Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Week 7: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2016-10-09

Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.974 1 0.640 19 28.3 2 7.3 2 166.4 88
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  23 USC 6 vs   1 Alabama 52 162 87.7%
2016/09/10  23 Western Kentucky 10 at   1 Alabama 38 173 95.8%
2016/09/17   1 Alabama 48 at  14 Mississippi 43 189 89.2%
2016/09/24 126 Kent St. 0 at   2 Alabama 48 149 99.8%
2016/10/01  89 Kentucky 6 at   1 Alabama 34 154 99.2%
2016/10/08   2 Alabama 49 at  22 Arkansas 30 163 90.7%
2016/10/15   1 Alabama 35 at  14 Tennessee 28 172 84.0%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 24 at   1 Alabama 37 177 91.7%
2016/11/05   1 Alabama 31 at  12 LSU 23 161 84.8%
2016/11/12  49 Mississippi St. 22 at   1 Alabama 38 169 96.6%
2016/11/26  10 Auburn 22 at   1 Alabama 32 167 86.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 54.4%
Most difficult game left: October 15, at Tennessee Volunteers, 84.0%


Michigan Wolverines
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.970 2 0.520 57 28.4 1 7.6 3 161.6 110
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 119 Hawaii 3 at   4 Michigan 63 142 98.7%
2016/09/10 125 UCF 14 at   3 Michigan 51 177 99.6%
2016/09/17  54 Colorado 28 at   3 Michigan 45 176 91.6%
2016/09/24  52 Penn State 10 at   3 Michigan 49 161 92.0%
2016/10/01   5 Wisconsin 7 at   3 Michigan 14 157 71.7%
2016/10/08   3 Michigan 78 at  96 Rutgers 0 163 97.6%
2016/10/22  99 Illinois 16 at   2 Michigan 40 163 99.3%
2016/10/29   2 Michigan 33 at  54 Michigan St. 20 162 93.8%
2016/11/05  65 Maryland 19 at   2 Michigan 37 167 97.3%
2016/11/12   2 Michigan 33 at  29 Iowa 21 162 91.6%
2016/11/19  55 Indiana 23 at   2 Michigan 39 172 96.1%
2016/11/26   2 Michigan 28 at   3 Ohio St. 27 162 50.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 40.4%
Most difficult game left: November 26, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 50.6%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.909 4 0.689 12 24.4 10 10.3 7 180.3 23
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03   5 Clemson 19 at  29 Auburn 13 174 59.9%
2016/09/10  96 Troy 24 at   4 Clemson 30 198 96.4%
2016/09/22  11 Clemson 26 at  34 Georgia Tech 7 162 56.4%
2016/10/01  20 Louisville 36 at   9 Clemson 42 194 72.9%
2016/10/07   6 Clemson 56 at  68 Boston College 10 163 84.4%
2016/10/15  32 North Carolina St. 24 at   4 Clemson 34 170 86.6%
2016/10/29   4 Clemson 31 at  17 Florida St. 30 173 59.8%
2016/11/05  86 Syracuse 22 at   4 Clemson 40 181 95.5%
2016/11/12  51 Pittsburgh 26 at   4 Clemson 37 170 89.1%
2016/11/19   4 Clemson 31 at  67 Wake Forest 18 171 91.4%
2016/11/26  81 South Carolina 18 at   4 Clemson 32 170 94.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 38.0%
Most difficult game left: October 29, at Florida State Seminoles, 59.8%


Western Michigan Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.736 26 0.429 83 23.4 13 15.9 55 157.8 120
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  46 Western Michigan 22 at  72 Northwestern 21 155 51.5%
2016/09/17  58 Western Michigan 34 at  84 Illinois 10 153 59.4%
2016/09/24  56 Georgia Southern 31 at  44 Western Michigan 49 156 70.0%
2016/10/01  36 Western Michigan 49 at  70 Central Michigan 10 144 62.1%
2016/10/08  87 Northern Ill. 30 at  23 Western Michigan 45 175 90.0%
2016/10/15  26 Western Michigan 35 at  84 Akron 28 164 76.9%
2016/10/22 109 Eastern Michigan 22 at  26 Western Michigan 40 165 95.5%
2016/11/01  26 Western Michigan 34 at 101 Ball St. 24 164 87.4%
2016/11/08  26 Western Michigan 33 at 118 Kent St. 20 160 94.3%
2016/11/19 127 Buffalo 21 at  26 Western Michigan 41 165 97.2%
2016/11/25  31 Toledo 30 at  26 Western Michigan 32 165 54.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 32.1%
Most difficult game left: November 25, vs Toledo Rockets, 54.5%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.970 3 0.478 73 26.3 4 7.2 1 164.0 101
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  32 Bowling Green 10 at   2 Ohio St. 77 195 90.5%
2016/09/10  71 Tulsa 3 at   2 Ohio St. 48 168 98.0%
2016/09/17   2 Ohio St. 45 at  16 Oklahoma 24 165 86.9%
2016/10/01  85 Rutgers 0 at   2 Ohio St. 58 169 98.7%
2016/10/08  64 Indiana 17 at   1 Ohio St. 38 169 98.6%
2016/10/15   3 Ohio St. 27 at   6 Wisconsin 21 162 73.4%
2016/10/22   3 Ohio St. 32 at  42 Penn State 22 166 91.4%
2016/10/29  43 Northwestern 18 at   3 Ohio St. 34 170 96.7%
2016/11/05  28 Nebraska 22 at   3 Ohio St. 34 164 93.5%
2016/11/12   3 Ohio St. 35 at  65 Maryland 20 168 96.2%
2016/11/19   3 Ohio St. 33 at  54 Michigan St. 19 163 96.1%
2016/11/26   2 Michigan 28 at   3 Ohio St. 27 162 49.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 27.7%
Most difficult game left: November 26, vs Michigan Wolverines, 49.4%


Boise State Broncos
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.768 21 0.345 111 19.5 37 12.4 18 175.5 41
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  20 Boise St. 45 at 107 LA-Lafayette 10 175 88.3%
2016/09/10  51 Washington St. 28 at  14 Boise St. 31 179 82.7%
2016/09/24  21 Boise St. 38 at  96 Oregon St. 24 181 87.3%
2016/10/01  78 Utah St. 10 at  28 Boise St. 21 176 86.6%
2016/10/07  26 Boise St. 49 at 105 New Mexico 21 163 88.9%
2016/10/15  95 Colorado St. 22 at  21 Boise St. 35 173 92.2%
2016/10/20  35 BYU 26 at  21 Boise St. 31 172 70.8%
2016/10/29  21 Boise St. 32 at  82 Wyoming 25 172 77.4%
2016/11/04 117 SJSU 20 at  21 Boise St. 38 169 96.5%
2016/11/12  21 Boise St. 34 at 105 Hawaii 21 174 92.3%
2016/11/18 107 UNLV 22 at  21 Boise St. 36 174 93.7%
2016/11/25  21 Boise St. 30 at  44 Air Force 27 170 65.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 27.6%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Air Force Falcons, 65.5%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Washington Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.873 7 0.498 65 23.7 12 11.5 11 170.2 75
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  97 Rutgers 13 at  11 Washington 48 176 95.1%
2016/09/10 109 Idaho 14 at   9 Washington 59 165 97.2%
2016/09/24  10 Washington 35 at  71 Arizona 28 170 80.7%
2016/09/30   6 Stanford 6 at  18 Washington 44 143 44.4%
2016/10/08   8 Washington 70 at  31 Oregon 21 185 68.0%
2016/10/22  97 Oregon St. 21 at   7 Washington 39 172 96.6%
2016/10/29   7 Washington 29 at  39 Utah 25 169 67.6%
2016/11/05   7 Washington 39 at  66 California 29 181 84.7%
2016/11/12  34 USC 25 at   7 Washington 32 169 78.3%
2016/11/19  53 Arizona St. 27 at   7 Washington 36 176 82.3%
2016/11/25   7 Washington 32 at  18 Washington St. 29 174 63.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 22.5%
Most difficult game left: November 25, at Washington State Cougars, 63.1%


Long Shots

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.745 25 0.391 99 19.9 30 13.3 28 190.3 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/10 108 SMU 13 at  12 Baylor 40 220 96.4%
2016/09/16  17 Baylor 38 at 113 Rice 10 197 93.7%
2016/09/24  47 Oklahoma St. 24 at  15 Baylor 35 189 80.6%
2016/10/01  19 Baylor 45 at  86 Iowa St. 42 189 84.9%
2016/10/15 121 Kansas 19 at  25 Baylor 37 180 97.0%
2016/10/29  25 Baylor 32 at  60 Texas 30 186 60.0%
2016/11/05  33 TCU 30 at  25 Baylor 32 188 60.5%
2016/11/12  25 Baylor 31 at  19 Oklahoma 36 181 39.3%
2016/11/19  38 Kansas St. 27 at  25 Baylor 30 177 59.4%
2016/11/25  25 Baylor 40 vs  56 Texas Tech 36 189 69.1%
2016/12/03  25 Baylor 28 at  24 West Virginia 29 188 49.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-35.4
Most difficult game left: November 12, at Oklahoma Sooners, 39.3%


West Virginia Mountaineers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.747 24 0.594 32 17.2 60 11.4 10 186.0 10
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  79 Missouri 11 at  26 West Virginia 26 215 87.0%
2016/09/24  48 BYU 32 vs  20 West Virginia 35 175 70.6%
2016/10/01  30 Kansas St. 16 at  27 West Virginia 17 174 64.0%
2016/10/15  24 West Virginia 36 at  56 Texas Tech 34 187 60.2%
2016/10/22  33 TCU 27 at  24 West Virginia 30 186 68.0%
2016/10/29  24 West Virginia 30 at  45 Oklahoma St. 28 185 52.0%
2016/11/05 121 Kansas 18 at  24 West Virginia 33 178 96.4%
2016/11/12  24 West Virginia 30 at  60 Texas 27 184 67.6%
2016/11/19  19 Oklahoma 33 at  24 West Virginia 29 179 43.9%
2016/11/26  24 West Virginia 31 at  78 Iowa St. 24 180 82.2%
2016/12/03  25 Baylor 28 at  24 West Virginia 29 188 50.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-39.8
Most difficult game left: November 19, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 43.9%


Texas A&M Aggies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.848 11 0.722 4 22.1 17 11.6 12 188.8 6
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03  36 UCLA 24 at  37 Texas A&M 31 202 62.9%
2016/09/17  28 Texas A&M 29 at  21 Auburn 16 201 35.3%
2016/09/24  14 Arkansas 24 vs  19 Texas A&M 45 166 45.7%
2016/10/01  13 Texas A&M 24 at  79 South Carolina 13 174 85.4%
2016/10/08  15 Tennessee 38 at  12 Texas A&M 45 224 63.2%
2016/10/22  11 Texas A&M 24 at   1 Alabama 37 177 8.3%
2016/10/29 126 New Mexico St. 21 at  11 Texas A&M 51 187 99.0%
2016/11/05  11 Texas A&M 34 at  49 Mississippi St. 28 180 74.8%
2016/11/12   5 Mississippi 36 at  11 Texas A&M 32 185 45.1%
2016/11/19  94 UTSA 22 at  11 Texas A&M 36 178 92.9%
2016/11/24  12 LSU 27 at  11 Texas A&M 29 172 50.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-77.5
Most difficult game left: October 22, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 8.3%


What are YOU doing here??

Nebraska Cornhuskers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2016 0.729 28 0.428 84 20.7 26 14.3 38 165.0 95
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2016/09/03 111 Fresno St. 10 at  43 Nebraska 43 161 93.5%
2016/09/10 103 Wyoming 17 at  31 Nebraska 52 167 92.9%
2016/09/17  27 Oregon 32 at  22 Nebraska 35 184 63.3%
2016/09/24  28 Nebraska 24 at  57 Northwestern 13 170 59.3%
2016/10/01  96 Illinois 16 at  26 Nebraska 31 136 92.1%
2016/10/15  28 Nebraska 32 at  55 Indiana 30 174 57.9%
2016/10/22 112 Purdue 21 at  28 Nebraska 38 169 96.1%
2016/10/29  28 Nebraska 22 at   6 Wisconsin 28 162 17.2%
2016/11/05  28 Nebraska 22 at   3 Ohio St. 34 164 6.5%
2016/11/12  68 Minnesota 23 at  28 Nebraska 30 168 78.0%
2016/11/19  65 Maryland 25 at  28 Nebraska 31 169 71.5%
2016/11/25  28 Nebraska 28 at  29 Iowa 26 163 51.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-555.4
Most difficult game left: November 5, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 6.5%


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