Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? — RBA

Odds as of games through 2015-10-18

Second-Tier Hopefuls

Toledo Rockets
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.652 39 0.446 110 17.0 58 12.1 23 169.4 47
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  66 Toledo 16 vs   7 Arkansas 12 169 13.9%
2015/09/19  85 Iowa St. 23 at  49 Toledo 30 188 59.8%
2015/09/26  89 Arkansas St. 7 at  50 Toledo 37 186 83.2%
2015/10/03  44 Toledo 24 at  90 Ball St. 10 163 75.4%
2015/10/10 115 Kent St. 7 at  42 Toledo 38 177 89.3%
2015/10/17 116 Eastern Michigan 20 at  39 Toledo 63 177 88.9%
2015/10/24  39 Toledo 41 at 109 Massachusetts 24 170 87.9%
2015/11/03  66 Northern Ill. 20 at  39 Toledo 31 168 67.6%
2015/11/10  39 Toledo 34 at  79 Central Michigan 21 169 77.1%
2015/11/17  39 Toledo 35 at  69 Bowling Green 27 169 71.5%
2015/11/27  85 Western Michigan 21 at  39 Toledo 35 169 78.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 25.8%
Most difficult game left: November 3, vs Northern Illinois Huskies, 67.6%


Iowa Hawkeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.701 30 0.525 58 19.0 42 11.5 17 164.0 106
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  40 Iowa 31 at  83 Iowa St. 17 159 74.0%
2015/09/19  55 Pittsburgh 24 at  42 Iowa 27 150 58.7%
2015/09/26  98 North Texas 16 at  46 Iowa 62 185 80.5%
2015/10/03  36 Iowa 10 at  13 Wisconsin 6 157 26.3%
2015/10/10  70 Illinois 20 at  28 Iowa 29 178 78.7%
2015/10/17  30 Iowa 40 at  52 Northwestern 10 177 43.0%
2015/10/31  90 Maryland 17 at  30 Iowa 41 165 83.9%
2015/11/07  30 Iowa 34 at  75 Indiana 24 168 77.5%
2015/11/14  64 Minnesota 20 at  30 Iowa 31 164 70.6%
2015/11/21 108 Purdue 17 at  30 Iowa 41 168 87.9%
2015/11/27  30 Iowa 28 at  41 Nebraska 27 166 57.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 23.0%
Most difficult game left: November 27, at Nebraska Cornhuskers, 57.0%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.806 5 0.528 53 23.6 5 10.8 10 161.6 118
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/07   7 Ohio St. 42 at  57 Virginia Tech 24 154 86.1%
2015/09/12  91 Hawaii 0 at   8 Ohio St. 38 171 94.5%
2015/09/19  74 Northern Ill. 13 at   3 Ohio St. 20 170 89.2%
2015/09/26  88 Western Michigan 12 at   4 Ohio St. 38 177 91.1%
2015/10/03   2 Ohio St. 34 at  72 Indiana 27 190 89.6%
2015/10/10  88 Maryland 28 at   3 Ohio St. 49 176 92.8%
2015/10/17  45 Penn State 10 at   5 Ohio St. 38 147 80.0%
2015/10/24   5 Ohio St. 38 at  70 Rutgers 21 163 87.1%
2015/11/07  64 Minnesota 17 at   5 Ohio St. 38 163 83.5%
2015/11/14   5 Ohio St. 35 at  71 Illinois 17 165 87.3%
2015/11/21  22 Michigan St. 27 at   5 Ohio St. 35 163 63.4%
2015/11/28   5 Ohio St. 31 at   4 Michigan 27 163 56.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 22.5%
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Michigan Wolverines, 56.0%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.802 6 0.536 44 19.1 39 9.4 4 169.0 53
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  96 Appalachian St. 10 at  15 Clemson 41 184 90.8%
2015/09/17  13 Clemson 20 at  26 Louisville 17 161 62.1%
2015/10/03  23 Notre Dame 22 at   8 Clemson 24 162 69.4%
2015/10/10  38 Georgia Tech 24 at  11 Clemson 43 158 63.4%
2015/10/17  65 Boston College 17 at   6 Clemson 34 171 77.0%
2015/10/24   6 Clemson 31 at  53 Miami-FL 24 166 76.5%
2015/10/31   6 Clemson 31 at  44 North Carolina St. 17 168 72.9%
2015/11/07  11 Florida St. 27 at   6 Clemson 28 167 53.5%
2015/11/14   6 Clemson 31 at  84 Syracuse 17 166 89.9%
2015/11/21 101 Wake Forest 10 at   6 Clemson 35 168 92.4%
2015/11/28   6 Clemson 34 at  59 South Carolina 24 163 77.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 19.2%
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Florida State Seminoles, 53.5%


Long Shots

Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.668 37 0.469 88 19.0 41 13.3 35 177.6 4
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  45 Houston 34 at  25 Louisville 31 193 37.0%
2015/09/26 101 Texas State 14 at  44 Houston 59 188 82.8%
2015/10/03  33 Houston 38 at  86 Tulsa 24 213 80.4%
2015/10/08 106 SMU 28 at  36 Houston 49 167 87.6%
2015/10/16  37 Houston 42 at 104 Tulane 7 174 87.7%
2015/10/24  37 Houston 34 at  94 UCF 21 170 82.2%
2015/10/31  78 Vanderbilt 17 at  37 Houston 35 170 76.1%
2015/11/07  62 Cincinnati 24 at  37 Houston 38 173 64.0%
2015/11/14  50 Memphis 27 at  37 Houston 31 173 59.9%
2015/11/21  37 Houston 31 at  88 Connecticut 21 171 80.4%
2015/11/27  34 Navy 28 at  37 Houston 34 168 51.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.1
Most difficult game left: November 27, vs Navy Midshipmen, 51.3%


Michigan State Spartans
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.740 22 0.541 32 21.1 17 12.9 29 166.2 80
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04   6 Michigan St. 37 at  96 Western Michigan 24 170 95.2%
2015/09/12   9 Oregon 28 at  14 Michigan St. 31 176 56.4%
2015/09/19  68 Air Force 21 at  19 Michigan St. 35 148 84.7%
2015/09/26  91 Central Michigan 10 at  17 Michigan St. 30 144 91.1%
2015/10/03  97 Purdue 21 at  15 Michigan St. 24 153 91.6%
2015/10/10  21 Michigan St. 31 at  78 Rutgers 24 155 86.4%
2015/10/17  22 Michigan St. 27 at   4 Michigan 23 159 43.9%
2015/10/24  75 Indiana 21 at  22 Michigan St. 38 169 80.7%
2015/11/07  22 Michigan St. 31 at  41 Nebraska 28 167 61.7%
2015/11/14  90 Maryland 17 at  22 Michigan St. 42 166 86.3%
2015/11/21  22 Michigan St. 27 at   5 Ohio St. 35 163 36.6%
2015/11/28  45 Penn State 20 at  22 Michigan St. 34 165 62.6%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.2
Most difficult game left: November 21, at Ohio State Buckeyes, 36.6%


Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.832 2 0.553 13 30.0 1 13.1 32 177.6 5
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/04  14 Baylor 56 at 127 SMU 21 176 98.0%
2015/09/26  79 Rice 17 at  13 Baylor 70 179 89.0%
2015/10/03  34 Texas Tech 35 vs   7 Baylor 63 200 66.7%
2015/10/10   5 Baylor 66 at 122 Kansas 7 184 96.0%
2015/10/17  19 West Virginia 38 at   2 Baylor 62 199 59.3%
2015/10/24  72 Iowa St. 20 at   2 Baylor 55 174 90.0%
2015/11/05   2 Baylor 45 at  16 Kansas St. 31 171 62.8%
2015/11/14  21 Oklahoma 31 at   2 Baylor 38 174 69.0%
2015/11/21   2 Baylor 38 at  26 Oklahoma St. 31 176 69.5%
2015/11/27   2 Baylor 34 at  13 TCU 38 173 37.3%
2015/12/05  63 Texas 17 at   2 Baylor 45 173 85.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.6
Most difficult game left: November 27, at TCU Horned Frogs, 37.3%


Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.777 11 0.541 31 21.0 19 10.8 11 165.6 88
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05  86 Texas State 16 at   9 Florida St. 59 174 91.5%
2015/09/12 114 South Florida 14 at   6 Florida St. 34 163 95.7%
2015/09/18  14 Florida St. 14 at  53 Boston College 0 139 83.6%
2015/10/03   6 Florida St. 24 at 104 Wake Forest 16 157 94.4%
2015/10/10  50 Miami-FL 24 at   9 Florida St. 29 165 75.9%
2015/10/17  27 Louisville 21 at  11 Florida St. 41 165 64.7%
2015/10/24  11 Florida St. 34 at  42 Georgia Tech 24 164 69.4%
2015/10/31  84 Syracuse 14 at  11 Florida St. 38 165 88.6%
2015/11/07  11 Florida St. 27 at   6 Clemson 28 167 46.5%
2015/11/14  44 North Carolina St. 17 at  11 Florida St. 35 166 70.0%
2015/11/28  11 Florida St. 24 at   3 Florida 28 163 40.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-12.2
Most difficult game left: November 28, at Florida Gators, 40.8%


TCU Horned Frogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.775 13 0.483 77 25.2 2 13.7 39 169.9 39
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03   4 TCU 23 at  42 Minnesota 17 191 82.3%
2015/09/19 106 SMU 37 at   5 TCU 56 179 98.2%
2015/09/26  12 TCU 55 at  33 Texas Tech 52 220 80.9%
2015/10/03  58 Texas 7 at  20 TCU 50 192 78.4%
2015/10/10  12 TCU 52 at  14 Kansas St. 45 165 58.5%
2015/10/17  13 TCU 45 at  72 Iowa St. 21 175 83.7%
2015/10/29  19 West Virginia 24 at  13 TCU 42 170 50.0%
2015/11/07  13 TCU 34 at  26 Oklahoma St. 31 172 57.5%
2015/11/14 121 Kansas 14 at  13 TCU 49 170 96.3%
2015/11/21  13 TCU 28 at  21 Oklahoma 34 171 43.1%
2015/11/27   2 Baylor 34 at  13 TCU 38 173 62.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.4
Most difficult game left: November 21, at Oklahoma Sooners, 43.1%


Utah Utes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.726 25 0.491 71 20.2 29 13.1 31 166.9 76
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  52 Michigan 17 at  37 Utah 24 165 52.2%
2015/09/11  54 Utah St. 14 at  33 Utah 24 157 58.3%
2015/09/19  31 Utah 45 at  92 Fresno St. 24 160 77.7%
2015/09/26  24 Utah 62 at  16 Oregon 20 177 30.7%
2015/10/10  44 California 24 at  25 Utah 30 177 55.0%
2015/10/17  28 Arizona St. 18 at  25 Utah 34 170 53.8%
2015/10/24  25 Utah 28 at   8 USC 27 167 68.2%
2015/10/31  91 Oregon St. 20 at  25 Utah 41 169 84.7%
2015/11/07  25 Utah 27 at  29 Washington 24 168 50.1%
2015/11/14  25 Utah 34 at  47 Arizona 27 170 60.1%
2015/11/21  24 UCLA 27 at  25 Utah 34 168 54.4%
2015/11/28  76 Colorado 21 at  25 Utah 38 168 78.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-13.4
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Washington Huskies, 50.1%


Memphis Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.603 50 0.462 98 19.3 36 14.4 47 170.2 36
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12  39 Memphis 55 at  97 Kansas 23 195 80.1%
2015/09/19  39 Memphis 44 at  76 Bowling Green 41 198 79.7%
2015/09/24  64 Cincinnati 46 at  48 Memphis 53 211 63.0%
2015/10/02  51 Memphis 24 at 116 South Florida 17 172 84.4%
2015/10/17   9 Mississippi 24 at  50 Memphis 37 199 23.3%
2015/10/23  50 Memphis 34 at  81 Tulsa 27 172 71.2%
2015/10/31 104 Tulane 17 at  50 Memphis 41 169 84.5%
2015/11/07  34 Navy 28 at  50 Memphis 34 164 61.2%
2015/11/14  50 Memphis 27 at  37 Houston 31 173 40.1%
2015/11/21  50 Memphis 24 at  40 Temple 28 166 42.5%
2015/11/28 105 SMU 20 at  50 Memphis 41 168 83.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-19.2
Most difficult game left: November 14, at Houston Cougars, 40.1%


Temple Owls
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.642 40 0.483 76 15.8 65 11.7 20 162.6 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/05  51 Penn State 10 at  66 Temple 27 147 62.3%
2015/09/12  41 Temple 34 at  51 Cincinnati 26 168 35.2%
2015/09/19  36 Temple 25 at 122 Massachusetts 23 203 88.5%
2015/10/02  52 Temple 37 at 129 Charlotte 3 164 99.9%
2015/10/10 100 Tulane 10 at  46 Temple 49 150 90.9%
2015/10/17  94 UCF 16 at  40 Temple 30 159 73.4%
2015/10/22  40 Temple 27 at  60 East Carolina 28 167 38.1%
2015/10/31  23 Notre Dame 28 at  40 Temple 27 163 40.4%
2015/11/06  40 Temple 35 at 105 SMU 21 165 86.8%
2015/11/14  40 Temple 28 at  89 South Florida 20 164 79.6%
2015/11/21  50 Memphis 24 at  40 Temple 28 166 57.5%
2015/11/28  88 Connecticut 13 at  40 Temple 31 164 78.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-20.8
Most difficult game left: October 22, at East Carolina Pirates, 38.1%


LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.767 15 0.550 19 23.6 7 13.4 36 160.2 126
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/12   5 LSU 21 at  22 Mississippi St. 19 174 35.2%
2015/09/19   8 Auburn 21 at   4 LSU 45 146 57.1%
2015/09/26   3 LSU 34 at  81 Syracuse 24 160 91.8%
2015/10/03 125 Eastern Michigan 22 at  11 LSU 44 147 98.3%
2015/10/10  53 South Carolina 24 at  19 LSU 45 157 71.2%
2015/10/17   3 Florida 28 at  15 LSU 35 150 59.9%
2015/10/24  51 Western Kentucky 24 at  15 LSU 41 161 70.3%
2015/11/07  15 LSU 21 at   1 Alabama 31 158 21.7%
2015/11/14  32 Arkansas 21 at  15 LSU 31 162 61.6%
2015/11/21  15 LSU 28 at   9 Mississippi 27 162 60.0%
2015/11/28  14 Texas A&M 24 at  15 LSU 34 167 53.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-33.0
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Alabama Crimson Tide, 21.7%


Oklahoma State Cowboys
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2015 0.720 26 0.555 9 20.5 25 12.5 26 175.8 7
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2015/09/03  40 Oklahoma St. 24 at  93 Central Michigan 13 165 84.7%
2015/09/19 105 UTSA 14 at  43 Oklahoma St. 69 179 78.9%
2015/09/26  25 Oklahoma St. 30 at  58 Texas 27 177 53.3%
2015/10/03   9 Kansas St. 34 at  30 Oklahoma St. 36 182 35.7%
2015/10/10  27 Oklahoma St. 33 at  20 West Virginia 26 215 34.4%
2015/10/24 121 Kansas 10 at  26 Oklahoma St. 48 173 95.1%
2015/10/31  26 Oklahoma St. 36 at  33 Texas Tech 35 178 55.8%
2015/11/07  13 TCU 34 at  26 Oklahoma St. 31 172 42.5%
2015/11/14  26 Oklahoma St. 38 at  72 Iowa St. 24 174 79.7%
2015/11/21   2 Baylor 38 at  26 Oklahoma St. 31 176 30.5%
2015/11/28  21 Oklahoma 31 at  26 Oklahoma St. 28 174 49.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-36.9
Most difficult game left: November 21, vs Baylor Bears, 30.5%


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