Tuesday, November 10, 2015

Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2015-11-08

Legitimate Title Contenders

Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.841 3 0.535 46 21.6 17 9.4 3 169.2 50
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  96 Appalachian St. 10 at  15 Clemson 41 184 90.8%
2015/09/17  13 Clemson 20 at  26 Louisville 17 161 62.1%
2015/10/03  23 Notre Dame 22 at   8 Clemson 24 162 69.4%
2015/10/10  38 Georgia Tech 24 at  11 Clemson 43 158 63.4%
2015/10/17  65 Boston College 17 at   6 Clemson 34 171 77.0%
2015/10/24   7 Clemson 58 at  48 Miami-FL 0 179 76.5%
2015/10/31   2 Clemson 56 at  53 North Carolina St. 41 181 77.8%
2015/11/07  14 Florida St. 13 at   3 Clemson 23 171 67.9%
2015/11/14   3 Clemson 35 at  85 Syracuse 20 167 92.2%
2015/11/21 102 Wake Forest 13 at   3 Clemson 38 168 95.6%
2015/11/28   3 Clemson 35 at  54 South Carolina 24 164 82.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 72.6%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 82.4%


Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.745 21 0.524 57 18.6 48 11.8 21 164.1 108
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  40 Iowa 31 at  83 Iowa St. 17 159 74.0%
2015/09/19  55 Pittsburgh 24 at  42 Iowa 27 150 58.7%
2015/09/26  98 North Texas 16 at  46 Iowa 62 185 80.5%
2015/10/03  36 Iowa 10 at  13 Wisconsin 6 157 26.3%
2015/10/10  70 Illinois 20 at  28 Iowa 29 178 78.7%
2015/10/17  30 Iowa 40 at  52 Northwestern 10 177 43.0%
2015/10/31  84 Maryland 15 at  19 Iowa 31 155 82.8%
2015/11/07  21 Iowa 35 at  78 Indiana 27 176 81.3%
2015/11/14  69 Minnesota 20 at  21 Iowa 31 164 77.9%
2015/11/21 106 Purdue 20 at  21 Iowa 38 168 88.2%
2015/11/27  21 Iowa 28 at  43 Nebraska 27 166 66.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 45.7%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Nebraska Cornhuskers, 66.5%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.853 2 0.528 53 23.8 5 10.2 8 161.6 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/07   7 Ohio St. 42 at  57 Virginia Tech 24 154 86.1%
2015/09/12  91 Hawaii 0 at   8 Ohio St. 38 171 94.5%
2015/09/19  74 Northern Ill. 13 at   3 Ohio St. 20 170 89.2%
2015/09/26  88 Western Michigan 12 at   4 Ohio St. 38 177 91.1%
2015/10/03   2 Ohio St. 34 at  72 Indiana 27 190 89.6%
2015/10/10  88 Maryland 28 at   3 Ohio St. 49 176 92.8%
2015/10/17  45 Penn State 10 at   5 Ohio St. 38 147 80.0%
2015/10/24   3 Ohio St. 49 at  72 Rutgers 7 149 87.1%
2015/11/07  69 Minnesota 14 at   2 Ohio St. 28 165 87.9%
2015/11/14   2 Ohio St. 35 at  80 Illinois 14 165 92.2%
2015/11/21  20 Michigan St. 27 at   2 Ohio St. 38 163 69.4%
2015/11/28   2 Ohio St. 34 at  11 Michigan 24 163 60.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 39.0%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Michigan Wolverines, 60.9%


Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.744 22 0.469 87 19.7 36 12.2 23 177.5 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  45 Houston 34 at  25 Louisville 31 193 37.0%
2015/09/26 101 Texas State 14 at  44 Houston 59 188 82.8%
2015/10/03  33 Houston 38 at  86 Tulsa 24 213 80.4%
2015/10/08 106 SMU 28 at  36 Houston 49 167 87.6%
2015/10/16  37 Houston 42 at 104 Tulane 7 174 87.7%
2015/10/24  35 Houston 59 at  94 UCF 10 167 82.2%
2015/10/31  74 Vanderbilt 0 at  26 Houston 34 164 78.5%
2015/11/07  51 Cincinnati 30 at  22 Houston 33 186 70.6%
2015/11/14  37 Memphis 27 at  22 Houston 34 174 61.7%
2015/11/21  22 Houston 31 at  86 Connecticut 21 171 86.1%
2015/11/27  42 Navy 28 at  22 Houston 35 168 68.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 36.1%
Most difficult game left: November 14, vs Memphis Tigers, 61.7%


Long Shots

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.826 4 0.551 18 28.2 1 13.1 29 177.7 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04  14 Baylor 56 at 127 SMU 21 176 98.0%
2015/09/26  79 Rice 17 at  13 Baylor 70 179 89.0%
2015/10/03  34 Texas Tech 35 vs   7 Baylor 63 200 66.7%
2015/10/10   5 Baylor 66 at 122 Kansas 7 184 96.0%
2015/10/17  19 West Virginia 38 at   2 Baylor 62 199 59.3%
2015/10/24  74 Iowa St. 27 at   2 Baylor 45 201 90.0%
2015/11/05   4 Baylor 31 at  31 Kansas St. 24 165 68.6%
2015/11/14   5 Oklahoma 34 at   4 Baylor 35 175 50.7%
2015/11/21   4 Baylor 38 at  19 Oklahoma St. 34 176 64.0%
2015/11/27   4 Baylor 31 at  12 TCU 38 173 42.7%
2015/12/05  70 Texas 17 at   4 Baylor 42 173 87.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 12.1%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at TCU Horned Frogs, 42.7%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.762 19 0.554 9 23.7 6 13.3 35 176.1 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  40 Oklahoma St. 24 at  93 Central Michigan 13 165 84.7%
2015/09/19 105 UTSA 14 at  43 Oklahoma St. 69 179 78.9%
2015/09/26  25 Oklahoma St. 30 at  58 Texas 27 177 53.3%
2015/10/03   9 Kansas St. 34 at  30 Oklahoma St. 36 182 35.7%
2015/10/10  27 Oklahoma St. 33 at  20 West Virginia 26 215 34.4%
2015/10/24 116 Kansas 10 at  22 Oklahoma St. 58 174 95.1%
2015/10/31  18 Oklahoma St. 70 at  46 Texas Tech 53 207 64.4%
2015/11/07  12 TCU 29 at  19 Oklahoma St. 49 197 47.0%
2015/11/14  19 Oklahoma St. 38 at  62 Iowa St. 24 174 75.4%
2015/11/21   4 Baylor 38 at  19 Oklahoma St. 34 176 36.0%
2015/11/28   5 Oklahoma 35 at  19 Oklahoma St. 31 174 35.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.4
Most difficult game left: November 28, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 35.3%


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