Saturday, August 31, 2013

Week 1: Saturday In-Game Win Probabilities

Last updated: Sun Sep 1 05:28:04 2013

Virginia Tech10Alabama35Final
LA-Lafayette14Arkansas34Final
Washington St.24Auburn31Final
Northwestern44California30Final
Nevada20UCLA58Final
Purdue7Cincinnati42Final
Georgia35Clemson38Final
Toledo6Florida24Final
Northern Ill.30Iowa27Final
Western Kentucky35Kentucky26Final
TCU27LSU37Final
Miami-OH14Marshall52Final
FIU10Maryland43Final
Central Michigan9Michigan59Final
Oklahoma St.21Mississippi St.3Final
Wyoming34Nebraska37Final
UTSA21New Mexico13Final
LA Tech14North Carolina St.40Final
Idaho6North Texas40Final
Temple6Notre Dame28Final
Buffalo20Ohio St.40Final
LA-Monroe0Oklahoma34Final
Syracuse17Penn State23Final
Texas State22Southern Miss.15Final
Rice31Texas A&M52Final
New Mexico St.7Texas56Final
UAB31Troy34Final
BYU16Virginia19Final
Boise St.6Washington38Final
Massachusetts0Wisconsin45Final

Week 1: Saturday Predictions


  1Alabama34
 45Virginia Tech18
  1Alabama41
 54Virginia Tech10

 55Arkansas31
 62LA-Lafayette29
 37Arkansas38
 67LA-Lafayette24

 92Auburn27
 99Washington St.24
 73Auburn35
 99Washington St.20

 84California25
 29Northwestern33
 65California27
 35Northwestern31

 27Cincinnati32
 80Purdue24
 25Cincinnati41
 72Purdue17

 22Clemson30
  8Georgia34
 18Clemson28
  8Georgia27

  5Florida32
 65Toledo22
  9Florida34
 61Toledo17

 68Iowa23
 28Northern Ill.28
 69Iowa24
 49Northern Ill.27

113Kentucky24
 82Western Kentucky28
 93Kentucky28
 76Western Kentucky24

  7LSU28
 34TCU22
  3LSU34
 30TCU14

 83Marshall36
110Miami-OH32
 85Marshall38
110Miami-OH27

 91Maryland25
 90FIU27
 90Maryland28
 96FIU20

 16Michigan36
100Central Michigan22
 12Michigan55
102Central Michigan13

 46Mississippi St.27
 12Oklahoma St.33
 31Mississippi St.31
 19Oklahoma St.32

 23Nebraska38
 93Wyoming26
 26Nebraska38
 91Wyoming14

107New Mexico29
103UTSA31
112New Mexico31
113UTSA27

 60North Carolina St.34
 53LA Tech36
 63North Carolina St.34
 43LA Tech31

 95North Texas32
121Idaho24
107North Texas31
121Idaho17

  3Notre Dame32
 85Temple19
  2Notre Dame42
 82Temple3

 19Ohio St.34
111Buffalo21
 17Ohio St.42
109Buffalo14

 14Oklahoma36
 73LA-Monroe26
 14Oklahoma45
 68LA-Monroe17

 24Penn State27
 40Syracuse26
 21Penn State31
 51Syracuse20

105Southern Miss.29
 97Texas State30
106Southern Miss.32
100Texas State31

 26Texas41
123New Mexico St.21
 29Texas52
122New Mexico St.7

  2Texas A&M40
 69Rice25
  6Texas A&M49
 83Rice17

 77Troy35
108UAB29
 79Troy38
111UAB24

 49UCLA35
 64Nevada32
 40UCLA38
 64Nevada27

 88Virginia19
 15BYU28
 87Virginia20
 22BYU31

 58Washington23
 17Boise St.28
 53Washington24
 15Boise St.28

 11Wisconsin39
124Massachusetts16
 11Wisconsin59
125Massachusetts7


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Friday, August 30, 2013

Week 1: Friday Predictions


 61Miami-FL34
106FL-Atlantic26
 46Miami-FL45
115FL-Atlantic20

 25Michigan St.30
 89Western Michigan22
 28Michigan St.38
 94Western Michigan13

 52SMU32
 56Texas Tech31
 69SMU34
 56Texas Tech31


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 1: Friday In-Game Win Probabilities

Last updated: Sat Aug 31 04:58:03 2013

FL-Atlantic6Miami-FL34Final
Western Michigan13Michigan St.26Final
Texas TechatSMU Later

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Week 1: Thursday Predictions


 66Bowling Green22
 38Tulsa26
 75Bowling Green24
 50Tulsa28

 44Fresno St.24
 42Rutgers25
 39Fresno St.25
 36Rutgers24

115Hawaii21
 21USC36
116Hawaii13
 13USC48

 87Minnesota29
114UNLV24
 84Minnesota34
104UNLV17

 10South Carolina32
 47North Carolina26
  5South Carolina42
 45North Carolina17

 32UCF37
120Akron21
 42UCF45
118Akron17

 67Utah23
 18Utah St.30
 52Utah24
 27Utah St.27

 36Vanderbilt27
 33Mississippi28
 23Vanderbilt31
 38Mississippi24


Key
Close
game
                        Certain
victory
                       


Follow us on Twitter at @TFGridiron and @TFGLiveOdds.

Week 1: Thursday In-Game Win Probabilities

Last updated: Fri Aug 30 04:58:03 2013

Tulsa7Bowling Green34Final
USC30Hawaii13Final
UNLV23Minnesota51Final
North Carolina10South Carolina27Final
Utah St.26Utah30Final
Mississippi39Vanderbilt35Final
RutgersatFresno St. Later
AkronatUCF Later

Monday, August 26, 2013

Welcome to the 2013-2014 Season

Welcome to the 2013-2014 college football season!

The new season is only three days away, and Tempo-Free Gridiron is back for yet another year. Last year we rolled out our first real trial of in-game win probabilities. During each and every game of the 2013-2014 season we created graphs showing the current odds of each team winning. This year we're going to refine those models to provide better accuracy and precision.

We'll still be tweeting the probabilities for each game at the end of each quarter, as well as upset watches (a heavy pre-game favorite is likely to lose), upset warnings (a heavy pre-game favorite is on the verge of losing) and upset emergency notices (they're pretty much toast). So subscribe to our twitter feed (@TFGLiveOdds) for all that and more.

Along with the new content, there's the usual content, including
This is all on top of our weekly predictions, discussions, rankings, and complete bowl coverage that we've provided the previous years. Keep an eye on the blog or follow us on Twitter.