Sunday, January 8, 2012

Counting Down the Champions, #6: 2007 LSU Tigers

Date TFG RBA Away Team       TFG RBA Home Team Plays Odds
TFG / RBA
2007/08/30   2 /   6 LSU 45 at  87 /  77 Mississippi St. 0 159  95.7% /  94.3%
2007/09/08   3 /  30 Virginia Tech 7 at   1 /   1 LSU 48 158  70.6% /  55.2%
2007/09/15  85 /  96 Middle Tenn. 0 at   1 /   1 LSU 44 145  98.9% /  99.0%
2007/09/22  29 /  24 South Carolina 16 at   1 /   3 LSU 28 164  94.4% /  91.4%
2007/09/29   1 /   1 LSU 34 at 115 / 117 Tulane 9 169  99.2% /  99.6%
2007/10/06   4 /   4 Florida 24 at   1 /   2 LSU 28 158  81.7% /  81.8%
2007/10/13   1 /   2 LSU 37 at  41 /  34 Kentucky 43 200  89.4% /  90.9%
2007/10/20  11 /  16 Auburn 24 at   2 /   3 LSU 30 157  84.5% /  82.1%
2007/11/03   2 /   4 LSU 41 at  26 /  30 Alabama 34 191  80.7% /  86.1%
2007/11/10 101 / 101 LA Tech 10 at   2 /   4 LSU 58 175  98.0% /  97.4%
2007/11/17   2 /   3 LSU 41 at  77 /  84 Mississippi 24 161  94.7% /  94.4%
2007/11/23  25 /  25 Arkansas 50 at   2 /   5 LSU 48 210  76.6% /  75.9%
2007/12/01  28 /  24 Tennessee 14 vs   2 /   5 LSU 21 170  76.8% /  71.1%
2008/01/07   1 /   4 Ohio St. 24 vs   2 /   3 LSU 38 156  36.4% /  68.2%


LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2007 0.881 2 0.581 33 29.7 3 13.3 9 165.4 86
Justin
It's interesting to note that this is one time where the TFG and BCS rankings agreed on the top two teams. LSU had stumbled twice during the season, losing to (41) Kentucky and (25) Arkansas in a pair of triple-overtime contests. This team is also where we see a trend in BCS champions emerge: from here on out, all teams that win a BCS championship have a top-3 offense or defense, and a top-10 squad on the other side of the ball. In this case the Tigers had one of the most efficient offenses in FBS, and a respectable defense that only allowed 13.3 PPH. This was the year that Les Miles really earned the "Mad Hatter" nickname, with several unorthodox play calls. LSU often went for it on 4th down, succeeding over 80% of the time.

This was also the second year that Ohio State would face -- and lose against -- the SEC champion. As with most of their games, LSU succeeded thanks to their efficient offense and great defense.

LSU Tigers
Year WinPct SoS Off. Def. Pace
2007 0.991 3 0.548 21 23.8 4 10.1 7 162.1 112
Eddie
The "Year of the Upset" finished with two-loss (3) LSU knocking off one-loss (4) Ohio State in one of the best seasons I can personally remember. RBA considered (1) Southern Cal and (2) West Virginia to be better teams, but LSU was certainly a good team powered by a good, but not otherworldly 3.6 +/- 12.9 PPH defense and a consistent but not great 29.7 +/- 11.8 PPH offense. They lost close games and benefited greatly from 2006 Florida's dismantling of Ohio State and timely flops by (6) Missouri and (2) West Virginia in the final week of the regular season. Before leaving 2007, where were Georgia and their upset fans in all this? Lounging at RBA #8, so quit your whining Bulldog fans.

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