Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? — TFG

Odds as of games through 2015-11-08

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.904 3 0.662 12 24.6 5 10.6 6 177.3 34
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  85 Appalachian St. 10 at   6 Clemson 41 184 95.9%
2015/09/17   5 Clemson 20 at  30 Louisville 17 161 64.6%
2015/10/03  23 Notre Dame 22 at   6 Clemson 24 162 80.0%
2015/10/10  28 Georgia Tech 24 at   7 Clemson 43 158 78.7%
2015/10/17  63 Boston College 17 at   4 Clemson 34 171 92.6%
2015/10/24   6 Clemson 58 at  47 Miami-FL 0 179 71.8%
2015/10/31   2 Clemson 56 at  50 North Carolina St. 41 181 85.9%
2015/11/07  17 Florida St. 13 at   3 Clemson 23 171 75.5%
2015/11/14   3 Clemson 39 at  87 Syracuse 23 174 93.8%
2015/11/21  98 Wake Forest 17 at   3 Clemson 34 172 96.5%
2015/11/28   3 Clemson 36 at  74 South Carolina 23 170 92.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 83.5%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 92.3%


Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.768 21 0.499 67 19.8 37 12.6 18 164.3 103
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  43 Iowa 31 at 100 Iowa St. 17 159 74.0%
2015/09/19  42 Pittsburgh 24 at  44 Iowa 27 150 60.4%
2015/09/26 112 North Texas 16 at  40 Iowa 62 185 94.1%
2015/10/03  29 Iowa 10 at   3 Wisconsin 6 157 11.8%
2015/10/10  59 Illinois 20 at  29 Iowa 29 178 76.7%
2015/10/17  35 Iowa 40 at  42 Northwestern 10 177 41.1%
2015/10/31  74 Maryland 15 at  18 Iowa 31 155 89.0%
2015/11/07  18 Iowa 35 at  76 Indiana 27 176 80.5%
2015/11/14  66 Minnesota 22 at  21 Iowa 29 164 79.8%
2015/11/21  96 Purdue 23 at  21 Iowa 35 168 89.4%
2015/11/27  21 Iowa 32 at  44 Nebraska 29 170 65.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 46.7%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Nebraska Cornhuskers, 65.4%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.834 11 0.338 113 21.0 27 11.5 11 176.1 37
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  55 Houston 34 at  23 Louisville 31 193 16.5%
2015/09/26 101 Texas State 14 at  55 Houston 59 188 87.3%
2015/10/03  40 Houston 38 at  89 Tulsa 24 213 71.8%
2015/10/08 100 SMU 28 at  38 Houston 49 167 91.8%
2015/10/16  43 Houston 42 at 119 Tulane 7 174 91.6%
2015/10/24  31 Houston 59 at 104 UCF 10 167 85.7%
2015/10/31  80 Vanderbilt 0 at  25 Houston 34 164 89.2%
2015/11/07  39 Cincinnati 30 at  11 Houston 33 186 75.4%
2015/11/14  39 Memphis 28 at  11 Houston 33 180 75.4%
2015/11/21  11 Houston 29 at  89 Connecticut 18 169 91.3%
2015/11/27  26 Navy 28 at  11 Houston 29 166 63.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 43.4%
Most difficult game left: November 27, vs Navy Midshipmen, 63.0%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.917 2 0.507 64 25.4 2 10.3 5 166.3 87
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/07   3 Ohio St. 42 at  34 Virginia Tech 24 154 74.2%
2015/09/12  93 Hawaii 0 at   3 Ohio St. 38 171 97.2%
2015/09/19  76 Northern Ill. 13 at   2 Ohio St. 20 170 97.3%
2015/09/26  86 Western Michigan 12 at   2 Ohio St. 38 177 97.6%
2015/10/03   2 Ohio St. 34 at  69 Indiana 27 190 90.5%
2015/10/10  97 Maryland 28 at   4 Ohio St. 49 176 97.5%
2015/10/17  36 Penn State 10 at   6 Ohio St. 38 147 83.1%
2015/10/24   3 Ohio St. 49 at  80 Rutgers 7 149 90.0%
2015/11/07  67 Minnesota 14 at   2 Ohio St. 28 165 93.4%
2015/11/14   2 Ohio St. 34 at  70 Illinois 21 170 91.3%
2015/11/21  15 Michigan St. 26 at   2 Ohio St. 32 164 74.0%
2015/11/28   2 Ohio St. 28 at   5 Michigan 24 162 59.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 40.0%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Michigan Wolverines, 59.2%


Long Shots

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.838 9 0.431 83 26.3 1 14.2 35 185.6 9
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04   7 Baylor 56 at 127 SMU 21 176 98.0%
2015/09/26  91 Rice 17 at   8 Baylor 70 179 95.5%
2015/10/03  39 Texas Tech 35 vs   5 Baylor 63 200 81.1%
2015/10/10   6 Baylor 66 at 121 Kansas 7 184 97.5%
2015/10/17  21 West Virginia 38 at   3 Baylor 62 199 81.0%
2015/10/24  81 Iowa St. 27 at   4 Baylor 45 201 95.9%
2015/11/05   8 Baylor 31 at  58 Kansas St. 24 165 80.5%
2015/11/14   4 Oklahoma 35 at   9 Baylor 33 180 43.2%
2015/11/21   9 Baylor 38 at  24 Oklahoma St. 34 184 63.0%
2015/11/27   9 Baylor 37 at  16 TCU 35 184 57.8%
2015/12/05  71 Texas 25 at   9 Baylor 37 177 85.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 13.5%
Most difficult game left: November 14, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 43.2%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.753 24 0.512 62 22.9 13 15.1 46 183.3 16
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  61 Oklahoma St. 24 at  84 Central Michigan 13 165 48.5%
2015/09/19 103 UTSA 14 at  51 Oklahoma St. 69 179 90.6%
2015/09/26  29 Oklahoma St. 30 at  61 Texas 27 177 63.9%
2015/10/03  13 Kansas St. 34 at  34 Oklahoma St. 36 182 39.1%
2015/10/10  31 Oklahoma St. 33 at  18 West Virginia 26 215 28.7%
2015/10/24 120 Kansas 10 at  36 Oklahoma St. 58 174 97.0%
2015/10/31  29 Oklahoma St. 70 at  55 Texas Tech 53 207 56.1%
2015/11/07  13 TCU 29 at  29 Oklahoma St. 49 197 39.2%
2015/11/14  24 Oklahoma St. 35 at  79 Iowa St. 27 179 78.0%
2015/11/21   9 Baylor 38 at  24 Oklahoma St. 34 184 37.0%
2015/11/28   4 Oklahoma 35 at  24 Oklahoma St. 30 179 27.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.8
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 27.1%


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