Tuesday, October 5, 2010

Week 6: Top 25 -- RBA

This week's theme:  "wat".


Rank+/-TeamWinPctSoSOff PtsDef PtsPace
001--Alabama0.96340.548426.26.378.9
002+1Stanford0.95960.554729.27.484.2
003-1Oregon0.95220.532729.68.187.8
004+4Iowa0.93350.521520.36.482.1
005+1TCU0.92170.463622.77.884.7
006-2Florida0.91800.557224.38.580.8
007-2Ohio St.0.91470.531724.18.680.0
008+2Arizona0.89780.559422.28.683.2
009-2Virginia Tech0.89720.534421.98.579.2
010+1Nebraska0.89190.530423.19.283.6
011+2Boise St.0.89170.457226.510.684.9
012-3LSU0.88930.544618.47.480.4
013+1Miami-FL0.88110.553319.68.281.3
014-2Penn State0.87590.540616.26.981.8
015--California0.85320.532227.812.984.3
016+3Florida St.0.85280.554222.710.683.4
017+16Auburn0.84050.545323.111.279.4
018--Utah0.83840.461622.711.183.4
019-2Texas0.83610.519820.710.284.2
020--Mississippi St.0.82530.562819.810.180.7
021-5Georgia0.82080.552623.812.379.9
022+20North Carolina0.81100.545416.88.981.9
023-1Arkansas0.81090.565322.211.882.4
024-1Oklahoma0.79610.548020.811.584.7
025-4USC0.79350.533223.012.883.5


Oregon goes into hyperdrive in the second half and drops a place?  To Stanford!?  Florida gets smashed by Alabama and drops only two places?  Penn State gets thumped 24-3 by Iowa and drops only two spots?  Texas ahead of Oklahoma?  Georgia still in the top 25 at 1-4 after losing to Colorado?  This isn't intramurals, people!

I'm working on changing the way the Top 25 is calculated.  Last season, I used a round-robin tournament between all 120 teams and sorted them based on their predicted winning percentage.  I'm going to hack that back into the RBA ranking generator to see if we can rectify the ordering.  Expect workable results in next week's Top 25.

As mentioned in last week's post, the strange ordering is a direct result of how RBA calculates strength.  Strengths are based upon the offensive and defensive efficiency against a 0.500 opponent.  The issue is that all the teams in the Top 25 have strengths above 0.793, so these numbers don't mean a lot in this context.