Ohio St. 36 at  73 Maryland 19 169 97.0%
2016/11/19   3 Ohio St. 36 at  57 Michigan St. 21 165 95.8%
2016/11/26   2 Michigan 29 at   3 Ohio St. 28 164 44.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 33.3%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 44.7%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.733 28 0.361 105 19.2 39 13.2 24 174.5 50
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  20 Boise St. 45 at 107 LA-Lafayette 10 175 88.3%
2016/09/10  51 Washington St. 28 at  14 Boise St. 31 179 82.7%
2016/09/24  21 Boise St. 38 at  96 Oregon St. 24 181 87.3%
2016/10/01  78 Utah St. 10 at  28 Boise St. 21 176 86.6%
2016/10/07  26 Boise St. 49 at 105 New Mexico 21 163 88.9%
2016/10/15  95 Colorado St. 23 at  21 Boise St. 28 165 92.2%
2016/10/20  34 BYU 26 at  28 Boise St. 30 173 68.3%
2016/10/29  28 Boise St. 31 at  82 Wyoming 26 172 74.0%
2016/11/04 115 SJSU 20 at  28 Boise St. 36 168 95.1%
2016/11/12  28 Boise St. 35 at 108 Hawaii 23 174 90.4%
2016/11/18 107 UNLV 23 at  28 Boise St. 37 175 91.5%
2016/11/25  28 Boise St. 31 at  54 Air Force 27 170 67.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 26.9%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Air Force Falcons, 67.7%


Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.873 6 0.487 67 24.3 8 11.8 12 170.5 70
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  97 Rutgers 13 at  11 Washington 48 176 95.1%
2016/09/10 109 Idaho 14 at   9 Washington 59 165 97.2%
2016/09/24  10 Washington 35 at  71 Arizona 28 170 80.7%
2016/09/30   6 Stanford 6 at  18 Washington 44 143 44.4%
2016/10/08   8 Washington 70 at  31 Oregon 21 185 68.0%
2016/10/22  92 Oregon St. 21 at   6 Washington 39 173 96.1%
2016/10/29   6 Washington 30 at  41 Utah 25 169 69.6%
2016/11/05   6 Washington 40 at  64 California 31 182 84.7%
2016/11/12  29 USC 26 at   6 Washington 32 170 75.2%
2016/11/19  60 Arizona St. 27 at   6 Washington 37 176 85.4%
2016/11/25   6 Washington 32 at  16 Washington St. 29 174 63.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 23.1%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington State Cougars, 63.5%


Long Shots

West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.778 21 0.546 49 17.5 58 10.9 9 183.0 16
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  79 Missouri 11 at  26 West Virginia 26 215 87.0%
2016/09/24  48 BYU 32 vs  20 West Virginia 35 175 70.6%
2016/10/01  30 Kansas St. 16 at  27 West Virginia 17 174 64.0%
2016/10/15  24 West Virginia 48 at  56 Texas Tech 17 182 60.2%
2016/10/22  32 TCU 27 at  21 West Virginia 31 184 72.5%
2016/10/29  21 West Virginia 30 at  45 Oklahoma St. 28 183 55.4%
2016/11/05 126 Kansas 16 at  21 West Virginia 34 177 97.9%
2016/11/12  21 West Virginia 29 at  50 Texas 26 183 65.8%
2016/11/19  15 Oklahoma 32 at  21 West Virginia 28 177 45.3%
2016/11/26  21 West Virginia 31 at  84 Iowa St. 22 179 85.9%
2016/12/03  23 Baylor 28 at  21 West Virginia 29 186 50.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-19.7
Most difficult game left: November 19, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 45.3%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.775 23 0.333 112 20.6 25 12.9 20 189.9 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 108 SMU 13 at  12 Baylor 40 220 96.4%
2016/09/16  17 Baylor 38 at 113 Rice 10 197 93.7%
2016/09/24  47 Oklahoma St. 24 at  15 Baylor 35 189 80.6%
2016/10/01  19 Baylor 45 at  86 Iowa St. 42 189 84.9%
2016/10/15 120 Kansas 7 at  25 Baylor 49 184 97.0%
2016/10/29  23 Baylor 31 at  50 Texas 30 187 58.0%
2016/11/05  32 TCU 30 at  23 Baylor 33 188 65.4%
2016/11/12  23 Baylor 31 at  15 Oklahoma 35 181 40.5%
2016/11/19  48 Kansas St. 26 at  23 Baylor 31 177 68.5%
2016/11/25  23 Baylor 41 vs  65 Texas Tech 33 188 78.8%
2016/12/03  23 Baylor 28 at  21 West Virginia 29 186 49.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-24.3
Most difficult game left: November 12, at Oklahoma Sooners, 40.5%


Absolute Phonies

Texas A&M Aggies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.836 11 0.712 6 21.8 19 11.8 12 189.2 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  36 UCLA 24 at  37 Texas A&M 31 202 62.9%
2016/09/17  28 Texas A&M 29 at  21 Auburn 16 201 35.3%
2016/09/24  14 Arkansas 24 vs  19 Texas A&M 45 166 45.7%
2016/10/01  13 Texas A&M 24 at  79 South Carolina 13 174 85.4%
2016/10/08  15 Tennessee 38 at  12 Texas A&M 45 224 63.2%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 24 at   1 Alabama 37 177 6.9%
2016/10/29 128 New Mexico St. 21 at  11 Texas A&M 52 186 99.1%
2016/11/05  11 Texas A&M 33 at  49 Mississippi St. 28 182 73.5%
2016/11/12   7 Mississippi 35 at  11 Texas A&M 33 187 47.1%
2016/11/19 100 UTSA 21 at  11 Texas A&M 35 178 93.2%
2016/11/24   8 LSU 28 at  11 Texas A&M 27 171 43.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-104.4
Most difficult game left: October 22, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 6.9%


What are YOU doing here??

Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.736 27 0.462 74 20.4 26 13.9 34 163.7 103
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 111 Fresno St. 10 at  43 Nebraska 43 161 93.5%
2016/09/10 103 Wyoming 17 at  31 Nebraska 52 167 92.9%
2016/09/17  27 Oregon 32 at  22 Nebraska 35 184 63.3%
2016/09/24  28 Nebraska 24 at  57 Northwestern 13 170 59.3%
2016/10/01  96 Illinois 16 at  26 Nebraska 31 136 92.1%
2016/10/15  28 Nebraska 27 at  55 Indiana 22 167 57.9%
2016/10/22 109 Purdue 22 at  27 Nebraska 39 170 95.1%
2016/10/29  27 Nebraska 22 at   5 Wisconsin 28 162 16.9%
2016/11/05  27 Nebraska 23 at   3 Ohio St. 34 165 7.7%
2016/11/12  53 Minnesota 23 at  27 Nebraska 28 166 70.9%
2016/11/19  73 Maryland 23 at  27 Nebraska 31 167 79.5%
2016/11/25  27 Nebraska 28 at  31 Iowa 27 164 54.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-265.0
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 7.7%


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