Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Week 13: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2015-11-22

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.864 4 0.583 43 23.0 13 11.5 11 176.7 34
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  85 Appalachian St. 10 at   6 Clemson 41 184 95.9%
2015/09/17   5 Clemson 20 at  30 Louisville 17 161 64.6%
2015/10/03  23 Notre Dame 22 at   6 Clemson 24 162 80.0%
2015/10/10  28 Georgia Tech 24 at   7 Clemson 43 158 78.7%
2015/10/17  63 Boston College 17 at   4 Clemson 34 171 92.6%
2015/10/24   6 Clemson 58 at  47 Miami-FL 0 179 71.8%
2015/10/31   2 Clemson 56 at  50 North Carolina St. 41 181 85.9%
2015/11/07  17 Florida St. 13 at   3 Clemson 23 171 75.5%
2015/11/14   3 Clemson 37 at  88 Syracuse 27 171 93.8%
2015/11/21 103 Wake Forest 13 at   4 Clemson 33 171 95.8%
2015/11/28   4 Clemson 35 at  73 South Carolina 24 170 88.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 88.2%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 88.2%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.744 25 0.473 71 20.9 24 14.0 32 164.1 100
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  43 Iowa 31 at 100 Iowa St. 17 159 74.0%
2015/09/19  42 Pittsburgh 24 at  44 Iowa 27 150 60.4%
2015/09/26 112 North Texas 16 at  40 Iowa 62 185 94.1%
2015/10/03  29 Iowa 10 at   3 Wisconsin 6 157 11.8%
2015/10/10  59 Illinois 20 at  29 Iowa 29 178 76.7%
2015/10/17  35 Iowa 40 at  42 Northwestern 10 177 41.1%
2015/10/31  74 Maryland 15 at  18 Iowa 31 155 89.0%
2015/11/07  18 Iowa 35 at  76 Indiana 27 176 80.5%
2015/11/14  66 Minnesota 35 at  21 Iowa 40 162 79.4%
2015/11/21  95 Purdue 20 at  22 Iowa 40 166 87.6%
2015/11/27  25 Iowa 32 at  41 Nebraska 30 169 60.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 60.8%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Nebraska Cornhuskers, 60.8%



One-Loss Hopefuls
Odds as of games through 2015-11-22

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.950 1 0.691 3 25.6 3 8.5 1 167.2 82
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05  16 Wisconsin 17 vs   1 Alabama 35 157 77.3%
2015/09/12  88 Middle Tenn. 10 at   1 Alabama 37 187 98.5%
2015/09/19  17 Mississippi 43 at   1 Alabama 37 195 86.8%
2015/09/26 107 LA-Monroe 0 at   1 Alabama 34 175 99.1%
2015/10/03   1 Alabama 38 at   9 Georgia 10 167 72.3%
2015/10/10  39 Arkansas 14 at   1 Alabama 27 168 94.0%
2015/10/17   2 Alabama 41 at  16 Texas A&M 23 174 75.7%
2015/10/24  26 Tennessee 14 at   1 Alabama 19 155 90.9%
2015/11/07  12 LSU 16 at   1 Alabama 30 152 79.5%
2015/11/14   1 Alabama 31 at   7 Mississippi St. 6 168 69.5%
2015/11/28   1 Alabama 34 at  47 Auburn 23 168 91.5%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 91.5%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Auburn Tigers, 91.5%


Oklahoma Sooners
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.888 3 0.558 46 24.3 4 11.2 7 177.1 31
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05 104 Akron 3 at  25 Oklahoma 41 182 94.1%
2015/09/12  10 Oklahoma 31 at  34 Tennessee 24 201 60.2%
2015/09/19  94 Tulsa 38 at   9 Oklahoma 52 210 96.3%
2015/10/03   4 West Virginia 24 at  12 Oklahoma 44 180 46.0%
2015/10/10   8 Oklahoma 17 vs  78 Texas 24 161 91.6%
2015/10/17  14 Oklahoma 55 at  19 Kansas St. 0 160 40.0%
2015/10/24  52 Texas Tech 27 at   7 Oklahoma 63 189 87.3%
2015/10/31   6 Oklahoma 62 at 125 Kansas 7 180 97.9%
2015/11/07  69 Iowa St. 16 at   6 Oklahoma 52 189 90.8%
2015/11/14   4 Oklahoma 44 at   9 Baylor 34 190 56.8%
2015/11/21  24 TCU 29 at   3 Oklahoma 30 198 75.3%
2015/11/28   3 Oklahoma 35 at  30 Oklahoma St. 30 179 74.9%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 74.9%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Oklahoma State Cowboys, 74.9%


Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.824 9 0.606 34 21.4 19 12.0 13 160.8 113
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04   5 Michigan St. 37 at  71 Western Michigan 24 170 84.8%
2015/09/12   4 Oregon 28 at   9 Michigan St. 31 176 57.9%
2015/09/19  68 Air Force 21 at  13 Michigan St. 35 148 91.5%
2015/09/26  79 Central Michigan 10 at  10 Michigan St. 30 144 93.6%
2015/10/03  92 Purdue 21 at  11 Michigan St. 24 153 95.2%
2015/10/10  19 Michigan St. 31 at  90 Rutgers 24 155 86.6%
2015/10/17  25 Michigan St. 27 at   1 Michigan 23 159 8.1%
2015/10/24  72 Indiana 26 at  13 Michigan St. 52 184 89.7%
2015/11/07  15 Michigan St. 38 at  47 Nebraska 39 168 68.1%
2015/11/14  69 Maryland 7 at  15 Michigan St. 24 170 83.5%
2015/11/21  15 Michigan St. 17 at   2 Ohio St. 14 138 23.9%
2015/11/28  38 Penn State 23 at   9 Michigan St. 27 162 68.6%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 68.6%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Penn State Nittany Lions, 68.6%


North Carolina Tar Heels
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.786 17 0.526 58 23.4 10 14.3 41 176.3 35
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  67 North Carolina 13 vs  33 South Carolina 17 162 32.1%
2015/09/19  49 Illinois 14 at  63 North Carolina 48 177 45.0%
2015/10/03  38 North Carolina 38 at  26 Georgia Tech 31 160 30.8%
2015/10/17  96 Wake Forest 14 at  38 North Carolina 50 158 91.1%
2015/10/24  83 Virginia 13 at  27 North Carolina 26 160 89.5%
2015/10/29  26 North Carolina 26 at  41 Pittsburgh 19 162 47.9%
2015/11/07  36 Duke 31 at  25 North Carolina 66 193 60.6%
2015/11/14  63 Miami-FL 21 at  17 North Carolina 59 175 79.8%
2015/11/21  13 North Carolina 30 at  50 Virginia Tech 27 189 71.4%
2015/11/28  17 North Carolina 33 at  42 North Carolina St. 29 171 66.5%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 66.5%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at North Carolina State Wolfpack, 66.5%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.915 2 0.533 56 23.5 9 9.6 3 163.8 105
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/07   3 Ohio St. 42 at  34 Virginia Tech 24 154 74.2%
2015/09/12  93 Hawaii 0 at   3 Ohio St. 38 171 97.2%
2015/09/19  76 Northern Ill. 13 at   2 Ohio St. 20 170 97.3%
2015/09/26  86 Western Michigan 12 at   2 Ohio St. 38 177 97.6%
2015/10/03   2 Ohio St. 34 at  69 Indiana 27 190 90.5%
2015/10/10  97 Maryland 28 at   4 Ohio St. 49 176 97.5%
2015/10/17  36 Penn State 10 at   6 Ohio St. 38 147 83.1%
2015/10/24   3 Ohio St. 49 at  80 Rutgers 7 149 90.0%
2015/11/07  67 Minnesota 14 at   2 Ohio St. 28 165 93.4%
2015/11/14   2 Ohio St. 28 at  70 Illinois 3 171 91.5%
2015/11/21  15 Michigan St. 17 at   2 Ohio St. 14 138 76.1%
2015/11/28   2 Ohio St. 27 at   5 Michigan 24 162 63.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 63.4%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Michigan Wolverines, 63.4%


Florida Gators
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.827 7 0.526 59 18.9 45 10.5 4 160.9 112
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05 125 New Mexico St. 13 at  27 Florida 61 153 97.4%
2015/09/12  54 East Carolina 24 at  24 Florida 31 178 83.1%
2015/09/19  26 Florida 14 at  66 Kentucky 9 150 70.8%
2015/09/26  36 Tennessee 27 at  26 Florida 28 170 68.9%
2015/10/03  17 Mississippi 10 at  22 Florida 38 163 51.1%
2015/10/10  10 Florida 21 at  42 Missouri 3 173 64.1%
2015/10/17   7 Florida 28 at  20 LSU 35 150 54.9%
2015/10/31  19 Georgia 3 vs   9 Florida 27 146 59.2%
2015/11/07  97 Vanderbilt 7 at   7 Florida 9 149 95.5%
2015/11/14   8 Florida 24 at  74 South Carolina 14 148 84.9%
2015/11/21 101 FL-Atlantic 14 at   7 Florida 20 177 94.5%
2015/11/28  15 Florida St. 24 at   7 Florida 25 163 55.7%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 55.7%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Florida State Seminoles, 55.7%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.838 6 0.519 62 26.2 1 14.1 34 187.3 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04   7 Baylor 56 at 127 SMU 21 176 98.0%
2015/09/26  91 Rice 17 at   8 Baylor 70 179 95.5%
2015/10/03  39 Texas Tech 35 vs   5 Baylor 63 200 81.1%
2015/10/10   6 Baylor 66 at 121 Kansas 7 184 97.5%
2015/10/17  21 West Virginia 38 at   3 Baylor 62 199 81.0%
2015/10/24  81 Iowa St. 27 at   4 Baylor 45 201 95.9%
2015/11/05   8 Baylor 31 at  58 Kansas St. 24 165 80.5%
2015/11/14   4 Oklahoma 44 at   9 Baylor 34 190 43.2%
2015/11/21   8 Baylor 45 at  27 Oklahoma St. 35 211 65.5%
2015/11/27   6 Baylor 37 at  21 TCU 33 186 62.9%
2015/12/05  80 Texas 25 at   6 Baylor 37 177 87.4%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 55.0%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at TCU Horned Frogs, 62.9%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.727 30 0.540 51 22.4 14 15.5 51 182.8 18
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  61 Oklahoma St. 24 at  84 Central Michigan 13 165 48.5%
2015/09/19 103 UTSA 14 at  51 Oklahoma St. 69 179 90.6%
2015/09/26  29 Oklahoma St. 30 at  61 Texas 27 177 63.9%
2015/10/03  13 Kansas St. 34 at  34 Oklahoma St. 36 182 39.1%
2015/10/10  31 Oklahoma St. 33 at  18 West Virginia 26 215 28.7%
2015/10/24 120 Kansas 10 at  36 Oklahoma St. 58 174 97.0%
2015/10/31  29 Oklahoma St. 70 at  55 Texas Tech 53 207 56.1%
2015/11/07  13 TCU 29 at  29 Oklahoma St. 49 197 39.2%
2015/11/14  24 Oklahoma St. 35 at  79 Iowa St. 31 170 78.0%
2015/11/21   8 Baylor 45 at  27 Oklahoma St. 35 211 34.5%
2015/11/28   3 Oklahoma 35 at  30 Oklahoma St. 30 179 25.1%


Odds of finishing with one loss: 25.1%
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 25.1%


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