Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Week 8: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2013-10-13


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.924 1 0.548 21 25.7 5 6.8 1 156.0 125
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  50 Virginia Tech 10 vs   1 Alabama 35 157 95.7%
2013/09/14   1 Alabama 49 at  13 Texas A&M 42 167 82.2%
2013/09/21 104 Colorado St. 6 at   1 Alabama 31 138 99.2%
2013/09/28  18 Mississippi 0 at   2 Alabama 25 152 89.6%
2013/10/05 125 Georgia State 3 at   1 Alabama 45 134 99.9%
2013/10/12   1 Alabama 48 at  72 Kentucky 7 158 96.9%
2013/10/19  38 Arkansas 14 at   1 Alabama 45 160 89.1%
2013/10/26  60 Tennessee 14 at   1 Alabama 45 158 94.5%
2013/11/09   6 LSU 21 at   1 Alabama 31 158 73.8%
2013/11/16   1 Alabama 38 at  27 Mississippi St. 17 159 86.2%
2013/11/30   1 Alabama 35 at  52 Auburn 17 157 93.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.0
Most difficult game left: November 9, vs LSU Tigers, 73.8%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.886 2 0.530 51 28.0 2 9.8 8 177.3 3
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07   5 Oregon 59 at  82 Virginia 10 186 93.1%
2013/09/14  40 Tennessee 14 at   3 Oregon 59 175 86.2%
2013/09/28  68 California 16 at   3 Oregon 55 206 93.1%
2013/10/05   2 Oregon 57 at 104 Colorado 16 194 98.0%
2013/10/12   2 Oregon 45 at  34 Washington 24 183 85.0%
2013/10/19  66 Washington St. 13 at   2 Oregon 52 175 91.7%
2013/10/26  21 UCLA 24 at   2 Oregon 38 173 77.9%
2013/11/07   2 Oregon 31 at  10 Stanford 27 172 71.0%
2013/11/16  51 Utah 21 at   2 Oregon 41 171 88.8%
2013/11/23   2 Oregon 42 at  46 Arizona 21 173 86.6%
2013/11/29  40 Oregon St. 24 at   2 Oregon 42 174 85.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.0
Most difficult game left: November 7, at Stanford Cardinal, 71.0%


Northern Illinois Huskies
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.622 45 0.435 117 18.2 39 14.5 48 166.6 71
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  46 Northern Ill. 30 at  69 Iowa 27 198 65.2%
2013/09/14  53 Northern Ill. 45 at 123 Idaho 35 200 95.7%
2013/09/28  52 Northern Ill. 55 at  82 Purdue 24 175 69.3%
2013/10/05  49 Northern Ill. 38 at  87 Kent St. 24 187 74.8%
2013/10/12 117 Akron 20 at  45 Northern Ill. 27 202 88.2%
2013/10/19  45 Northern Ill. 45 at 115 Central Michigan 21 169 91.2%
2013/10/26 119 Eastern Michigan 14 at  45 Northern Ill. 42 165 93.6%
2013/11/02  45 Northern Ill. 38 at 124 Massachusetts 17 165 97.2%
2013/11/13  64 Ball St. 24 at  45 Northern Ill. 34 167 62.6%
2013/11/20  45 Northern Ill. 31 at  71 Toledo 24 167 70.1%
2013/11/26 116 Western Michigan 17 at  45 Northern Ill. 41 168 90.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.0
Most difficult game left: November 13, vs Ball State Cardinals, 62.6%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Florida State Seminoles
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.842 4 0.548 20 27.9 3 9.5 6 165.5 83
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/02   4 Florida St. 41 at  48 Pittsburgh 13 140 21.5%
2013/09/14  73 Nevada 7 at   2 Florida St. 62 154 87.7%
2013/09/28   1 Florida St. 48 at  91 Boston College 34 163 94.8%
2013/10/05  40 Maryland 0 at   5 Florida St. 63 170 94.2%
2013/10/19   4 Florida St. 31 at   5 Clemson 24 166 52.7%
2013/10/26  53 North Carolina St. 17 at   4 Florida St. 38 167 84.2%
2013/11/02  35 Miami-FL 20 at   4 Florida St. 38 164 76.5%
2013/11/09   4 Florida St. 52 at 108 Wake Forest 17 166 97.0%
2013/11/16  55 Syracuse 13 at   4 Florida St. 42 165 84.8%
2013/11/23 121 Idaho 14 at   4 Florida St. 62 167 98.7%
2013/11/30   4 Florida St. 24 at   7 Florida 20 163 56.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-6.4
Most difficult game left: October 19, at Clemson Tigers, 52.7%


Long Shots

Fresno State Bulldogs
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.561 54 0.495 69 20.7 24 17.6 76 168.2 52
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/29  35 Rutgers 51 at  53 Fresno St. 52 209 50.1%
2013/09/14  54 Fresno St. 41 at 113 Colorado 24 167 88.8%
2013/09/20  42 Boise St. 40 at  51 Fresno St. 41 212 56.8%
2013/09/28  49 Fresno St. 42 at 108 Hawaii 37 210 81.8%
2013/10/05  55 Fresno St. 61 at 120 Idaho 14 213 94.9%
2013/10/19 110 UNLV 17 at  54 Fresno St. 45 167 83.6%
2013/10/26  54 Fresno St. 32 at  68 SDSU 31 168 59.2%
2013/11/02  83 Nevada 24 at  54 Fresno St. 42 170 71.0%
2013/11/09  54 Fresno St. 34 at  70 Wyoming 31 168 62.8%
2013/11/23 104 New Mexico 20 at  54 Fresno St. 45 166 81.8%
2013/11/29  54 Fresno St. 34 at  75 SJSU 28 167 65.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-8.5
Most difficult game left: October 26, at San Diego State Aztecs, 59.2%


Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.737 18 0.485 76 21.4 20 10.4 11 165.0 95
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/01  65 Ohio 7 at  42 Louisville 49 156 74.1%
2013/09/14  20 Louisville 27 at  83 Kentucky 13 161 80.7%
2013/09/21 120 FIU 0 at  28 Louisville 72 128 92.8%
2013/10/05  19 Louisville 30 at  94 Temple 7 145 84.1%
2013/10/10  49 Rutgers 10 at  18 Louisville 24 151 69.0%
2013/10/18  24 UCF 24 at  18 Louisville 27 164 53.7%
2013/10/26  18 Louisville 41 at 107 South Florida 17 167 92.1%
2013/11/08  18 Louisville 35 at  96 Connecticut 17 165 89.2%
2013/11/16  58 Houston 20 at  18 Louisville 35 171 75.4%
2013/11/23  84 Memphis 10 at  18 Louisville 41 166 87.1%
2013/12/05  18 Louisville 20 at  29 Cincinnati 31 166 39.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-8.7
Most difficult game left: December 5, at Cincinnati Bearcats, 39.7%


Clemson Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.833 5 0.529 53 22.1 14 10.6 12 168.5 44
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31   8 Georgia 35 at  20 Clemson 38 178 63.6%
2013/09/19  19 Clemson 26 at  45 North Carolina St. 14 178 75.2%
2013/09/28  97 Wake Forest 7 at  15 Clemson 56 174 93.1%
2013/10/05   8 Clemson 49 at  51 Syracuse 14 187 74.3%
2013/10/12  73 Boston College 14 at   5 Clemson 24 171 91.4%
2013/10/19   4 Florida St. 31 at   5 Clemson 24 166 47.3%
2013/10/26   5 Clemson 38 at  48 Maryland 20 166 79.8%
2013/11/02   5 Clemson 38 at  93 Virginia 14 166 94.1%
2013/11/14  47 Georgia Tech 20 at   5 Clemson 38 165 80.0%
2013/11/30   5 Clemson 24 at  17 South Carolina 31 163 33.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-10.6
Most difficult game left: November 30, at South Carolina Gamecocks, 33.3%


Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.762 13 0.528 55 23.0 10 13.0 31 160.2 119
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31 111 Buffalo 20 at  17 Ohio St. 40 163 91.9%
2013/09/07  51 SDSU 7 at  16 Ohio St. 42 164 65.0%
2013/09/14  15 Ohio St. 52 at  68 California 34 206 78.9%
2013/09/28   8 Wisconsin 24 at  11 Ohio St. 31 159 53.6%
2013/10/05  14 Ohio St. 40 at  33 Northwestern 30 172 61.9%
2013/10/19  22 Iowa 17 at  13 Ohio St. 31 162 53.4%
2013/10/26  30 Penn State 21 at  13 Ohio St. 35 162 59.4%
2013/11/02  13 Ohio St. 41 at  86 Purdue 20 166 88.8%
2013/11/16  13 Ohio St. 35 at  61 Illinois 21 164 77.8%
2013/11/23  65 Indiana 24 at  13 Ohio St. 38 165 78.8%
2013/11/30  13 Ohio St. 31 at  12 Michigan 32 163 49.3%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-11.7
Most difficult game left: November 30, at Michigan Wolverines, 49.3%


Miami Hurricanes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.673 35 0.553 13 21.1 21 13.9 38 163.2 107
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30 115 FL-Atlantic 6 at  51 Miami-FL 34 173 87.3%
2013/09/07  11 Florida 16 at  42 Miami-FL 21 158 30.2%
2013/09/28  35 Miami-FL 49 at 106 South Florida 21 159 77.6%
2013/10/05  47 Georgia Tech 30 at  36 Miami-FL 45 157 50.1%
2013/10/17  35 Miami-FL 31 at  63 North Carolina 24 164 67.8%
2013/10/26 108 Wake Forest 14 at  35 Miami-FL 42 165 90.8%
2013/11/02  35 Miami-FL 20 at   4 Florida St. 38 164 23.5%
2013/11/09  44 Virginia Tech 21 at  35 Miami-FL 28 161 55.3%
2013/11/16  35 Miami-FL 41 at  76 Duke 27 165 77.2%
2013/11/23  93 Virginia 17 at  35 Miami-FL 38 164 84.5%
2013/11/29  35 Miami-FL 28 at  59 Pittsburgh 24 163 65.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-29.2
Most difficult game left: November 2, at Florida State Seminoles, 23.5%


Missouri Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.725 23 0.526 58 22.0 15 12.9 27 174.3 9
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  71 Toledo 23 at  32 Missouri 38 163 69.7%
2013/09/21  35 Missouri 45 at  63 Indiana 28 209 80.3%
2013/09/28  72 Arkansas St. 19 at  33 Missouri 41 173 74.4%
2013/10/05  34 Missouri 51 at  44 Vanderbilt 28 176 44.1%
2013/10/12  23 Missouri 41 at  20 Georgia 26 175 41.0%
2013/10/19   7 Florida 24 at  23 Missouri 27 167 64.0%
2013/10/26  17 South Carolina 28 at  23 Missouri 31 166 51.2%
2013/11/02  60 Tennessee 21 at  23 Missouri 41 168 74.1%
2013/11/09  23 Missouri 38 at  72 Kentucky 21 169 80.8%
2013/11/23  23 Missouri 28 at  32 Mississippi 31 169 44.7%
2013/11/30   8 Texas A&M 35 at  23 Missouri 31 174 38.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-29.9
Most difficult game left: November 30, vs Texas A&M Aggies, 38.2%


Absolute Phonies

Baylor Bears
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.769 11 0.562 4 28.8 1 14.6 50 174.9 6
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07 107 Buffalo 13 at  34 Baylor 70 187 87.0%
2013/09/21  93 LA-Monroe 7 at  21 Baylor 70 190 78.1%
2013/10/05  57 West Virginia 42 at  12 Baylor 73 205 75.3%
2013/10/12  11 Baylor 35 at  28 Kansas St. 25 166 40.8%
2013/10/19  56 Iowa St. 24 at  11 Baylor 42 172 76.3%
2013/10/26  11 Baylor 52 at 106 Kansas 17 173 93.8%
2013/11/07   3 Oklahoma 35 at  11 Baylor 34 173 30.8%
2013/11/16  37 Texas Tech 28 vs  11 Baylor 42 177 65.0%
2013/11/23  11 Baylor 34 at  26 Oklahoma St. 35 174 38.9%
2013/11/30  11 Baylor 31 at  25 TCU 34 171 42.3%
2013/12/07  33 Texas 28 at  11 Baylor 38 171 64.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-66.2
Most difficult game left: November 7, vs Oklahoma Sooners, 30.8%


UCLA Bruins
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.729 21 0.547 25 21.5 18 12.1 20 169.1 35
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/31  64 Nevada 20 at  41 UCLA 58 199 62.6%
2013/09/14  29 UCLA 41 at  31 Nebraska 21 185 49.6%
2013/09/21 123 New Mexico St. 13 at  24 UCLA 59 191 96.7%
2013/10/03  18 UCLA 34 at  52 Utah 27 192 67.4%
2013/10/12  81 California 10 at  21 UCLA 37 186 79.3%
2013/10/19  21 UCLA 24 at  10 Stanford 31 168 41.0%
2013/10/26  21 UCLA 24 at   2 Oregon 38 173 22.1%
2013/11/02 102 Colorado 14 at  21 UCLA 49 168 91.7%
2013/11/09  21 UCLA 34 at  46 Arizona 24 169 64.8%
2013/11/15  34 Washington 24 at  21 UCLA 31 168 58.5%
2013/11/23  19 Arizona St. 28 at  21 UCLA 34 171 50.8%
2013/11/30  21 UCLA 31 at  41 USC 28 167 61.8%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-101.1
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oregon Ducks, 22.1%


What are YOU doing here??

Texas Tech Red Raiders
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.665 37 0.534 46 19.2 33 13.4 36 180.1 1
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/08/30  58 Texas Tech 41 at  63 SMU 23 216 36.8%
2013/09/12  32 TCU 10 at  50 Texas Tech 20 187 34.4%
2013/09/21  89 Texas State 7 at  43 Texas Tech 33 192 77.6%
2013/10/05  41 Texas Tech 54 at 100 Kansas 16 211 88.7%
2013/10/12  56 Iowa St. 35 at  37 Texas Tech 42 216 63.3%
2013/10/19  37 Texas Tech 32 at  57 West Virginia 31 174 64.3%
2013/10/26  37 Texas Tech 21 at   3 Oklahoma 38 175 19.3%
2013/11/02  26 Oklahoma St. 31 at  37 Texas Tech 28 177 45.9%
2013/11/09  28 Kansas St. 32 at  37 Texas Tech 31 172 44.9%
2013/11/16  37 Texas Tech 28 vs  11 Baylor 42 177 35.0%
2013/11/28  37 Texas Tech 27 at  33 Texas 34 174 49.1%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-227.5
Most difficult game left: October 26, at Oklahoma Sooners, 19.3%


Houston Cougars
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2013 0.540 58 0.467 92 16.6 60 15.3 56 177.5 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2013/09/07  81 Houston 22 at  77 Temple 13 202 44.7%
2013/09/21  70 Houston 31 at  73 Rice 26 184 47.2%
2013/09/28  66 Houston 59 at  86 UTSA 28 180 33.9%
2013/10/12  84 Memphis 15 at  58 Houston 25 172 70.5%
2013/10/19  14 BYU 27 at  58 Houston 24 173 24.1%
2013/10/26  58 Houston 24 at  49 Rutgers 31 171 43.1%
2013/10/31 107 South Florida 17 at  58 Houston 35 173 79.1%
2013/11/09  58 Houston 21 at  24 UCF 34 170 27.5%
2013/11/16  58 Houston 20 at  18 Louisville 35 171 24.6%
2013/11/23  29 Cincinnati 28 at  58 Houston 27 173 33.2%
2013/11/29  77 SMU 24 at  58 Houston 34 172 64.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-844.1
Most difficult game left: October 19, vs BYU Cougars, 24.1%


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