Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Week 11: Undefeated ... but for how long? -- RBA


Odds as of games through 2012-11-04


Legitimate Title Contenders

Alabama Crimson Tide
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 1.000 1 0.549 16 26.0 3 5.6 1 156.3 123
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  21 Michigan 14 vs   1 Alabama 41 148 90.8%
2012/09/08  89 Western Kentucky 0 at   1 Alabama 35 130 99.1%
2012/09/15   1 Alabama 52 at  38 Arkansas 0 149 87.9%
2012/09/22 119 FL-Atlantic 7 at   1 Alabama 40 142 99.9%
2012/09/29  72 Mississippi 14 at   1 Alabama 33 154 99.5%
2012/10/13   1 Alabama 42 at  32 Missouri 10 151 95.8%
2012/10/20   1 Alabama 44 at  55 Tennessee 13 149 96.8%
2012/10/27  27 Mississippi St. 7 at   1 Alabama 38 148 95.1%
2012/11/03   1 Alabama 21 at   3 LSU 17 161 76.1%
2012/11/10   9 Texas A&M 13 at   1 Alabama 35 164 87.2%
2012/11/24  74 Auburn 7 at   1 Alabama 42 157 98.4%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-1.2
Most difficult game left: November 10, vs Texas A&M Aggies, 87.2%


Second-Tier Hopefuls

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.967 7 0.566 2 19.5 27 9.3 5 164.7 93
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  75 Navy 10 vs  20 Notre Dame 50 150 77.7%
2012/09/08  73 Purdue 17 at  17 Notre Dame 20 172 79.4%
2012/09/15   6 Notre Dame 20 at  15 Michigan St. 3 165 49.1%
2012/09/22  22 Michigan 6 at  13 Notre Dame 13 133 50.1%
2012/10/06   9 Notre Dame 41 vs  56 Miami-FL 3 154 80.4%
2012/10/13  13 Stanford 13 at   7 Notre Dame 20 165 50.0%
2012/10/20  28 BYU 14 at   6 Notre Dame 17 145 60.6%
2012/10/27   5 Notre Dame 30 at   8 Oklahoma 13 166 47.3%
2012/11/03  41 Pittsburgh 26 at   7 Notre Dame 29 199 86.7%
2012/11/10   7 Notre Dame 38 at  95 Boston College 20 165 93.5%
2012/11/17  80 Wake Forest 10 at   7 Notre Dame 45 166 93.5%
2012/11/24   7 Notre Dame 27 at  19 USC 24 165 57.9%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.0
Most difficult game left: November 24, at USC Trojans, 57.9%


Oregon Ducks
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.992 2 0.529 49 28.1 1 12.1 24 176.9 2
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  69 Arkansas St. 34 at   3 Oregon 57 208 88.2%
2012/09/08  86 Fresno St. 25 at   3 Oregon 42 199 93.3%
2012/09/22  48 Arizona 0 at   3 Oregon 49 200 81.0%
2012/09/29  89 Washington St. 26 vs   2 Oregon 51 194 88.7%
2012/10/06  37 Washington 21 at   2 Oregon 52 182 78.3%
2012/10/18   2 Oregon 43 at  21 Arizona St. 21 194 54.4%
2012/10/27 112 Colorado 14 at   2 Oregon 70 165 96.4%
2012/11/03   2 Oregon 62 at  19 USC 51 191 50.5%
2012/11/10   2 Oregon 38 at  57 California 21 172 85.9%
2012/11/17  15 Stanford 24 at   2 Oregon 38 171 66.5%
2012/11/24   2 Oregon 35 at  30 Oregon St. 28 173 81.0%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.2
Most difficult game left: November 17, vs Stanford Cardinal, 66.5%


Kansas State Wildcats
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.975 4 0.531 48 26.9 2 13.6 36 165.7 79
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/08  53 Miami-FL 13 at  22 Kansas St. 52 150 61.8%
2012/09/15  96 North Texas 21 at  14 Kansas St. 35 135 92.1%
2012/09/22  18 Kansas St. 24 at   9 Oklahoma 19 156 42.0%
2012/10/06  97 Kansas 16 at  17 Kansas St. 56 151 89.4%
2012/10/13  17 Kansas St. 27 at  81 Iowa St. 21 164 74.7%
2012/10/20   9 Kansas St. 55 at  44 West Virginia 14 147 62.4%
2012/10/27  35 Texas Tech 24 at   6 Kansas St. 55 166 60.3%
2012/11/03  11 Oklahoma St. 30 at   4 Kansas St. 44 169 60.4%
2012/11/10   4 Kansas St. 38 at  33 TCU 31 166 69.2%
2012/11/17   4 Kansas St. 45 at  49 Baylor 34 169 78.6%
2012/12/01  34 Texas 27 at   4 Kansas St. 45 166 69.5%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-2.6
Most difficult game left: November 10, at TCU Horned Frogs, 69.2%


Long Shots

Ohio State Buckeyes
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.923 13 0.529 50 21.8 17 13.5 35 159.8 117
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/01  92 Miami-OH 10 at  23 Ohio St. 56 193 85.8%
2012/09/08  62 UCF 16 at  20 Ohio St. 31 161 71.7%
2012/09/15  50 California 28 at  20 Ohio St. 35 176 71.4%
2012/09/22 115 UAB 15 at  19 Ohio St. 29 165 93.1%
2012/09/29  21 Ohio St. 17 at  19 Michigan St. 16 156 42.7%
2012/10/06  20 Nebraska 38 at  11 Ohio St. 63 166 51.1%
2012/10/13   9 Ohio St. 52 at  82 Indiana 49 195 89.8%
2012/10/20  63 Purdue 22 at  17 Ohio St. 29 164 78.1%
2012/10/27  12 Ohio St. 35 at  26 Penn State 23 175 48.8%
2012/11/03  89 Illinois 22 at  13 Ohio St. 52 175 84.9%
2012/11/17  13 Ohio St. 27 at  16 Wisconsin 28 160 42.9%
2012/11/24  20 Michigan 24 at  13 Ohio St. 28 163 66.7%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-3.5
Most difficult game left: November 17, at Wisconsin Badgers, 42.9%


Louisville Cardinals
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2012 0.772 31 0.488 73 19.6 26 14.8 50 165.7 80
Date Away Team       Home Team Plays Odds
2012/09/02  64 Kentucky 14 at  44 Louisville 32 162 59.3%
2012/09/15  58 North Carolina 34 at  37 Louisville 39 154 51.7%
2012/09/22  34 Louisville 28 at  98 FIU 21 149 78.2%
2012/09/29  35 Louisville 21 at  77 Southern Miss. 17 142 65.4%
2012/10/13  36 Louisville 45 at  73 Pittsburgh 35 155 40.5%
2012/10/20  69 South Florida 25 at  36 Louisville 27 164 63.4%
2012/10/26  29 Cincinnati 31 at  36 Louisville 34 178 68.6%
2012/11/03  79 Temple 17 at  31 Louisville 45 152 68.4%
2012/11/10  31 Louisville 28 at  67 Syracuse 27 165 61.6%
2012/11/24  82 Connecticut 14 at  31 Louisville 31 166 76.8%
2012/11/29  31 Louisville 24 at  17 Rutgers 31 165 35.2%


Odds of finishing undefeated: 1-in-6.0
Most difficult game left: November 29, at Rutgers Scarlet Knights, 35.2%


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